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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nayib Bukele | 97% | — | — | 96¢ · 98¢ (2¢) | — | in 134d |
| Rafael Aguirre | 2% | — | +2 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 134d |
| Alirio García Flamenco | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 134d |
| Mayteé Iraheta | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 134d |
| Orlando del Cid | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 134d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in El Salvador on February 28, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by February 29, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Supreme Electoral Tribunal of El Salvador (https://www.tse.gob.sv/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 97¢ for Nayib Bukele means the market gives it about 97%.