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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2027 | 21% | — | −4 pts | 20¢ · 21¢ (1¢) | — | in 166d |
| December 31, 2026 | 4% | — | — | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $402 | in 76d |
| June 30, 2027 | 35% | — | −6 pts | 34¢ · 35¢ (1¢) | $20 | in 257d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d | lug | December 31, 2026 | SellNo96¢ | $1,803 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | gambler925 | December 31, 2026 | SellNo96¢ | $1,030 | +$3 +0.3% | — |
| 20d | 0x5936…37982 fills | December 31, 2026 | SellNo96¢ | $12,915 | +$34 +0.3% | — |
| 24d | KiernanMeister | December 31, 2026 | SellNo96¢ | $1,924 | +$9 +0.5% | — |
| 24d | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,780 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 25d | katbot | December 31, 2026 | SellNo96¢ | $1,011 | −$0 −0.0% | — |
| 26d | imjustalarp | December 31, 2026 | SellNo96¢ | $1,730 | +$7 +0.4% | — |
| 28d | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,655 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 34d | marcozhou | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo98¢ → 96¢ | $5,700 | −$127 −2.2% | 21 |
| 34d | chivoexpiatorio | December 31, 2026 | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,082 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 34d | ObserverInterface | December 31, 2026 | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $2,274 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 34d | wqujvj | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo96¢ | $3,121 | −$8 −0.3% | 23 |
| 34d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $3,442 | +$52 +1.5% | 24 | |
| 42d | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,691 | +$35 +0.9% | 20 | |
| 44d | Another-Allowance | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,004 | +$16 +0.8% | 20 |
| 46d | enrico-vasaio | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | +$16 +0.8% | 20 |
| 46d | schizohedgehog | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo87¢ → 96¢ | $2,678 | +$269 +10% | 29 |
| 49d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo85¢ → 96¢ | $11,443 | +$1,447 +13% | 30 | |
| 51d | Arden312 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$14 +1.3% | 20 |
| 58d | Insidious-Latte | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes26¢ → 4¢ | $2,998 | −$2,514 −84% | 45 |
| 58d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo82¢ → 96¢ | $4,776 | +$789 +17% | 32 | |
| 61d | GaryCaoQi | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo80¢ → 96¢ | $1,000 | +$197 +20% | 33 |
| 63d | 033033033 | Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $37,607 | +$41 +0.1% | 20 |
| 65d | hideo | December 31, 2026 | SellNo83¢ → 96¢ | $1,376 | −$208 −15% | — |
| 67d | Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,765 | +$228 +2.6% | 20 | |
| 76d | Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo83¢ → 96¢ | $1,084 | +$167 +15% | 31 |
| 77d | Another-Allowance | Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 85d | 0330330332 fills | Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $63,936 | +$64 +0.1% | 20 |
| 88d | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,100 | +$156 +5.0% | 20 | |
| 89d | enrico-vasaio | Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$24 +1.2% | 20 |
| 90d | IAmSeuz | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,318 | −$93 −7.1% | — |
| 92d | QMG-CORE | Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,652 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 94d | Copyright-1 | December 31, 2026 | SellNo81¢ → 96¢ | $1,212 | −$221 −18% | — |
| 97d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo66¢ → 96¢ | $2,797 | −$1,283 −46% | — | |
| 98d | third-eye3 fills | Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,815 | +$41 +0.6% | 20 |
| 99d | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$60 +4.2% | 20 | |
| 99d | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo79¢ → 96¢ | $4,765 | +$980 +21% | 34 | |
| 111d | Paul973973 | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo78¢ → 96¢ | $2,000 | +$440 +22% | 34 |
| 113d | third-eye | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,561 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 113d | Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,840 | +$160 +3.3% | 20 | |
| 118d | Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,487 | +$198 +1.6% | 20 | |
| 119d | QMG-VOL2 fills | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,283 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 121d | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $37,038 | +$507 +1.4% | 20 | |
| 124d | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 20 | |
| 124d | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes85¢ → 4¢ | $2,000 | −$1,900 −95% | 30 | |
| 124d | 0x5375…aeea2 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes76¢ → 4¢ | $4,516 | −$4,265 −94% | 36 |
| 124d | 0x5375…aeea | December 31, 2026 | SellYes39¢ → 4¢ | $2,301 | +$2,050 +89% | — |
| 125d | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $27,641 | −$55 −0.2% | — | |
| 125d | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,634 | −$81 −0.7% | — | |
| 128d | December 31, 2026 | SellYes46¢ → 4¢ | $1,301 | +$1,180 +91% | — | |
| 128d | December 31, 2026 | SellNo50¢ → 96¢ | $4,754 | −$4,343 −91% | — | |
| 128d | danielleggerman | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,616 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 128d | Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,185 | +$65 +2.0% | 20 | |
| 128d | Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,675 | +$164 +3.5% | 20 | |
| 128d | December 31, 2026 | SellYes45¢ → 4¢ | $1,058 | +$957 +90% | — | |
| 128d | churna | Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$29 +2.5% | 20 |
| 129d | Another-Allowance | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,005 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 130d | Avamax | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 130d | Evwo-Jaza | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,013 | −$1,013 −100% | 20 |
| 135d | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | +$16 +1.0% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 21¢ for March 31, 2027 means the market gives it about 21%.