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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 1,250 | 6% | — | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| ↑ 5,000 | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| ↑ 6,000 | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| ↑ 7,500 | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| ↓ 800 | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | $26.1K | in 76d |
| ↓ 1,750 | 17% | +8 pts | +5 pts | 16¢ · 18¢ (2¢) | $11.9K | in 76d |
| ↓ 700 | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 76d |
| ↑ 4,000 | 7% | −1 pts | −3 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | $3.13K | in 76d |
| ↑ 3,500 | 14% | −2 pts | −6 pts | 14¢ · 15¢ (1¢) | $2.97K | in 76d |
| ↑ 5,500 | 3% | — | — | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $1.35K | in 76d |
| ↑ 10,000 | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.3K | in 76d |
| ↓ 1,500 | 9% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 8¢ · 9¢ (<1¢) | $1.13K | in 76d |
| ↓ 2,250 | 63% | +7 pts | +13 pts | 62¢ · 64¢ (2¢) | $1.05K | in 76d |
| ↑ 8,000 | 1% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $835 | in 76d |
| ↓ 600 | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $755 | in 76d |
| ↓ 2,000 | 31% | +7 pts | +5 pts | 30¢ · 31¢ (1¢) | $544 | in 76d |
| ↓ 1,000 | 4% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $285 | in 76d |
| ↑ 7,000 | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $227 | in 76d |
| ↑ 4,500 | 5% | — | — | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $222 | in 76d |
| ↑ 3,000 | 36% | −5 pts | −7 pts | 35¢ · 36¢ (1¢) | $50.7 | in 76d |
| ↓ 500 | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $50.7 | in 76d |
| ↑ 6,500 | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | $31.4 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | oegdatam10 fills | ↑ 4,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 94¢ | $34,626 | +$2,102 +6.1% | 4 |
| 3h | 0xf705…3ca75 fills | ↓ 800 | SellNo99¢ → 98¢ | $10,666 | +$101 +1.0% | — |
| 23h | chirico | ↑ 5,500 | SellNo97¢ | $1,313 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | DFV2 | ↑ 5,500 | BuyNo97¢ | $1,047 | −$1 −0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | DFV25 fills | ↓ 1,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $22,251 | +$304 +1.4% | 3 |
| 1d | oegdatam7 fills | ↓ 1,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $30,529 | +$418 +1.4% | 3 |
| 2d | DFV26 fills | ↑ 4,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 94¢ | $17,791 | +$644 +3.6% | 4 |
| 2d | datamint6 fills | ↑ 4,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 94¢ | $20,090 | +$366 +1.8% | 3 |
| 2d | datamint5 fills | ↑ 4,500 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $21,710 | +$108 +0.5% | 3 |
| 2d | DFV29 fills | ↑ 4,500 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $36,220 | +$209 +0.6% | 3 |
| 2d | DFV27 fills | ↑ 3,500 | BuyNo69¢ → 86¢ | $22,251 | +$5,213 +23% | 7 |
| 2d | remo888 | ↑ 3,500 | BuyNo84¢ → 86¢ | $9,947 | +$178 +1.8% | 5 |
| 2d | JaneStPredictions | ↑ 4,000 | SellNo92¢ → 94¢ | $2,495 | −$41 −1.6% | — |
| 2d | oegdatam | ↑ 5,500 | BuyNo97¢ | $2,526 | +$2 +0.1% | 3 |
| 3d | 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 1,500 | SellNo91¢ | $7,797 | −$64 −0.8% | — |
| 3d | JnStrtPrdctnMrkts2 fills | ↓ 1,000 | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $20,647 | −$493 −2.4% | — |
| 4d | JnStrtPrdctnMrkts | ↓ 1,250 | SellNo93¢ → 95¢ | $2,046 | −$33 −1.6% | — |
| 6d |  Kuukskes | ↑ 10,000 | SellNo99¢ | $1,487 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 7d | datamint | ↓ 1,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $4,822 | +$66 +1.4% | 3 |
| 8d | 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 1,500 | BuyNo92¢ → 91¢ | $9,210 | −$65 −0.7% | 3 |
