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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255d |  bamesjond11 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $47,292 | −$84 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | cripes33 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $61,397 | −$61 −0.1% | — |
| 255d | Canine-Darkness | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,370 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  thegreengem3 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $57,751 | +$121 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d | DJBLAK | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  Contentious-Dinnerdate | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | okcoolstorybro4 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $294,645 | +$355 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | Bearpp | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,237 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  chungguskhan2 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $286,270 | +$731 +0.3% | 4 |
| 255d |  sleepy-panda2 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | tsekinming012 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,768 | +$33 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | rwo2 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $19,960 | −$40 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | Morpheus694 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo<1¢ | $6,975 | −$6,975 −100% | 19 |
| 255d |  BloodyMummer | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,211 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | Snoorrason2 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,220 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | eastpak | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $26,062 | −$52 −0.2% | — |
| 255d |  classified | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,774 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40f | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | DawnOfYemen | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | 12edhuwadf | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,026 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 255d |  babymoore | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,613 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | kukubaja | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 255d |  sorcerer.08 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  DickTurbin9 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $69,852 | −$148 −0.2% | — |
| 255d |  pmtosat-2 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,037 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | alex562 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $19,960 | −$40 −0.2% | — |
| 255d |  aldynspeedruns2 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $85,556 | +$157 +0.2% | 4 |
| 255d | ethlayermaxim | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,114 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | franklineth | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $8,597 | −$17 −0.2% | — |
| 255d |  Rituximab | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  50StackSteve | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,010 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | Kevindoto5 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $181,636 | −$364 −0.2% | — |
| 255d |  Snow-White | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $135,529 | −$272 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | Hans323 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $20,831 | −$42 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C295 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $152,658 | −$286 −0.2% | — |
| 255d |  sayrus | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,471 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | alliswell | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 255d |  duderr9 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $26,656 | −$65 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | pantomime | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,878 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | 55BURGERS55FRIES55TACOS55PIES55COKES100 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,036 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | 564yh | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,094 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | 12edhuwadf | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,030 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | sebert | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,096 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 255d |  tornadoo | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,288 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | ASDFGH43132 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,827 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  vinii | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  oliintoon | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,346 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 255d |  GollumGekko | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,249 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  pup1 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  Official-Market-Maker | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $65,678 | −$66 −0.1% | — |
| 255d |  tourists5 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $211,045 | −$241 −0.1% | — |
| 255d |  LlamaEnjoyer | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $49,950 | −$50 −0.1% | — |
| 255d |  tsybka8 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $533,790 | −$534 −0.1% | — |
| 255d | lfg321 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $199,800 | −$200 −0.1% | — |
| 255d |  tetrase4 fills | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $28,751 | −$49 −0.2% | — |
| 255d | Flancho | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellYes>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 255d | Official-Market-Maker | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $79,696 | +$80 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  HolyMoses7 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d | mndsr | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 255d |  thecountdooku | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
rubberduck134 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.