| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 5,990 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $5,571 | +$879 +19% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,000 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $4,525 | −$25 −0.5% |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 3,896 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $3,851 | +$316 +8.9% |
| Denmark snap election called by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3,362 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $3,315 | +$203 +6.5% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 3,765 | 74¢ → 85¢ | $3,182 | +$394 +14% |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 3,904 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $2,998 | +$137 +4.8% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,255 | 67¢ → 91¢ | $2,946 | +$749 +34% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 3,403 | 72¢ → 83¢ | $2,835 | +$373 +15% |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 2,357 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $2,252 | +$269 +14% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,158 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $2,112 | +$186 +9.6% |
| Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,006 | 75¢ → 96¢ | $1,916 | +$418 +28% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,175 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $1,751 | −$73 −4.0% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 2,008 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $1,637 | +$131 +8.7% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Ends ended | Yes | 1,543 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $1,542 | +$68 +4.6% |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 1,639 | 69¢ → 92¢ | $1,509 | +$373 +33% |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,992 | 69¢ → 76¢ | $1,504 | +$125 +9.0% |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,830 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $1,483 | −$60 −3.9% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 2,500,000 and 2,750,000?Ends in 17d | No | 1,455 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $1,375 | +$161 +13% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $68B?Ends in 10d | No | 1,249 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $1,230 | +$91 +8.0% |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | No | 4,282 | 9¢ → 29¢ | $1,223 | +$854 +232% |
| America.gov removed by October 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,213 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $1,179 | +$57 +5.1% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 1,080 | 56¢ → 98¢ | $1,053 | +$449 +74% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 1,594 | 49¢ → 65¢ | $1,028 | +$248 +32% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1171d | Yes | 2,022 | 49¢ → 51¢ | $1,021 | +$36 +3.7% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 1,597 | 37¢ → 63¢ | $1,006 | +$411 +69% |
| Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 16d | El-Sayed | 1,097 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $1,004 | +$166 +20% |
| Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,321 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $997 | +$12 +1.2% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 400,000 and 450,000?Ends in 17d | No | 1,068 | 78¢ → 90¢ | $955 | +$124 +15% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,105 | 65¢ → 86¢ | $950 | +$229 +32% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,204 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $924 | −$59 −6.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 8d | No | 1,000 | 81¢ → 90¢ | $902 | +$97 +12% |
| Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 859 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $844 | +$122 +17% |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 966 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $826 | +$29 +3.6% |
| Will Clavicular visit China in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 798 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $771 | +$116 +18% |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 893 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $768 | +$107 +16% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 3,502 | 16¢ → 22¢ | $753 | +$190 +34% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 774 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $752 | +$115 +18% |
| Will Nayib Bukele win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election?Ends in 134d | Yes | 771 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $748 | +$66 +9.7% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,152 | 16¢ → 24¢ | $741 | +$239 +48% |
| Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 770 | 49¢ → 95¢ | $735 | +$357 +94% |
| Jumper listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE?Ends in 471d | No | 1,162 | 70¢ → 63¢ | $732 | −$84 −10% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,228 | 52¢ → 59¢ | $718 | +$85 +13% |
| Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | No | 843 | 54¢ → 82¢ | $687 | +$231 +51% |
| Will US win 55% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | No | 703 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $686 | +$53 +8.3% |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 693 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $674 | +$109 +19% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 700 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $655 | +$53 +8.7% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 722 | 77¢ → 89¢ | $643 | +$86 +15% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 692 | 62¢ → 90¢ | $623 | +$191 +44% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 817 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $617 | +$46 +8.1% |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Ends in 232d | No | 607 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $583 | +$120 +26% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,453 | 55¢ → 40¢ | $581 | −$213 −27% |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 727 | 63¢ → 79¢ | $574 | +$118 +26% |
| Will Newt Gingrich attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 564 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $541 | +$60 +12% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?Ends in 7d | No | 570 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $539 | +$26 +5.0% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 10d | Yes | 600 | 92¢ → 89¢ | $531 | −$22 −4.0% |
| Will Oman join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 527 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $523 | +$51 +11% |
| Netanyahu drops out before election?Ends in 9d | No | 522 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $517 | +$15 +3.0% |
| Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 640 | 60¢ → 79¢ | $502 | +$117 +31% |
| Will Vitinha finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 501 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $497 | +$16 +3.4% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1171d | No | 999 | 49¢ → 50¢ | $494 | +$5 +1.0% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 495 | 79¢ → >99¢ | $494 | +$104 +27% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 503 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $487 | +$33 +7.2% |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 540 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $483 | +$81 +20% |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 624 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $474 | +$6 +1.2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 498 | 50¢ → 94¢ | $468 | +$218 +87% |
| Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 527 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $461 | +$41 +9.9% |
| Will AfD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Ends ended | No | 465 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $458 | +$24 +5.4% |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 457 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $456 | +$17 +4.0% |
| Will Morocco join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 462 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $449 | +$29 +6.8% |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 519 | 68¢ → 86¢ | $447 | +$96 +27% |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 455 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $443 | +$86 +24% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 122m by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 449 | 77¢ → 98¢ | $440 | +$94 +27% |
| Will Together win less than 7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 466 | 76¢ → 95¢ | $440 | +$87 +25% |
| Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 438 | 51¢ → 98¢ | $428 | +$203 +91% |
| Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 481 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $426 | +$49 +13% |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 432 | 36¢ → 98¢ | $423 | +$268 +173% |
| Will Amazon be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 75d | No | 423 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $421 | +$36 +9.3% |
| Will Yashar win 24% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 418 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $407 | +$30 +7.9% |
| Will voter turnout be less than 62% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 43d | No | 425 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $402 | +$42 +12% |
| JD Vance Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 407 | 51¢ → 97¢ | $396 | +$190 +92% |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 411 | 71¢ → 94¢ | $386 | +$96 +33% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 828 | 31¢ → 46¢ | $385 | +$129 +50% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $270B by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 384 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $382 | +$39 +11% |
| James Comey charges dropped by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 502 | 26¢ → 71¢ | $354 | +$226 +176% |
| Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | No | 511 | 58¢ → 69¢ | $350 | +$53 +18% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?Ends in 17d | No | 361 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $349 | +$13 +3.8% |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 379 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $347 | +$46 +15% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?Ends in 90d | Yes | 757 | 31¢ → 46¢ | $344 | +$106 +45% |
| Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | Yes | 1,323 | 16¢ → 25¢ | $331 | +$120 +57% |
| Ron DeSantis Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 330 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $328 | +$23 +7.7% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?Ends in 440d | No | 464 | 74¢ → 70¢ | $325 | −$21 −6.0% |
| Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?Ends in 17d | Texas | 529 | 52¢ → 61¢ | $323 | +$46 +17% |
| Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 381 | 91¢ → 83¢ | $318 | −$30 −8.7% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Ends in 75d | No | 332 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $314 | +$49 +19% |
| Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 18, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 327 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $312 | +$33 +12% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 309 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $291 | +$30 +11% |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 295 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $291 | +$44 +18% |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $39B by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 354 | 88¢ → 82¢ | $290 | −$22 −7.0% |
| Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 43d | No | 311 | 72¢ → 93¢ | $289 | +$66 +30% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 296 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $287 | +$41 +17% |
