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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | 61% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 60¢ · 61¢ (1¢) | $29K | in 8d |
| Student List – Students Win | 39% | — | +1 pts | 38¢ · 39¢ (1¢) | $202 | in 8d |
| Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h | gm-gg-gn | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | SellYes60¢ → 61¢ | $4,759 | −$40 −0.8% | — |
| 17h | Close-Wording | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | SellYes61¢ | $5,858 | +$11 +0.2% | — |
| 17h |  QubiBg | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | BuyNo39¢ → 40¢ | $1,045 | +$13 +1.3% | 13 |
| 1d | vsdiz133758 fills | Student List – Students Win | BuyNo62¢ | $136,314 | −$119 −0.1% | 30 |
| 1d | sumolive10 fills | Student List – Students Win | BuyYes40¢ → 39¢ | $25,106 | −$942 −3.8% | 36 |
| 2d | Close-Wording2 fills | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | BuyYes63¢ → 61¢ | $5,344 | −$195 −3.7% | 25 |
| 3d | Rayderr | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | BuyNo38¢ → 40¢ | $4,600 | +$150 +3.3% | 26 |
| 3d |  BiDiFakePolls | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | BuyYes63¢ → 61¢ | $3,150 | −$125 −4.0% | 19 |
| 3d | WarriorH | Student List – Students Win | SellNo61¢ → 62¢ | $1,393 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 4d | AleXzoiD | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | BuyYes63¢ → 61¢ | $2,703 | −$107 −4.0% | 17 |
| 4d | sumolive5 fills | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | BuyNo39¢ → 40¢ | $15,688 | +$263 +1.7% | 36 |
| 4d | gm-gg-gn | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | BuyYes63¢ → 61¢ | $5,166 | −$205 −4.0% | 24 |
| 4d | ivanmzivkovic | Student List – Students Win | BuyYes38¢ → 39¢ | $1,000 | +$13 +1.3% | 30 |
| 4d | annacallsit2 fills | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | BuyYes63¢ → 61¢ | $3,126 | −$101 −3.2% | 19 |
| 5d | vsdiz133759 fills | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | BuyYes60¢ → 61¢ | $138,541 | +$732 +0.5% | 30 |
| 5d |  urasbeherit | Student List – Students Win | BuyYes41¢ → 39¢ | $1,031 | −$58 −5.7% | 30 |
| 5d | Bear90113 fills | Student List – Students Win | BuyYes41¢ → 39¢ | $9,952 | −$617 −6.2% | 34 |
| 9d | nedjeljko | Student List – Students Win | BuyNo63¢ → 62¢ | $1,912 | −$35 −1.8% | 30 |
| 9d | nedjeljko | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | BuyYes63¢ → 61¢ | $3,000 | −$103 −3.4% | 18 |
| 10d | minialex | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | BuyYes61¢ | $1,000 | −$1 −0.1% | 13 |
| 11d | aca04 | Student List – Students Win | BuyYes37¢ → 39¢ | $2,592 | +$122 +4.7% | 32 |
| 12d | scorpio81 | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | BuyYes66¢ → 61¢ | $1,000 | −$84 −8.4% | 13 |
| 12d |  BigMackyG | Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia | BuyNo35¢ → 40¢ | $3,439 | +$456 +13% | 23 |
| 14d | winer1157 | Student List – Students Win | BuyYes34¢ → 39¢ | $1,020 | +$135 +13% | 30 |
| 19d | bojdza | Student List – Students Win | BuyYes37¢ → 39¢ | $1,109 | +$46 +4.1% | 30 |
| 20d | Coami.rs | Student List – Students Win | BuyYes37¢ → 39¢ | $1,084 | +$45 +4.1% | 30 |
| 23d | kandelabr | Student List – Students Win | BuyYes39¢ | $1,169 | −$19 −1.6% | 30 |
BiDiFakePolls8,000 shares
tunatyler5,532 sharesBigMackyG9,859 shares
SatisfyingZenPillz7,475 sharesParliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 61¢ for Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia means the market gives it about 61%.