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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $12 | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 75d |
| ↑ $10 | 6% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | $514 | in 75d |
| ↑ $20 | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 75d |
| ↓ $2 | 23% | −1 pts | +6 pts | 22¢ · 23¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| ↑ $8 | 14% | +5 pts | −4 pts | 10¢ · 18¢ (8¢) | $266 | in 75d |
| ↓ $2.5 | 63% | +11 pts | +26 pts | 54¢ · 71¢ (17¢) | $261 | in 75d |
| ↑ $6 | 28% | −4 pts | −11 pts | 26¢ · 29¢ (3¢) | $54.7 | in 75d |
| ↑ $15 | 4% | −1 pts | −3 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | $20 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29d | CauchyBraids2 fills | ↑ $6 | BuyYes75¢ → 28¢ | $5,958 | −$3,773 −63% | 6 |
| 44d | randomlypunting | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,118 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 44d | foxi00 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,801 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 57d | OoopsBankrupt | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $1,463 | −$1,463 −100% | 2 |
| 116d | sdasdasdad1243 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | SellNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,542 | +$1,542 +100% | — |
| 135d | kageyuki | ↑ $10 | SellNo94¢ | $1,362 | −$0 −0.0% | — |
| 159d | jdcgo | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | SellNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,386 | +$1,386 +100% | — |
| 169d | sdasdasdad1243 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 2 |
| 180d |  NeverYES | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $4,351 | −$4,351 −100% | 2 |
| 181d | jbauer242 fills | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | SellNo82¢ → 0¢ | $3,296 | +$3,296 +100% | — |
| 222d |  CoinTrick | Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,597 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 222d | shprota | Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,133 | +$64 +2.1% | 2 |
| 222d | yee1232 fills | Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,996 | +$224 +2.5% | 2 |
| 225d |  VibeyQuant | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,203 | −$1,203 −100% | 2 |
| 235d | hypebot | Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | +$433 +31% | 2 |
| 258d | nawatthg2 fills | ↑ $10 | BuyNo90¢ → 94¢ | $4,357 | +$158 +3.6% | 4 |
| 258d | MistahFox | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,148 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 258d | love2bluff | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | SellYes28¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | −$3,037 −252% | — |
| 259d | Gruesome-Veneer | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,331 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 259d | forge38 | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,713 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 260d | BuDuZenMeYing | ↑ $10 | SellNo89¢ → 94¢ | $2,463 | −$129 −5.2% | — |
| 262d | KRIS93 | Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $1,103 | −$1,103 −100% | 2 |
| 266d | clixon | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 2 |
| 272d | hubtc400 | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $7,109 | +$2,370 +33% | 2 |
| 274d | zuzuw | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | +$481 +32% | 2 |
| 274d | Michel de Nostredame | ↑ $10 | BuyNo88¢ → 94¢ | $2,200 | +$141 +6.4% | 4 |
| 277d |  WolfTrades | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,923 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 277d | cypheonz2 fills | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,807 | +$234 +6.1% | 2 |
| 277d |  silviu812 | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | +$95 +7.7% | 2 |
| 277d | imakebigbets | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,866 | +$578 +15% | 2 |
| 278d | yuanbo | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | +$225 +18% | 2 |
| 278d |  olegs | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,360 | +$640 +19% | 2 |
| 279d |  SongXiaoFeng | ↑ $10 | BuyNo90¢ → 94¢ | $2,079 | +$84 +4.1% | 4 |
| 279d |  XieGuangKun | ↑ $10 | BuyNo89¢ → 94¢ | $1,537 | +$80 +5.2% | 4 |
| 279d |  chtotyt | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | SellNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | +$1,400 +100% | — |
| 280d | XieGuangKun | ↑ $6 | BuyNo63¢ → 73¢ | $1,250 | +$200 +16% | 7 |
| 285d |  Tuku | ↑ $10 | BuyNo85¢ → 94¢ | $1,700 | +$173 +10% | 5 |
| 285d | sklifasovsy | Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027? | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,656 | −$1,656 −100% | 4 |
| 285d |  lankysco | Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027? | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$168 −16% | — |
| 286d | xiapazi | ↑ $8 | SellNo79¢ → 86¢ | $2,319 | −$208 −9.0% | — |
| 286d | sanbengzi | ↑ $8 | BuyNo78¢ → 86¢ | $2,211 | +$230 +10% | 6 |
| 286d | xiapazi | ↑ $8 | BuyNo78¢ → 86¢ | $2,289 | +$238 +10% | 6 |
| 286d | gaga1 | ↑ $8 | BuyNo78¢ → 86¢ | $2,377 | +$247 +10% | 6 |
| 286d | suanzao | ↑ $8 | BuyNo78¢ → 86¢ | $3,019 | +$314 +10% | 6 |
| 287d | chtotyt | ↑ $8 | BuyYes21¢ → 14¢ | $1,428 | −$490 −34% | 9 |
| 287d | jbauer24 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $2,157 | −$2,157 −100% | 5 |
| 288d | hypebot | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,186 | −$1,186 −100% | 3 |
| 288d | cypheonz | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$502 +45% | 2 |
| 288d |  anamnesis | ↑ $10 | BuyNo83¢ → 94¢ | $1,134 | +$146 +13% | 5 |
Dr.PNL87 shares
AlAhmeda20 sharesWhat price will Lighter hit before 2027?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for ↑ $12 means the market gives it about 4%.