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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 57% | — | +9 pts | 57¢ · 58¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| 7 | 36% | −4 pts | −13 pts | 35¢ · 36¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| 8 | 2% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 76d |
| 10+ | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| 9 | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| ≤5 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026. Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 57¢ for 6 means the market gives it about 57%.