| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 39,000 | 50¢ → 91¢ | $35,295 | +$15,795 +81% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 40,311 | 85¢ → 77¢ | $30,999 | −$3,145 −9.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 17,804 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $15,472 | +$1,626 +12% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 14,748 | 81¢ → 78¢ | $11,430 | −$586 −4.9% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 12,240 | 70¢ → 82¢ | $10,037 | +$1,526 +18% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 46,607 | 11¢ → 21¢ | $9,554 | +$4,373 +84% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 6,892 | 64¢ → 91¢ | $6,237 | +$1,841 +42% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 8,656 | 34¢ → 69¢ | $5,929 | +$3,015 +103% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6,598 | 62¢ → 87¢ | $5,708 | +$1,636 +40% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 6,296 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $4,817 | +$52 +1.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 4,856 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $4,443 | +$648 +17% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 39,000 | 50¢ → 10¢ | $3,705 | −$15,795 −81% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,571 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $3,452 | +$174 +5.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 3,714 | 63¢ → 87¢ | $3,212 | +$882 +38% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 2,740 | 65¢ → 98¢ | $2,681 | +$912 +52% |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 2,679 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $2,628 | +$74 +2.9% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 75d | Yes | 13,999 | 26¢ → 18¢ | $2,520 | −$1,179 −32% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 13,555 | 12¢ → 19¢ | $2,508 | +$941 +60% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 18,302 | 20¢ → 12¢ | $2,105 | −$1,566 −43% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,497 | 91¢ → 80¢ | $1,985 | −$282 −12% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 2,046 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,977 | +$28 +1.5% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,000 | 54¢ → 95¢ | $1,890 | +$805 +74% |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,838 | 2¢ → 95¢ | $1,755 | +$1,717 +4577% |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 1,687 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $1,667 | +$127 +8.2% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 1,655 | 74¢ → 98¢ | $1,616 | +$384 +31% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 1,604 | 3¢ → 98¢ | $1,566 | +$1,516 +3025% |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,560 | 4¢ → 99¢ | $1,544 | +$1,484 +2474% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 18,967 | 24¢ → 8¢ | $1,517 | −$2,958 −66% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 1,600 | 3¢ → 91¢ | $1,448 | +$1,398 +2796% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,500 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $1,447 | +$27 +1.9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,350 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $1,345 | +$34 +2.6% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,342 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1,327 | −$7 −0.5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 6,446 | 22¢ → 21¢ | $1,321 | −$78 −5.6% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,349 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $1,311 | +$58 +4.6% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | Yes | 2,301 | 57¢ → 55¢ | $1,275 | −$45 −3.4% |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 2,039 | 45¢ → 62¢ | $1,254 | +$338 +37% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Ends ended | No | 1,641 | 49¢ → 76¢ | $1,239 | +$434 +54% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,292 | 19¢ → 95¢ | $1,229 | +$990 +413% |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,919 | 55¢ → 62¢ | $1,189 | +$131 +12% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 2,737 | 59¢ → 43¢ | $1,163 | −$453 −28% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 4,177 | 11¢ → 27¢ | $1,124 | +$662 +143% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,234 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $1,119 | +$37 +3.5% |
| Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,300 | 27¢ → 83¢ | $1,073 | +$721 +205% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 1,102 | 10¢ → 96¢ | $1,052 | +$942 +855% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,200 | 67¢ → 47¢ | $1,023 | −$447 −30% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1,328 | 67¢ → 77¢ | $1,016 | +$125 +14% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 1,205 | 43¢ → 84¢ | $1,012 | +$499 +97% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 1,000 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $993 | +$46 +4.9% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 4,219 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $991 | −$64 −6.1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 990 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $981 | +$11 +1.1% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 1,100 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $968 | +$2 +0.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 1,000 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $945 | +$75 +8.6% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 940 | 51¢ → 96¢ | $899 | +$422 +88% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,497 | 8¢ → 36¢ | $887 | +$687 +344% |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 890 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $881 | +$15 +1.7% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 940 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $869 | +$160 +22% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,114 | 20¢ → 28¢ | $856 | +$231 +37% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,508 | 31¢ → 34¢ | $855 | +$66 +8.3% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 897 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $849 | +$71 +9.2% |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 874 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $848 | +$34 +4.2% |
| Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 2,201 | 51¢ → 39¢ | $847 | −$285 −25% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,158 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $840 | −$6 −0.7% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 855 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $840 | +$71 +9.2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 72¢ → 84¢ | $835 | +$115 +16% |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,140 | 43¢ → 73¢ | $826 | +$339 +70% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,342 | 58¢ → 61¢ | $817 | +$33 +4.2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 1,000 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $815 | +$35 +4.5% |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 808 | 65¢ → 99¢ | $802 | +$274 +52% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 1,432 | 62¢ → 56¢ | $795 | −$94 −11% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 984 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $794 | −$30 −3.6% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 860 | 52¢ → 88¢ | $753 | +$305 +68% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 756 | 81¢ → 98¢ | $742 | +$129 +21% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | Yes | 4,223 | 13¢ → 18¢ | $739 | +$178 +32% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 740 | 75¢ → 96¢ | $712 | +$154 +28% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 1,534 | 1¢ → 46¢ | $710 | +$699 +6373% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 700 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $695 | +$8 +1.1% |
| Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 820 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $693 | +$4 +0.5% |
| Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg?Ends ended | Yes | 700 | 3¢ → 97¢ | $679 | +$657 +3006% |
| Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Ends ended | Yes | 700 | 3¢ → 97¢ | $678 | +$654 +2710% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 6,915 | 23¢ → 10¢ | $674 | −$917 −58% |
| Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?Ends ended | Yes | 700 | 3¢ → 96¢ | $668 | +$646 +2861% |
| Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?Ends ended | Yes | 700 | 3¢ → 95¢ | $668 | +$644 +2762% |
| Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 684 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $666 | +$10 +1.6% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 845 | 3¢ → 79¢ | $664 | +$640 +2726% |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Ends ended | Yes | 700 | 3¢ → 94¢ | $657 | +$636 +3089% |
| Will Jozef Viskupič win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 700 | 3¢ → 92¢ | $644 | +$621 +2660% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 1,052 | 59¢ → 61¢ | $642 | +$25 +4.0% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 668 | 4¢ → 96¢ | $638 | +$614 +2574% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 727 | 78¢ → 88¢ | $636 | +$70 +12% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 46,607 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $629 | −$3,927 −86% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Ends in 440d | Yes | 1,601 | 5¢ → 39¢ | $616 | +$536 +670% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 627 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $610 | +$44 +7.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | Yes | 1,925 | 57¢ → 31¢ | $604 | −$488 −45% |
| Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 625 | 5¢ → 96¢ | $597 | +$567 +1906% |
| Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?Ends ended | Yes | 700 | 3¢ → 85¢ | $597 | +$575 +2544% |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Ends ended | Yes | 680 | 3¢ → 87¢ | $592 | +$570 +2684% |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 814 | 69¢ → 73¢ | $592 | +$28 +4.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 600 | 66¢ → 98¢ | $591 | +$195 +49% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 592 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $589 | +$22 +3.8% |
| Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?Ends in 286d | Yes | 605 | 3¢ → 96¢ | $581 | +$565 +3548% |
