| Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 150 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $122 | −$5 −3.6% |
| Will keiko have the most kills for NRG at VALORANT Champions 2026?Ends in 31d | Yes | 120 | 44¢ → 99¢ | $119 | +$67 +126% |
| Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 150 | 65¢ → 64¢ | $96 | −$2 −1.5% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | No | 120 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $94 | −$2 −1.9% |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 150 | 64¢ → 59¢ | $88 | −$8 −8.6% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 120 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $85 | −$3 −3.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | Yes | 120 | 75¢ → 71¢ | $85 | −$5 −6.0% |
| Will United Torah Judaism win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 150 | 60¢ → 55¢ | $83 | −$8 −8.3% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 120 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $82 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 120 | 76¢ → 67¢ | $80 | −$11 −12% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?Ends in 8h | No | 110 | 52¢ → 72¢ | $79 | +$22 +38% |
| Will Virginie Efira be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 150 | 60¢ → 51¢ | $77 | −$14 −15% |
| Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Ends ended | Yes | 86 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $75 | +$9 +13% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 39d | No | 125 | 66¢ → 59¢ | $73 | −$9 −11% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 103 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $73 | +$1 +1.4% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?Ends in 8d | Yes | 120 | 71¢ → 61¢ | $73 | −$13 −15% |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | No | 97 | 49¢ → 74¢ | $71 | +$24 +50% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 75 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $71 | +$9 +14% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 133 | 26¢ → 53¢ | $70 | +$35 +100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 120 | 64¢ → 58¢ | $70 | −$7 −9.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 120 | 67¢ → 57¢ | $69 | −$11 −14% |
| SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 89 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $69 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 150 | 56¢ → 46¢ | $68 | −$16 −19% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 77¢ → 67¢ | $67 | −$11 −14% |
| Will Nelly Dever win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 123 | 17¢ → 54¢ | $66 | +$45 +212% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 10%-15%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 40¢ → 33¢ | $65 | −$15 −19% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 120 | 57¢ → 53¢ | $64 | −$5 −7.0% |
| Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 150 | 40¢ → 42¢ | $63 | +$3 +5.5% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1171d | No | 125 | 49¢ → 50¢ | $62 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 120 | 52¢ → 51¢ | $61 | −$1 −1.9% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 120 | 51¢ → 51¢ | $61 | $0 0.0% |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 99 | 56¢ → 62¢ | $61 | +$5 +9.8% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Ends in 103d | No | 123 | 41¢ → 50¢ | $61 | +$11 +22% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 39d | Yes | 125 | 63¢ → 49¢ | $61 | −$18 −23% |
| Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?Ends in 106d | No | 120 | 56¢ → 51¢ | $61 | −$7 −9.8% |
| Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 440d | No | 100 | 77¢ → 61¢ | $61 | −$17 −21% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 150 | 39¢ → 40¢ | $59 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 140 | 44¢ → 42¢ | $58 | −$3 −5.4% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 75 | 24¢ → 78¢ | $58 | +$40 +223% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?Ends in 1d | Yes | 85 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $57 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 45¢ → 28¢ | $57 | −$33 −37% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | No | 150 | 41¢ → 38¢ | $56 | −$5 −8.5% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 142 | 37¢ → 40¢ | $56 | +$4 +6.9% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | No | 150 | 41¢ → 37¢ | $55 | −$7 −11% |
| Will Tunisia win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group H?Ends in 164d | No | 131 | 33¢ → 42¢ | $54 | +$11 +26% |
| Will "Forgotten Island" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 120 | 52¢ → 45¢ | $54 | −$8 −13% |
| Will Eric Oncins qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?Ends in 204d | No | 100 | 83¢ → 54¢ | $54 | −$30 −36% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | No | 120 | 52¢ → 45¢ | $53 | −$9 −14% |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 100 | 55¢ → 53¢ | $53 | −$2 −3.6% |
