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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 78% | −1 pts | — | 77¢ · 78¢ (1¢) | $12.7K | in 54d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17h | Chakamanle | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyNo21¢ → 22¢ | $1,049 | +$63 +6.0% | 17 |
| 1d | podairpod2 fills | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes84¢ → 78¢ | $5,322 | −$405 −7.6% | 21 |
| 1d |  Hyperlong | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes78¢ | $1,363 | −$9 −0.6% | 16 |
| 1d | Ferwhere6 fills | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyNo21¢ → 22¢ | $8,701 | +$435 +5.0% | 42 |
| 1d |  foodenjoyer7 fills | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyNo15¢ → 22¢ | $32,857 | +$17,437 +53% | 53 |
| 2d | simpleman11 fills | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes86¢ → 78¢ | $48,255 | −$4,553 −9.4% | 20 |
| 2d |  Roflan-ludoman | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes82¢ → 78¢ | $1,695 | −$93 −5.5% | 16 |
| 2d | melchior1248 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes82¢ → 78¢ | $2,460 | −$135 −5.5% | 19 |
| 2d | forgetfuldory3 fills | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes88¢ → 78¢ | $5,759 | −$716 −12% | 18 |
| 3d | melonmanm2 fills | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes87¢ → 78¢ | $3,892 | −$412 −11% | 19 |
| 3d | foodenjoyer | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes86¢ → 78¢ | $3,685 | −$364 −9.9% | 19 |
| 3d | JonTay | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes85¢ → 78¢ | $2,609 | +$230 +8.8% | — |
| 3d | 0xd640…480c2 fills | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes84¢ → 78¢ | $3,057 | +$232 +7.6% | — |
| 3d | JonTay | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes85¢ → 78¢ | $2,607 | −$229 −8.8% | 18 |
| 3d | Poligarch | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes82¢ → 78¢ | $8,532 | −$511 −6.0% | 22 |
| 5d | QMG-CORE | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes77¢ → 78¢ | $1,504 | +$10 +0.6% | 17 |
| 5d | 0xd640…480c2 fills | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes76¢ → 78¢ | $2,527 | +$35 +1.4% | 22 |
| 6d | suntori2 fills | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyNo23¢ → 22¢ | $3,333 | −$126 −3.8% | 36 |
| 6d | gambler925 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes78¢ | $1,027 | −$7 −0.6% | 15 |
| 7d | Elposton | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyNo24¢ → 22¢ | $1,200 | −$65 −5.4% | 18 |
| 8d |  HorribleWork | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes79¢ → 78¢ | $2,749 | −$52 −1.9% | 22 |
| 8d | qubyte2 fills | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes77¢ → 78¢ | $2,963 | −$19 −0.6% | — |
| 9d | MasterElite | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes78¢ | $1,300 | −$8 −0.6% | 16 |
| 9d | qubyte2 fills | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes78¢ | $3,001 | −$19 −0.6% | 24 |
| 9d |  Car | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes77¢ → 78¢ | $1,505 | +$10 +0.6% | 17 |
| 11d | TheReturnOfDarthMaul2 fills | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes80¢ → 78¢ | $4,526 | −$158 −3.5% | 23 |
| 12d | Mikeliu10241 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellNo24¢ → 22¢ | $1,235 | +$81 +6.6% | — |
| 12d | rspa | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellNo24¢ → 22¢ | $1,346 | +$62 +4.6% | — |
| 14d | skydodo | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes70¢ → 78¢ | $1,622 | −$174 −11% | — |
| 15d | widheji | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes70¢ → 78¢ | $3,218 | −$345 −11% | — |
| 15d | rspa | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyNo26¢ → 22¢ | $1,623 | −$218 −13% | 22 |
| 15d | hideo | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes76¢ → 78¢ | $4,243 | −$62 −1.5% | — |
| 15d | 0x2a5f…6c92 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes77¢ → 78¢ | $1,386 | +$9 +0.6% | 17 |
| 15d | simpleman2 fills | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes88¢ → 78¢ | $13,203 | +$1,584 +12% | — |
| 16d | Delta141 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes82¢ → 78¢ | $1,000 | −$55 −5.5% | 14 |
| 16d |  dnaghsa | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes80¢ → 78¢ | $1,976 | +$63 +3.2% | — |
| 17d | 0x5287…3a16 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes85¢ → 78¢ | $1,929 | +$170 +8.8% | — |
| 17d | nope3050 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes84¢ → 78¢ | $2,480 | +$186 +7.5% | — |
| 17d |  GoldmanSachs | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes87¢ → 78¢ | $1,178 | +$126 +11% | — |
| 17d | GoldmanSachs | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes92¢ → 78¢ | $4,998 | −$789 −16% | 15 |
| 18d | TheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengard | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes91¢ → 78¢ | $4,011 | −$595 −15% | 16 |
| 20d | nope3050 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes91¢ → 78¢ | $3,640 | −$540 −15% | 16 |
| 21d | KobaKoba | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes90¢ → 78¢ | $1,569 | +$218 +14% | — |
| 24d | widheji | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes87¢ → 78¢ | $3,740 | −$408 −11% | 19 |
| 25d | bambooo2 fills | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyNo15¢ → 22¢ | $2,866 | +$1,337 +47% | 35 |
| 25d | aiwar | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes86¢ → 78¢ | $2,580 | −$255 −9.9% | 18 |
| 27d |  HolyMoses7 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes86¢ → 78¢ | $2,385 | +$245 +10% | — |
| 27d | WarriorH | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes85¢ → 78¢ | $2,340 | −$206 −8.8% | 17 |
| 27d | Spiderman161716 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes84¢ → 78¢ | $13,718 | −$1,062 −7.7% | 21 |
| 29d | Tempting-Designation | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes84¢ → 78¢ | $2,000 | −$155 −7.7% | 17 |
| 29d | KobaKoba | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes84¢ → 78¢ | $1,465 | −$113 −7.7% | 15 |
| 30d | ChatGPT-5 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes81¢ → 78¢ | $1,194 | −$52 −4.3% | 15 |
| 30d |  Melampus | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyNo19¢ → 22¢ | $1,000 | +$169 +17% | 16 |
| 30d | dnaghsa | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes81¢ → 78¢ | $2,000 | −$86 −4.3% | 18 |
| 30d | Belated-Smuggling | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes81¢ → 78¢ | $3,000 | −$130 −4.3% | 22 |
balthazar14,748 sharesRoflan-ludoman11,828 sharesfoodenjoyer225,430 shares
The-Joker5,484 sharesMelampus5,195 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 78¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 78%.