| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 527 | 75¢ → 86¢ | $450 | +$56 +14% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | No | 1,200 | 46¢ → 38¢ | $450 | −$100 −18% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 500 | 36¢ → 87¢ | $433 | +$253 +140% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,500 | 33¢ → 28¢ | $421 | −$76 −15% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 651 | 56¢ → 53¢ | $343 | −$24 −6.5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,181 | 33¢ → 28¢ | $325 | −$60 −15% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 700 | 32¢ → 45¢ | $312 | +$90 +40% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 400 | 57¢ → 78¢ | $311 | +$85 +37% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 313 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $286 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 1,000 | 33¢ → 24¢ | $235 | −$95 −29% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,074 | 23¢ → 9¢ | $176 | −$295 −63% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 106d | No | 210 | 67¢ → 73¢ | $152 | +$12 +8.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 170 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $145 | +$7 +4.8% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 156 | 73¢ → 76¢ | $118 | +$4 +3.8% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 715 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $97 | −$3 −2.6% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 100 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $74 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $63 | −$1 −0.8% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 436 | 24¢ → 12¢ | $52 | −$52 −50% |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,196 | 13¢ → 4¢ | $51 | −$103 −67% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 84¢ | $42 | −$2 −4.0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $38 | −$1 −1.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $36 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 57¢ → 35¢ | $35 | −$23 −39% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 84¢ → 69¢ | $34 | −$8 −18% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 50 | 64¢ → 44¢ | $22 | −$10 −32% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 126 | 28¢ → 10¢ | $13 | −$23 −64% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 28¢ → 12¢ | $12 | −$17 −59% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 14¢ → 11¢ | $11 | −$3 −21% |
| Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherEnds in 17d | Yes | 4,983 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$7 −50% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 8 | 72¢ → 88¢ | $7 | +$1 +22% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 110 | 92¢ → 7¢ | $7 | −$94 −93% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 17¢ → 5¢ | $3 | −$6 −71% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 28¢ → 15¢ | $2 | −$1 −46% |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 31¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$1 +220% |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 76¢ → 98¢ | $1 | +$0 +28% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 67¢ → 93¢ | $1 | +$0 +38% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 18¢ → 85¢ | $1 | +$1 +372% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1 | 61¢ → 69¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $1 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 13¢ → 28¢ | $0 | +$0 +110% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$1 −75% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1 | 24¢ → 21¢ | $0 | −$0 −13% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 31¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$0 −83% |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 69 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 1,928 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,346 −100% |
| Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,351 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 696 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$243 −100% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,857 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$158 −100% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 249,907 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,556 −100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$420 −100% |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 76,739 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$230 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10,095 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,840 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$170 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,438 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$565 −100% |
| Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence CrawfordSettled - ready to redeem | Canelo | 2,500 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,550 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,091 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$67 −100% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 583 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$372 −100% |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu WangSettled - ready to redeem | Xiyu Wang | 50 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will Karen Khachanov win the 2025 US Open?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,600 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 2,500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | JD Gaming | 300 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,739 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$564 −100% |
| Epstein client list released by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17,280 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,292 −100% |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14,437 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,002 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,256 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$700 −100% |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,422 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$328 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 230 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6,989 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$149 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 59,872 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$958 −100% |
| Wuhan Tennis Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Jessica PegulaSettled - ready to redeem | Jessica Pegula | 117 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$230 −100% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$320 −100% |
| Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 557 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,200 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$312 −100% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,471 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$970 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,534 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$121 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,694 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,180 −100% |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 88,642 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$285 −100% |
| Washington Nationals vs. Detroit TigersSettled - ready to redeem | Detroit Tigers | 1,700 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$845 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 492 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$243 −100% |
| Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$213 −100% |
| France to score first vs. Morocco?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20,691 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$218 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,837 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$486 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 895 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$118 −100% |
| Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29,113 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,947 −100% |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 125m and 130m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,213 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$727 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 989 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$339 −100% |
