| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 25,812 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $25,102 | +$531 +2.2% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 19,688 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $18,309 | +$1,823 +11% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 16,632 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $16,291 | +$40 +0.2% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 15,368 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $14,407 | −$190 −1.3% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 15,166 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $13,725 | −$194 −1.4% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 12,037 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $11,561 | +$339 +3.0% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 8,696 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $8,352 | +$176 +2.2% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 8,451 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $8,173 | +$231 +2.9% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 8,230 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $7,995 | +$20 +0.2% |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 7,473 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $7,186 | +$506 +7.6% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 7,194 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $6,967 | +$26 +0.4% |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 6,735 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $6,166 | +$9 +0.1% |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,073 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $4,966 | +$256 +5.4% |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 4,844 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $4,718 | +$121 +2.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 4,714 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $4,596 | −$3 −0.1% |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3,861 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $3,772 | +$75 +2.0% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 6,492 | 26¢ → 57¢ | $3,733 | +$2,069 +124% |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Ends in 134d | No | 3,784 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $3,519 | +$229 +6.9% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3,546 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $3,404 | +$85 +2.5% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 3,156 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $2,951 | +$143 +5.1% |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,297 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $2,899 | +$102 +3.6% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 6,048 | 80¢ → 42¢ | $2,540 | −$2,318 −48% |
| Tom Lee charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,576 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $2,521 | +$77 +3.2% |
| Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 2,592 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $2,458 | +$6 +0.2% |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,797 | 70¢ → 86¢ | $2,391 | +$430 +22% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 2,558 | 96¢ → 92¢ | $2,353 | −$94 −3.8% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 2,293 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $2,232 | −$4 −0.2% |
| Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,184 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $2,130 | +$16 +0.8% |
| Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 2,277 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $2,129 | +$34 +1.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 2,099 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $2,028 | +$28 +1.4% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,099 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $2,005 | +$290 +17% |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,981 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,938 | +$11 +0.6% |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,967 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $1,933 | +$172 +9.8% |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 10,317 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $1,909 | −$28 −1.4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,868 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,824 | +$10 +0.6% |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage?Ends in 75d | No | 1,776 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,739 | +$9 +0.5% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,769 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $1,672 | +$22 +1.3% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 2,011 | 92¢ → 83¢ | $1,669 | −$172 −9.4% |
| Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,636 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $1,612 | +$3 +0.2% |
| Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,648 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $1,591 | +$66 +4.3% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,403 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,380 | +$17 +1.3% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,894 | 83¢ → 71¢ | $1,335 | −$240 −15% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 4,886 | 8¢ → 27¢ | $1,314 | +$926 +239% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,307 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $1,272 | +$5 +0.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 1,340 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $1,263 | +$4 +0.3% |
| Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,272 | 99¢ → 97¢ | $1,237 | −$22 −1.8% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,223 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $1,193 | +$71 +6.3% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,253 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $1,171 | +$19 +1.7% |
| Will Elijah Arroyo finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 101d | No | 1,144 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $1,128 | +$60 +5.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 1,556 | 82¢ → 69¢ | $1,073 | −$196 −15% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,059 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $1,045 | +$3 +0.3% |
| US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,113 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $1,044 | +$17 +1.7% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,078 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $1,035 | +$33 +3.2% |
| Will Jeremiyah Love finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 101d | No | 1,099 | 82¢ → 93¢ | $1,017 | +$117 +13% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 988 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $972 | +$8 +0.9% |
| Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 991 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $967 | −$2 −0.2% |
| Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 973 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $955 | +$21 +2.2% |
| Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?Ends in 75d | No | 982 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $935 | +$37 +4.2% |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Ends in 77d | Yes | 939 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $910 | +$42 +4.8% |
| Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 892 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $869 | −$6 −0.7% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 915 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $850 | +$45 +5.5% |
| Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 840 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $827 | +$21 +2.6% |
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?Ends in 75d | No | 851 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $786 | −$13 −1.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 808 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $731 | −$14 −1.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 699 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $682 | +$13 +2.0% |
| Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 720 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $677 | −$17 −2.5% |
| Will the LA Clippers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Ends in 210d | No | 786 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $668 | +$22 +3.4% |
| Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 650 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $631 | +$5 +0.8% |
| Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 639 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $608 | −$2 −0.3% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 673 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $589 | −$16 −2.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 808 | 83¢ → 73¢ | $586 | −$83 −12% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 620 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $580 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 565 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $551 | +$32 +6.2% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 5,956 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $533 | −$83 −13% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,895 | 15¢ → 28¢ | $532 | +$256 +93% |
| Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 536 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $528 | +$4 +0.9% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,028 | 41¢ → 51¢ | $524 | +$103 +24% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 538 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $524 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 606 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $512 | +$4 +0.8% |
| Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 501 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $480 | +$24 +5.4% |
| Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 478 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $476 | +$32 +7.3% |
| Will Ray Davis finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 101d | No | 481 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $469 | +$40 +9.2% |
| Will Austin Hooper finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 101d | No | 475 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $464 | +$15 +3.3% |
| Will Saquon Barkley finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 101d | No | 467 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $455 | +$61 +16% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 467 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $453 | +$45 +11% |
| Will Tommy Tremble finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 101d | No | 466 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $450 | +$18 +4.2% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Ends in 75d | No | 451 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $442 | +$17 +3.9% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,207 | 22¢ → 13¢ | $428 | −$279 −39% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 441 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $421 | +$32 +8.3% |
| Will Austin Hooper finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 101d | No | 430 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $417 | +$14 +3.4% |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 466 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $415 | +$11 +2.7% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 428 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $409 | +$48 +13% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 445 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $407 | +$4 +1.0% |
| Will Travis Etienne Jr. finish as a top-12 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 101d | No | 390 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $379 | +$6 +1.5% |
| Will Tyler Warren finish as a top-5 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 101d | No | 396 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $376 | +$23 +6.5% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,713 | 44¢ → 14¢ | $366 | −$834 −69% |
| Will Jameson Williams finish as a top-5 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 101d | No | 360 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $355 | +$13 +3.9% |
| Will Blake Corum finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 101d | No | 364 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $355 | +$13 +3.8% |
| Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 357 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $352 | +$8 +2.2% |
| Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 364 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $352 | +$2 +0.7% |
