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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $800M | 1% | 0 pts | −13 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $3B | 1% | — | −2 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $2B | 1% | — | −2 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $5B | 1% | — | −2 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $200M | 1% | — | −35 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $50M | 1% | — | −46 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.83K | in 75d |
| $1B | 1% | −1 pts | −10 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $813 | in 75d |
| $100M | 1% | 0 pts | −42 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $94 | in 75d |
| $10B | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $90.5 | in 75d |
| $400M | 1% | 0 pts | −15 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $77.9 | in 75d |
| $7B | <1% | — | −2 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $50 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17h | 999ssf | $50M | SellNo99¢ | $1,432 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | qqqmmmccc | $200M | SellNo97¢ → 99¢ | $1,764 | −$40 −2.2% | — |
| 2d | 999ssf2 fills | $1B | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $3,182 | +$137 +4.3% | 3 |
| 2d |  getrichall | $1B | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $4,810 | +$92 +1.9% | 3 |
| 2d | crypt-01 | $50M | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $1,526 | +$14 +0.9% | 2 |
| 2d | Choroo | $50M | SellNo96¢ → 99¢ | $1,628 | −$48 −3.0% | — |
| 2d | meimeide | $1B | BuyNo99¢ | $1,612 | −$1 −0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | 999ssf | $7B | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $2,120 | +$18 +0.9% | 2 |
| 2d | chenyuanyi | $1B | BuyNo99¢ | $2,100 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | chenyuanyi | $800M | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $1,058 | +$12 +1.1% | 2 |
| 2d | 999ssf | $50M | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,103 | +$52 +4.7% | 3 |
| 2d | 999ssf | $800M | BuyNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,363 | +$69 +5.0% | 2 |
| 3d | HEBI55 | $50M | BuyNo77¢ → 99¢ | $1,160 | +$337 +29% | 6 |
| 3d |  vinii | $1B | BuyNo91¢ → 99¢ | $3,535 | +$316 +8.9% | 4 |
| 38d | 1881aa | $1B | SellNo83¢ → 99¢ | $1,394 | −$258 −19% | — |
| 46d | cryptoincome | $1B | BuyNo90¢ → 99¢ | $1,506 | +$148 +9.8% | 4 |
| 68d | mefirofan | $3B | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,217 | +$47 +3.8% | 2 |
| 68d | mefirofan | $1B | BuyNo88¢ → 99¢ | $1,498 | +$185 +12% | 4 |
| 98d | krippos2 fills | $10B | BuyNo99¢ | $4,398 | −$9 −0.2% | 2 |
| 101d | ginnger2 fills | $10B | SellNo99¢ | $4,598 | +$5 +0.1% | — |
| 103d | ginnger | $10B | BuyNo100¢ → 99¢ | $3,204 | −$6 −0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | bonnbrt | $10B | BuyNo100¢ → 99¢ | $2,408 | −$5 −0.2% | 2 |
| 112d | dingguagua | $200M | BuyYes69¢ → 1¢ | $1,119 | −$1,107 −99% | 2 |
| 113d |  0xq0lt2 fills | $10B | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $6,938 | −$17 −0.2% | 2 |
| 114d |  bu66y | $10B | SellNo99¢ | $1,809 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 123d |  Hyperlong | $1B | BuyNo84¢ → 99¢ | $6,958 | +$1,231 +18% | 5 |
| 124d | bu66y | $10B | BuyNo99¢ | $1,944 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 129d |  iotys | $10B | BuyNo99¢ | $1,942 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 160d |  n00k1 | $10B | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $5,007 | −$25 −0.5% | 2 |
| 166d |  dosyya2 fills | $10B | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $6,816 | −$34 −0.5% | 2 |
| 174d |  b0rpie | $10B | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $1,256 | −$6 −0.5% | 2 |
| 174d |  cedt0n2 fills | $10B | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $2,347 | −$12 −0.5% | 2 |
| 186d | hellodi | $1B | BuyNo92¢ → 99¢ | $3,000 | +$225 +7.5% | 3 |
| 186d | mandy-cool-down | $1B | SellNo90¢ → 99¢ | $1,172 | −$115 −9.8% | — |
| 195d | tradexplorer | $1B | BuyNo91¢ → 99¢ | $1,080 | +$93 +8.6% | 3 |
| 201d |  v1nnee | $10B | BuyNo>99¢ → 99¢ | $2,021 | −$10 −0.5% | 2 |
| 201d | sswwmmii | $2B | SellNo91¢ → 99¢ | $1,847 | −$156 −8.4% | — |
| 201d | blanketxs84 | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,020 | −$40 −3.9% | — |
| 201d | blanketxs84 | $3B | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,022 | +$40 +3.9% | 2 |
| 202d | Fliphamster | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,134 | −$46 −4.1% | — |
| 202d | warm76 | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,221 | −$50 −4.1% | — |
| 202d | random-window | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,204 | −$49 −4.1% | — |
| 202d | sadnessfp14 | $2B | SellNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,089 | −$63 −5.8% | — |
| 202d | sadnessfp14 | $2B | BuyNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,089 | +$63 +5.8% | 2 |
| 202d | fame-industry | $2B | SellNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,338 | −$77 −5.8% | — |
| 202d | fame-industry | $2B | BuyNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,163 | +$67 +5.8% | 2 |
| 202d | Kidney.Visit.Soldier | $2B | BuyNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,182 | +$68 +5.8% | 2 |
| 202d | dwarf-midnight | $2B | SellNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,275 | −$71 −5.5% | — |
| 202d | Average86 | $2B | SellNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,237 | −$71 −5.8% | — |
| 202d | couch737 | $2B | SellNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,201 | −$66 −5.5% | — |
| 202d | fitness-kit-immune | $2B | SellNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,245 | −$69 −5.5% | — |
| 202d | street-equip-ethics | $2B | SellNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,119 | −$62 −5.5% | — |
| 202d | sorrysm15 | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,112 | −$47 −4.2% | — |
| 202d | Cruel7154 | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,220 | −$55 −4.5% | — |
| 202d | Begin-Way-East | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,178 | −$53 −4.5% | — |
| 202d | Begin-Way-East | $3B | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,178 | +$53 +4.5% | 2 |
| 202d | Cruel7154 | $3B | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,220 | +$55 +4.5% | 2 |
| 202d | art7395 | $3B | SellNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,108 | −$54 −4.9% | — |
| 202d | distance.level.tornado | $3B | SellNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,019 | −$50 −4.9% | — |
| 202d | jacket-slab | $3B | SellNo94¢ → 99¢ | $1,202 | −$59 −4.9% | — |
Hyperlong2,248 shares
Haradwaith1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for $800M means the market gives it about 1%.