Moon.H

Polymarket wallet 0x475141ceebf2de294b62f73b3f8dc8f73d88e334 · on Polymarket since Nov 26, 2025 · also shown as Weary-Rayon

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $780
All-time profit: −$697
Volume traded: $71.7K
All-time rank: #2,998,178
Markets traded: 86
Recent hit rate: 80%12 of last 15 closed

Open positions

64 markets · $780

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	7,479	7¢ → 6¢	$411	−$83 −17%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	4,314	6¢ → 9¢	$369	+$123 +50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem	No	41	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	26	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	10	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	500	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 November 24-30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,250	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 12?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	36	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,000	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,891	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$70 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem	No	67	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Saudi Arabia?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	67	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 17?Settled - ready to redeem	No	71	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 7?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	185	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 17?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	111	18¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	34	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem	No	110	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 6?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	70	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 12?Settled - ready to redeem	No	77	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	125	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 17?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	75	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	275	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 IR Iran?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	26	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	150	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	24	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	217	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 12?Settled - ready to redeem	No	59	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	2,450	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$49 −100%
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,507	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 11?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	94	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	15	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Saudi Arabia?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	95	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 9?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	133	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 November 24-30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	833	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$49 −100%
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Saudi Arabia?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	18	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,500	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,500	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	11	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	206	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 19?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	338	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 12?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	53	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	175	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 5-11?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	27	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem	No	83	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 8?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	91	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	10	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,000	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 17?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	125	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 11?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	90	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	222	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 on October 6?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	145	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Iran leadership change by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	135	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 20?Settled - ready to redeem	No	2,614	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$58 −100%
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Saudi Arabia?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	96	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 9?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	55	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,604	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$49 −100%
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	20	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	349	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	761	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
US forces enter Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	3,477	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$92 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 5?Settled - ready to redeem	No	48	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	14	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	150	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 12?Settled - ready to redeem	No	48	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
10d	Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 7?	BuyYes16¢	$0
10d	Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 7?	BuyYes16¢	$1
10d	Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 7?	BuyYes16¢	$28
11d	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 on October 6?	BuyYes4¢	$6
25d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes6¢	$1
25d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes6¢	$138
25d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes6¢	$108
26d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes6¢	$1
33d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes6¢	$4
39d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes6¢	$19
39d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes6¢	$228
40d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$60
43d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes8¢	$104
43d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$0
47d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$43
51d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$1
53d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$1
54d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$1
54d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$2
54d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$7
54d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$0
54d	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$31
74d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	BuyYes2¢	$1
74d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	BuyYes2¢	$1
74d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	BuyYes2¢	$9
74d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	BuyYes2¢	$0
76d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	BuyYes4¢	$10
85d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	BuyYes3¢	$7
90d	Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5	Buy10¢	$7
112d	Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score AND Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Buy14¢	$5
113d	Uruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score AND Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score	Buy13¢	$5
114d	Paraguay vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score AND Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score	Buy26¢	$5
115d	Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score AND South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score AND Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score	Buy15¢	$5
116d	Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score	Buy18¢	$5
116d	Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score AND Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score	Buy7¢	$5
118d	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?	BuyYes8¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?	BuyYes8¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?	BuyYes8¢	$0
118d	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?	BuyYes10¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?	BuyYes10¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 IR Iran?	BuyYes8¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 IR Iran?	BuyYes8¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran?	BuyYes6¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran?	BuyYes6¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?	BuyYes10¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia?	BuyYes7¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?	BuyYes10¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Saudi Arabia?	BuyYes1¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Saudi Arabia?	BuyYes1¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Saudi Arabia?	BuyYes2¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Saudi Arabia?	BuyYes3¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia?	BuyYes7¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia?	BuyYes9¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Saudi Arabia?	BuyYes5¢	$1
118d	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia?	BuyYes4¢	$1
168d	Iran leadership change by May 31?	BuyYes7¢	$9
168d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	BuyYes8¢	$10
177d	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	BuyYes4¢	$6
177d	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	BuyYes7¢	$11
177d	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	BuyYes4¢	$7

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 15 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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