| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 127,580 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $107,805 | +$3,013 +2.9% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 118,517 | 73¢ → 88¢ | $103,702 | +$17,582 +20% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 84,781 | 76¢ → 67¢ | $56,591 | −$7,549 −12% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 32,426 | 5¢ → 71¢ | $23,168 | +$21,486 +1277% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 25,000 | 62¢ → 87¢ | $21,625 | +$6,184 +40% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 310,496 | 13¢ → 6¢ | $17,388 | −$22,269 −56% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 296,646 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $16,760 | +$5,113 +44% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 68,451 | 22¢ → 20¢ | $13,348 | −$1,758 −12% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 13,188 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $11,968 | +$86 +0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 23,642 | 31¢ → 41¢ | $9,575 | +$2,220 +30% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 43,220 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $9,098 | +$411 +4.7% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 36,860 | 32¢ → 25¢ | $9,031 | −$2,750 −23% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9,196 | 71¢ → 96¢ | $8,805 | +$2,270 +35% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 109,991 | 10¢ → 8¢ | $8,744 | −$2,208 −20% |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 9,789 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $8,173 | +$50 +0.6% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 299,425 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $7,935 | +$2,863 +56% |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 7,782 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $7,004 | +$4 +0.1% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7,247 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $7,004 | +$169 +2.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 117,386 | 17¢ → 6¢ | $6,456 | −$13,616 −68% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 31,730 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $6,187 | +$141 +2.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 56,634 | 17¢ → 10¢ | $5,380 | −$4,460 −45% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 6,229 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $5,348 | −$222 −4.0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 515,223 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $4,895 | +$1,398 +40% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 7,966 | 39¢ → 59¢ | $4,660 | +$1,534 +49% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 149,999 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $4,425 | −$5,058 −53% |
| Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 5,280 | 69¢ → 83¢ | $4,356 | +$727 +20% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,655 | 86¢ → 77¢ | $4,332 | −$540 −11% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 9,110 | 47¢ → 48¢ | $4,327 | +$66 +1.5% |
| Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,499 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $4,297 | +$203 +5.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 6,110 | 65¢ → 70¢ | $4,246 | +$303 +7.7% |
| Stripe IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 4,153 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $4,057 | +$595 +17% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,572 | 82¢ → 73¢ | $4,040 | −$554 −12% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,831 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $3,672 | +$62 +1.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,813 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $3,655 | +$71 +2.0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 21,348 | 18¢ → 17¢ | $3,533 | −$211 −5.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 25,000 | 34¢ → 14¢ | $3,375 | −$5,076 −60% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,599 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $3,257 | +$7 +0.2% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,384 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $3,242 | +$222 +7.3% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 63,803 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $3,158 | +$2,405 +319% |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 3,713 | 77¢ → 84¢ | $3,101 | +$241 +8.4% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 101,418 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $2,992 | +$296 +11% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 6,509 | 64¢ → 46¢ | $2,961 | −$1,204 −29% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,042 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $2,946 | +$69 +2.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,990 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $2,888 | +$72 +2.6% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 75d | No | 2,964 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $2,820 | +$278 +11% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3,177 | 77¢ → 89¢ | $2,811 | +$381 +16% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 17,944 | 12¢ → 15¢ | $2,736 | +$609 +29% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,055 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $2,734 | −$71 −2.5% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 7,596 | 46¢ → 35¢ | $2,621 | −$907 −26% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,521 | 58¢ → 47¢ | $2,567 | −$661 −20% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 6,370 | 46¢ → 39¢ | $2,484 | −$463 −16% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,555 | 74¢ → 97¢ | $2,467 | +$574 +30% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,557 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $2,455 | +$51 +2.1% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,555 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $2,440 | +$319 +15% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7,371 | 23¢ → 33¢ | $2,429 | +$722 +42% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 2,445 | 39¢ → 97¢ | $2,380 | +$1,420 +148% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,482 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $2,357 | +$183 +8.4% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 70,074 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $2,277 | +$1,753 +334% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 5,510 | 30¢ → 41¢ | $2,232 | +$572 +35% |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,032 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $2,006 | +$181 +9.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,028 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $1,979 | +$129 +7.0% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,968 | 65¢ → 97¢ | $1,911 | +$632 +49% |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 5,033 | 62¢ → 37¢ | $1,862 | −$1,246 −40% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,930 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $1,859 | +$265 +17% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 3,311 | 37¢ → 56¢ | $1,838 | +$613 +50% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 7,500 | 43¢ → 25¢ | $1,838 | −$1,388 −43% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 6,662 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $1,832 | −$167 −8.3% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 57,491 | 11¢ → 3¢ | $1,811 | −$4,513 −71% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,794 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $1,750 | +$71 +4.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,817 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $1,719 | +$36 +2.2% |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 2,371 | 29¢ → 72¢ | $1,695 | +$1,003 +145% |
| Tim Walz in jail by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,698 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $1,693 | +$131 +8.4% |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 1,667 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $1,662 | +$162 +11% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,757 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $1,660 | +$38 +2.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,849 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $1,655 | −$33 −1.9% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,724 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $1,578 | +$132 +9.1% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,555 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $1,529 | +$239 +18% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,665 | 71¢ → 92¢ | $1,523 | +$347 +29% |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,560 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $1,520 | +$335 +28% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,555 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $1,515 | +$100 +7.1% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,500 | 88¢ → >99¢ | $1,494 | +$174 +13% |
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,555 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $1,487 | +$198 +15% |
| Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 1,428 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $1,374 | +$131 +11% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 70,080 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $1,332 | +$807 +154% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,555 | 89¢ → 85¢ | $1,314 | −$70 −5.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,666 | 90¢ → 77¢ | $1,274 | −$228 −15% |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,656 | 91¢ → 76¢ | $1,250 | −$258 −17% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,555 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $1,193 | −$36 −2.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,246 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,189 | +$19 +1.6% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 1,211 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $1,156 | +$58 +5.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 24,991 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $1,125 | +$375 +50% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,170 | 34¢ → 22¢ | $1,111 | −$663 −37% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?Ends in 165d | No | 1,795 | 65¢ → 61¢ | $1,086 | −$80 −6.8% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 2,592 | 58¢ → 42¢ | $1,076 | −$417 −28% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 55,157 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $1,076 | +$367 +52% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 440d | OpenAI | 22,032 | 11¢ → 5¢ | $1,058 | −$1,422 −57% |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 4,296 | 10¢ → 25¢ | $1,052 | +$623 +145% |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 1,954 | 50¢ → 53¢ | $1,026 | +$45 +4.6% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 197,397 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $987 | −$7,441 −88% |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,005 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $971 | +$106 +12% |
