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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 43% | — | −5 pts | 42¢ · 43¢ (1¢) | $156 | in 54d |
| 1 | 33% | −5 pts | +4 pts | 23¢ · 43¢ (20¢) | $269 | in 54d |
| 2 | 8% | −5 pts | −4 pts | 7¢ · 10¢ (3¢) | $350 | in 53d |
| 3 | 8% | −2 pts | −5 pts | 5¢ · 10¢ (5¢) | $435 | in 53d |
| 4+ | 2% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | $146 | in 53d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d |  0xdc3E831cad | 4+ | BuyNo81¢ → 98¢ | $2,361 | +$501 +21% | 23 |
0xdc3E831cad1,006 shares
ArmageddonRewardsBilly60 shares
Mithrandir.40 sharesThe December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 43¢ for 0 means the market gives it about 43%.