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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 24% | +2 pts | — | 23¢ · 24¢ (1¢) | $6.78K | in 76d |
| October 31 | 5% | −2 pts | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (<1¢) | $2K | in 15d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | M2sx92kljs42 | December 31 | BuyNo73¢ → 77¢ | $2,352 | +$103 +4.4% | 38 |
| 3d | M2sx92kljs42 | October 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 95¢ | $3,493 | +$58 +1.7% | 25 |
| 4d |  tetrase | October 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 95¢ | $1,464 | +$59 +4.0% | 26 |
| 4d | tetrase | December 31 | BuyNo76¢ → 77¢ | $4,177 | +$47 +1.1% | 36 |
truthteller4,043 shares
vinii3,152 shares
balthazar897 sharestetrase7,893 shares
CosmooKramer639 shares
Haradwaith469 shares
ArmageddonRewardsBilly400 shares
Isengard1159 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Ilhan Omar between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 24¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 24%.