| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 449 | 22¢ → 87¢ | $389 | +$290 +293% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 151 | 21¢ → 62¢ | $93 | +$61 +189% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 157 | 60¢ → 37¢ | $59 | −$35 −37% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 131 | 40¢ → 39¢ | $51 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 309 | 33¢ → 13¢ | $40 | −$61 −60% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 51 | 39¢ → 42¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 24 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.8% |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 21 | >99¢ → 97¢ | $21 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 24 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 42 | 35¢ → 46¢ | $20 | +$5 +33% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 19 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $19 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 107 | 14¢ → 15¢ | $16 | +$2 +12% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 19 | 65¢ → 82¢ | $16 | +$3 +27% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 16 | 47¢ → 94¢ | $15 | +$8 +100% |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 35 | 28¢ → 43¢ | $15 | +$5 +52% |
| Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 40 | 25¢ → 36¢ | $14 | +$4 +44% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 30 | 51¢ → 47¢ | $14 | −$1 −6.9% |
| Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 18 | 54¢ → 79¢ | $14 | +$4 +45% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 14 | 99¢ → 96¢ | $13 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 21 | 48¢ → 64¢ | $13 | +$3 +33% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?Ends in 440d | No | 39 | 11¢ → 34¢ | $13 | +$9 +205% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 71¢ → 91¢ | $13 | +$3 +28% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 19 | 52¢ → 64¢ | $12 | +$2 +22% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 12 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 12 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 12 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | No | 15 | 99¢ → 80¢ | $12 | −$3 −20% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3%-6%?Ends in 17d | No | 12 | 84¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$2 +19% |
| Will Scott Black win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 13 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $11 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 14 | 72¢ → 83¢ | $11 | +$1 +15% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 17d | No | 11 | 88¢ → >99¢ | $11 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 12 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 66 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $11 | +$1 +10% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | No | 11 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 112 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $11 | −$4 −28% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 9%-12%?Ends in 17d | No | 11 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?Ends in 439d | No | 11 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +5.6% |
| Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 12 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $10 | +$1 +5.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 12%-15%?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.0% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 11 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 10 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 440d | Anthropic | 11 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?Ends in 439d | No | 11 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | No | 53 | 11¢ → 19¢ | $10 | +$4 +69% |
| Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 31 | 32¢ → 33¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | No | 10 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | No | 10 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 10 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?Ends in 440d | No | 10 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?Ends in 17d | No | 13 | 78¢ → 75¢ | $9 | −$0 −4.7% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 10 | 73¢ → 96¢ | $9 | +$2 +32% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 520,000 and 560,000?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $9 | +$1 +15% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 19¢ | $9 | −$1 −7.5% |
| Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Ends in 232d | No | 9 | 80¢ → 99¢ | $9 | +$2 +23% |
| Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 14 | 72¢ → 65¢ | $9 | −$1 −10% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be less than 480,000?Ends in 17d | No | 9 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 8 | 83¢ → >99¢ | $8 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Ends in 8h | No | 9 | 69¢ → 99¢ | $8 | +$3 +43% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 16 | 52¢ → 53¢ | $8 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 8 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $8 | +$1 +11% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 8 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $8 | +$0 +6.6% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 7 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 7 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | No | 7 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 7 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Ends in 74d | No | 7 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 7 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 7 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 7 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $7 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 7 | >99¢ → 98¢ | $7 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will the African Democratic Congress (ADC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Ends in 91d | No | 7 | >99¢ → 98¢ | $7 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | No | 9 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $7 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | No | 9 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $7 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be 720,000 or more?Ends in 17d | No | 9 | 99¢ → 78¢ | $7 | −$2 −21% |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 96¢ → 93¢ | $7 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 440d | No | 16 | 60¢ → 40¢ | $7 | −$3 −34% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 480,000 and 520,000?Ends in 17d | No | 7 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $7 | +$1 +8.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 30%-35%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21 | 20¢ → 31¢ | $6 | +$2 +52% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 6 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $6 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Ends in 232d | No | 7 | 71¢ → 77¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.7% |
| Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 38 | 26¢ → 14¢ | $5 | −$5 −46% |
| Will Tanya Saari win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 6 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.1% |
| Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 7 | 70¢ → 75¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 5 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 28 | 22¢ → 19¢ | $5 | −$1 −16% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | No | 5 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Ends in 106d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Carlos Herrera Tello win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Ends in 232d | No | 5 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Helene Andersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Ends ended | No | 5 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 6 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.3% |