| Will J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?Ends in 439d | Yes | 100 | 35¢ → 53¢ | $53 | +$18 +51% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election?Ends in 16d | No | 120 | 52¢ → 44¢ | $53 | −$10 −15% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 120 | 43¢ → 44¢ | $52 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Ends ended | No | 60 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $52 | +$6 +12% |
| Will the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 138 | 37¢ → 37¢ | $51 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 120 | 60¢ → 43¢ | $51 | −$21 −29% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 120 | 49¢ → 42¢ | $50 | −$8 −14% |
| Will Cameron Skattebo have 824.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 75 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $50 | −$2 −2.9% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | Yes | 90 | 59¢ → 55¢ | $50 | −$3 −6.4% |
| Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 100 | 55¢ → 50¢ | $50 | −$6 −10% |
| Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | Yes | 125 | 65¢ → 40¢ | $49 | −$32 −39% |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $660 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 100 | 43¢ → 49¢ | $49 | +$6 +14% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$3 +6.4% |
| Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 150 | 33¢ → 33¢ | $49 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Burkina Faso win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group F?Ends in 164d | No | 119 | 43¢ → 41¢ | $48 | −$3 −5.8% |
| Will Mexico win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup?Ends in 267d | Yes | 118 | 43¢ → 41¢ | $48 | −$3 −5.8% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | No | 150 | 33¢ → 32¢ | $47 | −$2 −4.5% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 65 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $47 | +$3 +5.9% |
| Will Barcelona score the most goals in the UCL league phase?Ends in 133d | Yes | 105 | 46¢ → 45¢ | $47 | −$1 −3.1% |
| Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 43¢ → 47¢ | $47 | +$4 +8.1% |
| Will Layne Riggs win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?Ends in 34d | Yes | 134 | 39¢ → 35¢ | $46 | −$6 −12% |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Ends in 106d | Yes | 95 | 48¢ → 49¢ | $46 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 120 | 24¢ → 38¢ | $46 | +$17 +58% |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 57 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $46 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $15 in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 35¢ → 46¢ | $46 | +$11 +30% |
| Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?Ends in 58d | Yes | 107 | 52¢ → 43¢ | $45 | −$10 −18% |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $222 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 50 | 46¢ → 91¢ | $45 | +$22 +97% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 440d | Yes | 75 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $45 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Ends in 440d | No | 58 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $45 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?Ends in 256d | Yes | 90 | 56¢ → 50¢ | $45 | −$6 −12% |
| Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 125 | 51¢ → 36¢ | $44 | −$19 −30% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | No | 125 | 62¢ → 36¢ | $44 | −$33 −43% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,800,000 and 2,950,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 150 | 37¢ → 30¢ | $44 | −$11 −20% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 60 | 21¢ → 74¢ | $44 | +$32 +250% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?Ends in 12d | No | 100 | 50¢ → 44¢ | $44 | −$6 −12% |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 69 | 52¢ → 64¢ | $44 | +$8 +22% |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $43 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | Yes | 120 | 41¢ → 36¢ | $43 | −$6 −12% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 120 | 46¢ → 36¢ | $43 | −$12 −22% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 126 | 45¢ → 34¢ | $43 | −$14 −24% |
| Will James Cook have 1,449.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 86d | No | 60 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $43 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 120 | 48¢ → 36¢ | $43 | −$15 −26% |
| Will Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | Yes | 69 | 47¢ → 61¢ | $42 | +$10 +30% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 121 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $42 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 125 | 49¢ → 34¢ | $42 | −$19 −32% |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 52¢ → 42¢ | $42 | −$11 −20% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 98 | 30¢ → 43¢ | $41 | +$12 +42% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 120 | 36¢ → 35¢ | $41 | −$2 −4.2% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?Ends in 10d | No | 120 | 57¢ → 35¢ | $41 | −$27 −39% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 120 | 40¢ → 35¢ | $41 | −$7 −14% |
| Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 44 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $41 | +$5 +13% |
