| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,595 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $2,414 | +$138 +6.1% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,885 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $1,706 | +$69 +4.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 1,791 | 81¢ → 80¢ | $1,424 | −$27 −1.9% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | No | 1,243 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $1,143 | +$139 +14% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for SpaceXAI / Elon Musk by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,120 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,080 | +$28 +2.7% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Ends ended | Yes | 1,000 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1,000 | +$5 +0.5% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,022 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $962 | +$133 +16% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | No | 983 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $957 | +$99 +11% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 800 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $787 | +$35 +4.7% |
| Will there be 1 US aircraft carrier in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 833 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $770 | +$123 +19% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 740 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $697 | +$136 +24% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,077 | 38¢ → 33¢ | $675 | −$119 −15% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,000 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $675 | +$15 +2.3% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 600 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $585 | +$6 +1.0% |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 576 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $553 | +$81 +17% |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $471 | +$6 +1.2% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 451 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $411 | +$67 +20% |
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 505 | 74¢ → 80¢ | $404 | +$28 +7.4% |
| Will the UK Budget include a land value tax?Ends in 11d | No | 410 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $391 | +$25 +6.7% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 437 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $378 | +$42 +12% |
| Will the UK Budget include an increase to capital gains tax?Ends in 11d | No | 547 | 58¢ → 64¢ | $347 | +$30 +9.3% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 510 | 68¢ → 66¢ | $337 | −$11 −3.1% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 309 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $273 | −$2 −0.9% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 297 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $269 | +$16 +6.2% |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 329 | 70¢ → 81¢ | $267 | +$38 +17% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,772 | 24¢ → 10¢ | $263 | −$390 −60% |
| Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 324 | 81¢ → 77¢ | $250 | −$12 −4.5% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 245 | 77¢ → 98¢ | $239 | +$50 +26% |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Ends in 440d | No | 220 | 65¢ → 97¢ | $214 | +$71 +50% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 11d | Yes | 250 | 79¢ → 85¢ | $211 | +$14 +7.0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 250 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $209 | +$10 +4.8% |
| Will Houthis target Pakistan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $198 | +$7 +3.8% |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | No | 262 | 61¢ → 75¢ | $195 | +$36 +23% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$14 +7.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 200 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $193 | +$3 +1.7% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | No | 200 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$40 +26% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $184 | +$2 +1.1% |
| Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 225 | 89¢ → 82¢ | $183 | −$17 −8.4% |
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $178 | +$11 +6.7% |
| Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 209 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $175 | −$2 −0.9% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 182 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $170 | +$25 +17% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 230 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $169 | −$1 −0.9% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 203 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $168 | −$3 −1.8% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 72¢ → 67¢ | $166 | −$14 −7.6% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 2,062 | 26¢ → 8¢ | $165 | −$374 −69% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 160 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $151 | +$10 +7.2% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 155 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $149 | +$12 +8.8% |
| Astra removed from public access by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 153 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $149 | +$5 +3.8% |
| Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 331 | 37¢ → 44¢ | $146 | +$24 +20% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 810 | 34¢ → 18¢ | $145 | −$128 −47% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $139 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 360 | 44¢ → 39¢ | $139 | −$20 −12% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 556 | 22¢ → 24¢ | $131 | +$8 +6.8% |
| Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 175 | 84¢ → 75¢ | $130 | −$17 −11% |
| Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 586 | 14¢ → 21¢ | $120 | +$40 +50% |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15?Ends ended | No | 120 | 59¢ → 98¢ | $118 | +$46 +65% |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 977 | 16¢ → 12¢ | $117 | −$39 −25% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 122 | 66¢ → 87¢ | $106 | +$25 +31% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026?Ends in 21d | No | 165 | 45¢ → 62¢ | $101 | +$28 +38% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 100 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$4 +4.0% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$6 +6.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 8,159 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $94 | −$36 −27% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$5 +5.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $93 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $91 | +$9 +10% |
| Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $90 | −$2 −1.6% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 343 | 30¢ → 26¢ | $87 | −$14 −14% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 90 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $86 | +$5 +5.7% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$2 +1.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 105 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $85 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20?Ends in 3d | No | 98 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $83 | +$3 +4.3% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 561 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $70 | +$4 +6.7% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 70 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $66 | +$6 +11% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 70 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $62 | +$2 +3.5% |
| Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 53d | No | 85 | 70¢ → 67¢ | $57 | −$3 −4.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 60 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $56 | +$9 +18% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 800 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $56 | −$15 −21% |
| Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 68 | 55¢ → 77¢ | $52 | +$15 +40% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Ends ended | No | 50 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$6 +13% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 8?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 42¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$27 +129% |
| Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$2 +4.3% |
| Will Houthis target Syria by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$9 +22% |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 241 | 45¢ → 20¢ | $47 | −$61 −57% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 81¢ → 91¢ | $46 | +$5 +12% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 50 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $45 | +$4 +9.8% |
| Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?Ends in 172d | No | 50 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $43 | +$1 +3.0% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 25¢ → 21¢ | $41 | −$9 −18% |
| Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 47 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $41 | +$4 +10% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 1,200 | 11¢ → 3¢ | $41 | −$93 −70% |
| Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 28, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 76¢ → 95¢ | $38 | +$8 +26% |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 50 | 22¢ → 75¢ | $37 | +$26 +239% |
| Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?Ends in 14d | No | 40 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $36 | −$1 −3.2% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 126 | 48¢ → 28¢ | $36 | −$24 −40% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 37 | 83¢ → 97¢ | $35 | +$5 +17% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 50 | 79¢ → 71¢ | $35 | −$4 −11% |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 345 | 25¢ → 10¢ | $34 | −$53 −61% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 1,000 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $34 | +$16 +88% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 983 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $26 | −$5 −17% |