| 9d | Albert 1953 | ↑ 3,500 | BuyNo80¢ → 86¢ | $3,113 | +$214 +6.9% | 5 |
| 9d | u3rhi32h7 | ↑ 3,000 | SellYes47¢ → 36¢ | $1,926 | +$486 +25% | — |
| 10d | HAOI | ↑ 5,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,200 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 10d | Noteagle | ↓ 1,500 | SellNo92¢ → 91¢ | $1,931 | +$14 +0.7% | — |
| 10d | HAOI | ↑ 5,500 | BuyNo97¢ | $1,410 | −$2 −0.2% | 2 |
| 10d | HAOI | ↑ 6,000 | BuyNo98¢ | $1,968 | −$2 −0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | 0xf705…3ca724 fills | ↓ 2,250 | BuyYes45¢ → 63¢ | $71,192 | +$28,627 +40% | 11 |
| 10d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | ↑ 3,000 | BuyNo34¢ → 65¢ | $4,760 | +$4,270 +90% | 12 |
| 10d | getbipped8 fills | ↑ 3,000 | BuyNo42¢ → 65¢ | $17,434 | +$9,052 +52% | 11 |
| 10d | JaneStPredictions | ↑ 4,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 94¢ | $1,998 | +$125 +6.3% | 4 |
| 10d | JaneStPredictions2 fills | ↑ 3,500 | BuyNo74¢ → 86¢ | $6,559 | +$1,059 +16% | 6 |
| 10d | Kuukskes | ↑ 10,000 | BuyNo99¢ | $3,105 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d |  olegs2 fills | ↑ 10,000 | BuyNo99¢ | $20,754 | +$63 +0.3% | 2 |
| 12d | 0xDCCrane8 fills | ↓ 2,250 | BuyNo76¢ → 37¢ | $202,069 | −$103K −51% | 6 |
| 12d | 0xDCCrane2 fills | ↓ 1,500 | BuyNo93¢ → 91¢ | $12,405 | −$226 −1.8% | 3 |
| 12d | 0xDCCrane3 fills | ↑ 4,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 94¢ | $30,622 | +$3,366 +11% | 5 |
| 12d | oegdatam | ↑ 4,000 | SellNo86¢ → 94¢ | $1,546 | −$135 −8.7% | — |
| 12d |  ponczyk | ↑ 4,500 | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,020 | +$13 +1.3% | 3 |
| 12d | 0xDCCrane3 fills | ↓ 2,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 70¢ | $24,400 | −$4,513 −18% | 4 |
| 14d |  Sxc123.sxc | ↓ 1,750 | BuyYes17¢ | $3,100 | +$44 +1.4% | 14 |
| 14d | Serene-Decision3 fills | ↑ 5,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $5,507 | +$54 +1.0% | 2 |
| 14d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | ↑ 4,500 | SellNo93¢ → 96¢ | $14,561 | −$412 −2.8% | — |
| 14d | stochi | ↑ 4,500 | BuyNo93¢ → 96¢ | $14,142 | +$380 +2.7% | 3 |
| 14d | oegdatam3 fills | ↑ 3,500 | BuyNo63¢ → 86¢ | $9,282 | +$3,315 +36% | 7 |
| 15d | PickleRickC-137 | ↑ 4,000 | SellYes18¢ → 7¢ | $1,144 | +$731 +64% | — |
| 15d | getbipped5 fills | ↓ 2,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 70¢ | $13,931 | −$2,214 −16% | 5 |
| 15d | Grim-Offramp2 fills | ↓ 800 | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $2,386 | +$18 +0.7% | 2 |
| 16d | Tokor5 fills | ↑ 3,500 | BuyNo64¢ → 86¢ | $43,640 | +$14,620 +34% | 7 |
| 18d | getbipped5 fills | ↑ 3,000 | BuyYes65¢ → 36¢ | $12,403 | −$5,680 −46% | 7 |
| 18d | Tokor9 fills | ↓ 2,250 | BuyYes33¢ → 63¢ | $47,049 | +$42,066 +89% | 19 |
| 19d | getbipped2 fills | ↓ 1,250 | BuyNo95¢ | $8,283 | −$44 −0.5% | 2 |
| 19d | getbipped5 fills | ↓ 1,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $19,274 | +$195 +1.0% | 3 |
| 19d | Tokor2 fills | ↓ 1,750 | BuyYes9¢ → 17¢ | $3,571 | +$3,002 +84% | 17 |
| 19d | Tokor5 fills | ↓ 2,000 | BuyYes22¢ → 31¢ | $24,606 | +$9,739 +40% | 24 |
| 19d | getbipped67 fills | ↓ 2,250 | BuyYes49¢ → 63¢ | $120,430 | +$35,449 +29% | 8 |
| 19d | 0xf705…3ca7 | ↑ 3,500 | BuyNo63¢ → 86¢ | $6,300 | +$2,250 +36% | 7 |
| 19d | 0xDCCrane2 fills | ↑ 4,500 | BuyNo92¢ → 96¢ | $48,549 | +$1,923 +4.0% | 3 |
| 19d | 0xDCCrane | ↓ 1,750 | BuyNo93¢ → 83¢ | $1,502 | −$162 −11% | 3 |
| 20d | AlexMakedonskay2 fills | ↑ 3,500 | BuyYes35¢ → 14¢ | $14,834 | −$8,606 −58% | 15 |
| 20d | AlexMakedonskay | ↑ 4,000 | BuyYes17¢ → 7¢ | $2,079 | −$1,284 −62% | 12 |
LlamaLoco0000284,874 sharesWhat price will Ethereum hit before 2027?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 6¢ for ↓ 1,250 means the market gives it about 6%.