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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael López Aliaga | 92% | +5 pts | +1 pts | 91¢ · 94¢ (3¢) | $1.1K | ended |
| Francis James Allison Oyague | 1% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $2.37K | ended |
| Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santiago Rosendo Abarca León | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sandro Caller Gutiérrez | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jessica Viviana Linares Romero | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rubén José Ramírez Mateo | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Flor de María Hurtado Valdez | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Samuel Marcos Daza Taype | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Segundo Valdez Zavala | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Samir Frank Quispe Caballero | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yehude Simón Munaro | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d |  ZiK.2 fills | Rafael López Aliaga | BuyYes84¢ → 92¢ | $6,264 | +$619 +9.9% | 21 |
| 6d | Coordinated-Leather3 fills | Francis James Allison Oyague | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $4,887 | +$79 +1.6% | 12 |
| 6d | Nikname2003 | Rafael López Aliaga | SellYes90¢ → 92¢ | $1,529 | −$40 −2.6% | — |
| 11d | marchonnow | Rafael López Aliaga | SellYes94¢ → 92¢ | $2,412 | +$44 +1.8% | — |
| 12d |  mrworldwide | Rafael López Aliaga | BuyYes88¢ → 92¢ | $1,991 | +$90 +4.5% | 18 |
| 12d |  nilomassa | Rafael López Aliaga | SellYes95¢ → 92¢ | $1,383 | +$36 +2.6% | — |
| 12d | nilomassa | Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca | SellNo97¢ → >99¢ | $1,515 | −$41 −2.7% | — |
| 13d | John1699 | Rafael López Aliaga | BuyYes96¢ → 92¢ | $1,000 | −$34 −3.4% | 14 |
| 13d | pkz | Rafael López Aliaga | BuyYes91¢ → 92¢ | $1,784 | +$27 +1.5% | 17 |
| 14d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Rafael López Aliaga | BuyYes86¢ → 92¢ | $1,589 | +$116 +7.3% | 22 |
| 18d | skw123aa2 fills | Rafael López Aliaga | SellYes88¢ → 92¢ | $3,251 | −$177 −5.5% | — |
| 18d | Nikname2003 | Rafael López Aliaga | BuyYes88¢ → 92¢ | $1,499 | +$70 +4.7% | 19 |
| 18d | MSFTQQQ | Rafael López Aliaga | BuyYes88¢ → 92¢ | $4,420 | +$200 +4.5% | 19 |
| 18d | skw123aa2 fills | Rafael López Aliaga | BuyYes84¢ → 92¢ | $2,344 | +$234 +10.0% | 21 |
| 19d | ZiK. | Rafael López Aliaga | SellYes83¢ → 92¢ | $1,621 | −$181 −11% | — |
| 21d | marchonnow | Rafael López Aliaga | BuyYes72¢ → 92¢ | $3,991 | +$1,131 +28% | 29 |
| 24d | megaforest | Rafael López Aliaga | BuyYes71¢ → 92¢ | $6,357 | +$1,931 +30% | 29 |
| 46d | arbandy | Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca | BuyYes27¢ → <1¢ | $1,665 | −$1,652 −99% | 12 |
| 67d | KiernanMeister | Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera | BuyNo88¢ → >99¢ | $1,779 | +$249 +14% | 10 |
| 67d | KiernanMeister | Francis James Allison Oyague | BuyNo79¢ → 99¢ | $1,899 | +$462 +24% | 24 |
| 67d | KiernanMeister | Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca | BuyNo73¢ → >99¢ | $1,393 | +$504 +36% | 10 |
| 84d | KiernanMeister | Yehude Simón Munaro | BuyNo97¢ → >99¢ | $2,201 | +$71 +3.2% | 10 |
mrworldwide9,080 sharesZiK.8,036 shares
ruizom3,333 shares
arjennnnn3,200 sharesThe 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 92¢ for Rafael López Aliaga means the market gives it about 92%.