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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 0 pts | — | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $324 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40d |  Flaky-Machine | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 97¢ | $2,141 | −$27 −1.3% | — |
| 51d |  i400 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,446 | −$16 −1.1% | — |
| 60d |  Car3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $8,948 | +$364 +4.1% | 24 |
| 82d | 0x8931…a90c2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $6,570 | +$35 +0.5% | 22 |
| 93d | delphy | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,242 | +$19 +1.5% | 23 |
| 97d | jimmyjpeg | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 97¢ | $1,044 | −$27 −2.6% | — |
| 113d | NeH | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 97¢ | $2,040 | −$71 −3.5% | — |
| 115d | Rotatoooor-180 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 97¢ | $1,009 | −$26 −2.6% | — |
| 124d |  AxiaSystem2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $3,425 | +$88 +2.6% | 23 |
| 134d | Stimulating-Power | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $2,000 | +$73 +3.7% | 24 |
| 154d | Arpi2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $6,152 | −$350 −5.7% | — |
| 161d | NeH | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $2,037 | +$75 +3.7% | 24 |
| 170d | Rotatoooor-180 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $2,920 | +$140 +4.8% | 25 |
| 174d |  dooby | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $3,223 | −$173 −5.4% | — |
| 177d | mocolo | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,454 | +$70 +4.8% | 25 |
| 181d | Arpi2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $6,098 | +$403 +6.6% | 26 |
| 181d | JuniorB | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo91¢ → 97¢ | $2,190 | −$149 −6.8% | — |
| 186d | Knark | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo91¢ → 97¢ | $1,106 | −$78 −7.1% | — |
| 191d | hfv2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo88¢ → 97¢ | $3,147 | −$322 −10% | — |
| 191d |  DEGENKHAN | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo88¢ → 97¢ | $2,693 | −$289 −11% | — |
| 191d |  aenews2 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyYes8¢ → 3¢ | $1,437 | −$989 −69% | 43 |
| 192d | keribit2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $2,955 | −$141 −4.8% | — |
| 200d | Naropoly | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,011 | −$48 −4.8% | — |
| 202d | nanciwin | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $2,460 | −$118 −4.8% | — |
| 207d |  Erasmus.2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $12,136 | −$665 −5.5% | — |
| 207d | pithy2627 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $1,009 | −$60 −5.9% | — |
| 209d | praise0124 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $1,908 | −$113 −5.9% | — |
| 216d | keribit2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $8,370 | +$400 +4.8% | 25 |
| 218d |  twe2nty2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $8,424 | −$403 −4.8% | — |
| 222d | borchi | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $4,650 | −$222 −4.8% | — |
| 226d | hose | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $10,322 | −$494 −4.8% | — |
| 230d | Real-Advertisement2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $2,078 | −$99 −4.8% | — |
| 230d |  FridayNight | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,116 | −$53 −4.8% | — |
| 231d | aviato | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,860 | −$89 −4.8% | — |
| 233d | JPLP | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,571 | −$75 −4.8% | — |
| 235d | Bombarda2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $14,574 | −$697 −4.8% | — |
| 244d | yomaximoux | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $1,081 | +$40 +3.7% | 24 |
| 245d | Rundown-Schoolhouse | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $2,760 | −$163 −5.9% | — |
| 247d |  sj49dk2 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $1,011 | −$60 −5.9% | — |
| 247d | twe2nty2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $25,266 | +$1,346 +5.3% | 25 |
| 249d | MPIL2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $6,342 | −$275 −4.3% | — |
| 249d | Bombarda2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $10,624 | +$618 +5.8% | 25 |
| 253d | iamneer02 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $5,758 | −$341 −5.9% | — |
| 258d | rip | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $6,212 | −$368 −5.9% | — |
| 259d | Markximus | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $2,044 | −$121 −5.9% | — |
| 261d |  bosshog | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,651 | −$79 −4.8% | — |
| 262d |  Nomia4 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $8,075 | −$386 −4.8% | — |
| 264d | LG33 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $2,253 | −$108 −4.8% | — |
| 266d | dwFqcd4Z | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 97¢ | $4,606 | −$169 −3.7% | — |
| 266d |  tetrase3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 97¢ | $7,010 | −$257 −3.7% | — |
| 267d | Nomia3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $7,200 | +$276 +3.8% | 24 |
| 267d | Watery-ScenarioNew account | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 97¢ | $4,601 | −$169 −3.7% | — |
| 267d | Go3ami2g | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 97¢ | $13,160 | −$483 −3.7% | — |
| 268d | Aakeu | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | SellYes6¢ → 3¢ | $1,170 | +$671 +57% | — |
| 268d |  MisterSandman | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $9,400 | +$345 +3.7% | 24 |
| 268d | rip | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $2,790 | +$133 +4.8% | 25 |
| 268d | jsmp1 | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $1,840 | +$109 +5.9% | 25 |
| 268d | Watery-ScenarioNew account | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $4,501 | +$269 +6.0% | 29 |
| 268d |  occasionalAwareness | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $18,200 | +$1,290 +7.1% | 26 |
| 268d | cashy | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $6,999 | +$579 +8.3% | 27 |
aenews212,207 shares
Oval-Photo4,709 sharesoccasionalAwareness27,556 shares
95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b0421,338 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 3%.