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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 79% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 78¢ · 79¢ (1¢) | $11K | in 18d |
| Bernadette Wilson | 22% | — | +2 pts | 21¢ · 22¢ (1¢) | $548 | in 18d |
| David Bronson | 1% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $0.02 | in 18d |
| Treg Taylor | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Click Bishop | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Adam Crum | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Nancy Dahlstrom | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Edna DeVries | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Matt Heilala | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Shelley Hughes | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| James Parkin | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Lisa Murkowski | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Tom Begich | <1% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Mary Peltola | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Hank Kroll | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Bruce Walden | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Matt Claman | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Lesil McGuire | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Gregg Brelsford | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Jessica Faircloth | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Destry J. Payne Sr. | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| Bill Walker | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 18d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h | SAPolitcsSeer | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | BuyYes79¢ | $6,301 | −$13 −0.2% | 24 |
| 11h | scottorhino | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | BuyYes78¢ → 79¢ | $1,096 | +$8 +0.7% | 16 |
| 2d |  JustADonk | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | SellYes77¢ → 79¢ | $3,894 | −$102 −2.6% | — |
| 3d | wan1232 fills | Bernadette Wilson | BuyYes20¢ → 22¢ | $3,069 | +$150 +4.9% | 36 |
| 3d | donthackme | Treg Taylor | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,105 | $0 0.0% | 10 |
| 3d | donthackme | David Bronson | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $1,102 | −$9 −0.8% | 10 |
| 5d | Szatoshi | Bernadette Wilson | SellYes19¢ → 22¢ | $1,026 | −$135 −13% | — |
| 6d | annacallsit | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | BuyYes77¢ → 79¢ | $1,536 | +$36 +2.3% | 19 |
| 6d | lug | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | BuyYes77¢ → 79¢ | $2,304 | +$54 +2.3% | 23 |
| 10d |  ScottyNooo | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | BuyYes75¢ → 79¢ | $2,109 | +$114 +5.4% | 23 |
| 12d | Anonn88 | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | BuyYes74¢ → 79¢ | $2,610 | +$147 +5.6% | 26 |
| 14d | cmarx | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | SellYes78¢ → 79¢ | $1,431 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 23d | lomneivan | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | BuyNo19¢ → 21¢ | $1,177 | +$174 +15% | 20 |
| 26d |  scottilicious | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | BuyYes87¢ → 79¢ | $6,176 | −$626 −10% | 18 |
| 27d |  AngryRhino | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | BuyYes80¢ → 79¢ | $5,548 | −$122 −2.2% | 23 |
| 49d | ScottyNooo2 fills | Tom Begich | BuyNo98¢ → >99¢ | $2,842 | +$64 +2.3% | 12 |
| 49d | cmarx | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | BuyYes32¢ → 79¢ | $1,104 | +$1,573 +142% | 18 |
| 60d | purplegatto | Lisa Murkowski | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,086 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 102d |  Hyperlong | Tom Begich | BuyNo73¢ → >99¢ | $1,463 | +$535 +37% | 28 |
| 112d | glaciertaurus | James Parkin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,162 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 137d |  nicoco892 fills | Nancy Dahlstrom | BuyNo87¢ → >99¢ | $2,436 | +$376 +15% | 19 |
| 176d | nicoco89 | Nancy Dahlstrom | SellNo90¢ → >99¢ | $1,430 | −$155 −11% | — |
| 205d | Unkempt-Employee | James Parkin | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,558 | +$31 +0.9% | 11 |
| 205d | Miserable-Future | James Parkin | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,520 | +$30 +0.9% | 11 |
| 205d | Tart-Grandparent | James Parkin | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,526 | +$30 +0.9% | 11 |
| 205d | Hollow-Quill | Adam Crum | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,567 | +$20 +0.6% | 10 |
| 205d | Glass-Rationale | Adam Crum | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,534 | +$20 +0.6% | 10 |
| 205d | Awesome-Diver | Adam Crum | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,535 | +$20 +0.6% | 10 |
| 205d | Accomplished-Alibi | Matt Heilala | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,526 | +$23 +0.7% | 11 |
| 205d | Euphoric-Layout | Matt Heilala | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,550 | +$23 +0.7% | 11 |
| 205d | Unpleasant-Treatment | Matt Heilala | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $3,549 | +$23 +0.7% | 11 |
| 205d | celeryqw29 | Nancy Dahlstrom | SellNo88¢ → >99¢ | $1,353 | −$184 −14% | — |
| 205d | armor-meadow | Nancy Dahlstrom | SellNo88¢ → >99¢ | $1,471 | −$200 −14% | — |
| 205d | autumn088 | Nancy Dahlstrom | SellNo88¢ → >99¢ | $1,027 | −$139 −14% | — |
| 205d | autumn088 | Nancy Dahlstrom | BuyNo88¢ → >99¢ | $1,027 | +$139 +14% | 18 |
| 205d | armor-meadow | Nancy Dahlstrom | BuyNo88¢ → >99¢ | $1,471 | +$200 +14% | 18 |
| 205d | farm8187 | Nancy Dahlstrom | SellNo89¢ → >99¢ | $1,122 | −$138 −12% | — |
| 205d | Wireoxygen | Nancy Dahlstrom | BuyNo88¢ → >99¢ | $1,067 | +$145 +14% | 18 |
| 205d | brotherom43 | Nancy Dahlstrom | SellNo88¢ → >99¢ | $1,001 | −$136 −14% | — |
| 205d | smoke-dismiss | Nancy Dahlstrom | SellNo90¢ → >99¢ | $1,665 | −$184 −11% | — |
| 205d | Gentlebird | Nancy Dahlstrom | SellNo90¢ → >99¢ | $1,714 | −$189 −11% | — |
| 205d | illegal62 | Nancy Dahlstrom | SellNo90¢ → >99¢ | $1,383 | −$153 −11% | — |
| 206d | anglevq14 | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,131 | −$32 −2.8% | — |
| 206d | couple684 | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,168 | −$34 −2.9% | — |
| 206d | sentenceLength | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,006 | −$30 −2.9% | — |
| 206d | Stumble-Trim | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,681 | −$49 −2.9% | — |
| 206d | armor-meadow3 fills | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $4,309 | −$123 −2.9% | — |
| 206d | armor-meadow | Mary Peltola | BuyNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,368 | +$40 +2.9% | 12 |
| 206d | curiousShop | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,291 | −$37 −2.8% | — |
| 206d | Pagevm30 | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,370 | −$39 −2.8% | — |
| 206d | borrowvf18 | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,433 | −$41 −2.8% | — |
| 206d | tooth258 | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,081 | −$31 −2.8% | — |
| 206d | tooth258 | Mary Peltola | BuyNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,080 | +$32 +2.9% | 12 |
| 206d | card-boss | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,622 | −$46 −2.8% | — |
| 206d | tragicGravity | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,403 | −$40 −2.8% | — |
| 206d | critic114 | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,108 | −$31 −2.8% | — |
| 206d | wristyb37 | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,243 | −$35 −2.8% | — |
| 212d | evoke73 | Mary Peltola | BuyNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,089 | +$32 +2.9% | 12 |
| 214d | case50 | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,009 | −$26 −2.6% | — |
| 214d | day-trophy | Mary Peltola | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,497 | −$41 −2.7% | — |
scottilicious7,161 sharesAngryRhino3,728 sharesScottyNooo3,367 shares
Rr552,287 shares
ImJustKen1,480 sharesThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 79¢ for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins means the market gives it about 79%.