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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 9% | +2 pts | −6 pts | 8¢ · 10¢ (2¢) | $41.2 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108d | FlyingPlaty | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,891 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 112d | BrightStars | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,534 | +$8 +0.5% | 4 |
| 118d | denizz | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,684 | +$15 +0.9% | 4 |
| 126d | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,252 | +$150 +2.4% | 4 | |
| 126d | nonkenny90 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,001 | +$99 +4.9% | 4 |
| 138d | zecach | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,306 | +$447 +14% | 4 |
| 138d | Skinny-Class2 fills | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $3,524 | +$1,263 +36% | 4 |
| 138d | December 31 | BuyYes58¢ → 9¢ | $2,750 | −$2,324 −85% | 24 | |
| 138d | dontworryabouteet | December 31 | BuyYes66¢ → 9¢ | $3,000 | −$2,594 −86% | 24 |
| 146d | Strict-Bourgeoisie | December 31 | BuyYes25¢ → 9¢ | $1,000 | −$639 −64% | 24 |
| 182d | December 31 | BuyNo71¢ → 91¢ | $1,299 | +$366 +28% | 23 | |
| 187d | MonicaHouse2821 | December 31 | SellNo68¢ → 91¢ | $1,019 | −$345 −34% | — |
| 187d | MonicaHouse2821 | December 31 | BuyNo68¢ → 91¢ | $1,034 | +$350 +34% | 24 |
| 191d | universidadonline | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,133 | +$347 +16% | 4 |
| 198d | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$359 +33% | 4 | |
| 199d | Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,325 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 210d | PolBandit | Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$147 +14% | 4 |
| 217d | Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | −$204 −15% | — | |
| 218d | ChristopherKirk1630 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,262 | +$189 +15% | 4 |
| 222d | Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,836 | +$780 +42% | 4 | |
| 222d | looserb2 fills | December 31 | BuyYes65¢ → 9¢ | $4,281 | −$3,692 −86% | 24 |
| 223d | December 31 | BuyNo40¢ → 91¢ | $6,097 | +$7,788 +128% | 27 | |
| 226d | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,837 | +$2,822 +99% | 4 | |
| 229d | Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | SellNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,604 | −$1,513 −94% | — | |
| 230d | 0x60f7293958a1b49f25a00a6af0199cbc7a1c050 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $1,244 | −$1,244 −100% | 4 |
| 230d | Skinny-Class4 fills | Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $6,329 | −$6,329 −100% | 4 |
| 230d | Honky | Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | SellYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,681 | +$1,681 +100% | — |
| 231d | twobeejayscap | Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $1,628 | −$1,628 −100% | 4 |
| 281d | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | SellNo38¢ → 100¢ | $2,111 | −$3,444 −163% | — | |
| 281d | Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $4,111 | +$1,444 +35% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 9¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 9%.