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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92,000 | 0% | −33 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 100% | +24 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 100% | +4 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280d | averagerandomman | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,378 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | WanTonMee3 fills | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $14,910 | −$30 −0.2% | — |
| 280d | nikulina | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,041 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | 0x82d4…b3f0 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,004 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | 0x7310…e776 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,929 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | claudecoder34 | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,899 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | yfcyfc | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,485 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,098 | −$10 −0.1% | — | |
| 280d | 12311231232 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,671 | +$48 +0.3% | 2 |
| 280d | kai-xin2 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,175 | +$52 +0.5% | 2 |
| 280d | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 280d | noloainakaila | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,177 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 280d | 0xc265…d5ab | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,298 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | 1337zzz1337 | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,594 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 280d | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,500 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 280d | michics | 92,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$40 +2.0% | 2 |
| 280d | Niudad | 90,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,179 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 280d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896618 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $16,667 | +$4,308 +26% | 4 |
| 280d | averagerandomman | 92,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,219 | +$257 +4.9% | 2 |
| 280d | 92,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,819 | +$138 +3.6% | 2 | |
| 280d | weschen | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,379 | +$21 +0.6% | 2 |
| 280d | Bulky-Axis | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,569 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 280d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661 | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,043 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,060 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 280d | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,820 | +$26 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 280d | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,791 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 280d | hanlunzhang | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,039 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 280d | pablosanchez | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | hibako | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,619 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | zhubaby0333 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,604 | +$38 +1.1% | 2 |
| 280d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896614 fills | 92,000 | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $6,947 | −$6,947 −100% | 11 |
| 280d | penguinrainbows | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 280d | 92,000 | SellNo62¢ → 100¢ | $2,987 | −$1,867 −62% | — | |
| 280d | Bulky-Axis | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,569 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | 0xf705…3ca716 fills | 92,000 | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $57,209 | −$11,813 −21% | — |
| 280d | 94,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,107 | +$29 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 280d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | phambitious | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,101 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | Moneyyes | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,444 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,863 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 280d | Csikos | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,777 | +$28 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | Valid-Processing | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,455 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,040 | −$2 −0.2% | — | |
| 280d | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,815 | −$11 −0.4% | — | |
| 280d | lanxbaba | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | satrader88pm | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,642 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 280d | 0x59BA2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,196 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 280d | Niudad4 fills | 94,000 | SellNo100¢ | $29,801 | −$150 −0.5% | — |
| 280d | 0xf705…3ca715 fills | 94,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $45,202 | +$999 +2.2% | 2 |
| 280d | CHIB666 | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,716 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 281d | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,520 | +$96 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 281d | PolyBlaster | 92,000 | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,137 | +$1,137 +100% | — |
| 281d | Hateful-Sickness | 92,000 | SellYes39¢ → 0¢ | $2,140 | +$2,140 +100% | — |
| 281d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 92,000 | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $3,521 | −$3,521 −100% | 6 |
| 281d | 0xf705…3ca711 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $50,763 | +$15,071 +30% | 3 |
| 281d | hfdtrd9087 | 92,000 | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $2,378 | −$2,378 −100% | 7 |
| 281d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,130 | −$17 −0.4% | — |
| 281d | edseah | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,483 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 281d | SYNJUANJO | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 281d | hustleday | 90,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,024 | +$176 +8.7% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 92,000 means the market gives it about 0%.