| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 162,000 | 50¢ → >99¢ | $161,757 | +$80,757 +100% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | No | 7,908 | 59¢ → 91¢ | $7,196 | +$2,522 +54% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6,864 | 30¢ → 87¢ | $5,937 | +$3,866 +187% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 4,182 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $3,241 | −$179 −5.2% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | No | 3,617 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $2,912 | −$43 −1.5% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 2,948 | 30¢ → 69¢ | $2,019 | +$1,144 +131% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,893 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,833 | +$32 +1.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 8,511 | 15¢ → 22¢ | $1,830 | +$529 +41% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 16,414 | 19¢ → 10¢ | $1,682 | −$1,439 −46% |
| Will Noam be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | No | 1,646 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,615 | +$36 +2.3% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | No | 1,300 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $1,138 | +$96 +9.2% |
| Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,150 | 74¢ → 97¢ | $1,119 | +$270 +32% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | No | 1,665 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $1,112 | +$71 +6.8% |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Ends in 134d | No | 909 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $894 | +$77 +9.4% |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,378 | 64¢ → 61¢ | $834 | −$43 −4.9% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,138 | 34¢ → 54¢ | $616 | +$230 +60% |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 804 | 80¢ → 73¢ | $587 | −$56 −8.8% |
| Will Elazar Stern be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Ends in 134d | No | 565 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $557 | +$55 +11% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 545 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $525 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | No | 1,300 | 49¢ → 40¢ | $520 | −$121 −19% |
| Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | No | 471 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $449 | +$21 +4.8% |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,251 | 23¢ → 30¢ | $369 | +$84 +30% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 902 | 31¢ → 39¢ | $352 | +$70 +25% |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Ends in 134d | No | 357 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $350 | +$22 +6.7% |
| Will Shas win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 333 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $310 | +$26 +9.2% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,138 | 4¢ → 27¢ | $302 | +$261 +642% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | No | 357 | 64¢ → 72¢ | $257 | +$29 +13% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 742 | 32¢ → 35¢ | $256 | +$15 +6.3% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 732 | 33¢ → 35¢ | $252 | +$11 +4.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 264 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $249 | +$4 +1.6% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 162,000 | 50¢ → <1¢ | $243 | −$80,483 −100% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 364 | 51¢ → 63¢ | $230 | +$45 +24% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 258 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $228 | +$13 +6.0% |
| Will Gilad Kariv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Ends in 134d | No | 246 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $218 | +$7 +3.1% |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | Yes | 400 | 50¢ → 54¢ | $214 | +$14 +7.2% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 222 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $213 | +$3 +1.6% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | No | 963 | 22¢ → 22¢ | $212 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 218 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $211 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Ends in 134d | No | 211 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $208 | +$9 +4.5% |
| Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | No | 303 | 56¢ → 68¢ | $206 | +$36 +21% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 11,429 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $206 | −$360 −64% |
| Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 286 | 67¢ → 70¢ | $200 | +$8 +3.9% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 240 | 40¢ → 79¢ | $190 | +$95 +100% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 238 | 75¢ → 73¢ | $173 | −$6 −3.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 178 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $172 | +$1 +0.8% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 173 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $161 | +$16 +11% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,138 | 4¢ → 14¢ | $154 | +$113 +278% |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 134d | No | 167 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $153 | +$6 +4.2% |
| Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | Yes | 174 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $151 | +$12 +8.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 143 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $137 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 190 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $136 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15,839 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $127 | +$35 +37% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 134d | No | 148 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $125 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | Yes | 440 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $125 | −$4 −3.2% |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Ends in 134d | No | 129 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $125 | +$10 +8.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 125 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $121 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 171 | 6¢ → 69¢ | $118 | +$108 +1095% |
| Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | No | 240 | 40¢ → 46¢ | $110 | +$14 +14% |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 16,778 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $109 | −$1,027 −90% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 115 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $108 | +$7 +7.5% |
| Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Ends ended | No | 108 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $107 | +$2 +1.8% |
| Will UTJ win 11 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$8 +9.2% |
| Will United Torah Judaism win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 101 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $97 | +$4 +3.8% |
| Will Dems win 14 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 100 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$5 +5.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 100 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,234 | 2¢ → 8¢ | $94 | +$73 +352% |
| Will Michael Malchieli be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Ends in 134d | No | 110 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $93 | +$7 +8.2% |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 127 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $91 | +$4 +4.8% |
| Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 88 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $84 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will Elazar Stern be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Ends in 134d | No | 88 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $84 | +$6 +7.6% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 12,610 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $82 | −$47 −37% |
| Will Oded Forer be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?Ends in 134d | No | 80 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $76 | +$8 +12% |
| Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 13,919 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $70 | +$38 +122% |
| Will Unity win 1-2% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 68 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $68 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | No | 97 | 59¢ → 69¢ | $66 | +$9 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 238 | 22¢ → 28¢ | $65 | +$13 +25% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 79 | 76¢ → 83¢ | $65 | +$5 +8.4% |
| Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Ends in 134d | No | 72 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $64 | +$2 +2.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 63 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $62 | −$1 −0.9% |
| Will Yoav Ben-Tzur be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Ends in 134d | No | 80 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $62 | −$2 −3.8% |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 223 | 10¢ → 27¢ | $60 | +$38 +170% |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 364 | 9¢ → 16¢ | $59 | +$24 +71% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 150 | 57¢ → 39¢ | $58 | −$28 −32% |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 134d | Yes | 1,393 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $56 | +$28 +101% |
| Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 60 | 73¢ → 93¢ | $56 | +$12 +27% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 152 | 33¢ → 34¢ | $51 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 100 | 23¢ → 49¢ | $49 | +$26 +113% |
| Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 70 | 67¢ → 66¢ | $46 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?Ends in 440d | Yes | 50 | 3¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$44 +2839% |
| Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 171 | 6¢ → 27¢ | $45 | +$34 +309% |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Ends in 10d | Yes | 50 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $44 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | Yes | 347 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $43 | −$9 −17% |
| Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 15,386 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $38 | −$1,109 −97% |
| Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 39 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $38 | +$6 +18% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 52 | 20¢ → 73¢ | $38 | +$27 +263% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?Ends in 134d | Yes | 501 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $36 | +$6 +21% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?Ends in 134d | Yes | 513 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $33 | −$4 −12% |
| Will Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper) be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?Ends in 134d | No | 31 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $29 | +$2 +5.9% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 6,256 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $28 | −$217 −89% |
