| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 593,512 | 79¢ → 97¢ | $574,816 | +$104K +22% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 178,355 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $167,476 | +$6,157 +3.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 574,826 | 60¢ → 24¢ | $135,084 | −$211K −61% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 148,198 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $126,709 | +$4,640 +3.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 139,613 | 87¢ → 62¢ | $87,119 | −$34,313 −28% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 108,923 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $75,157 | −$640 −0.8% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 106,000 | 85¢ → 63¢ | $66,250 | −$23,909 −27% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | Yes | 80,000 | 81¢ → 78¢ | $62,000 | −$2,999 −4.6% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 50,747 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $50,569 | +$2,915 +6.1% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 53,822 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $44,672 | +$1,934 +4.5% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | No | 44,502 | 78¢ → 98¢ | $43,501 | +$8,801 +25% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 50,000 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $39,250 | −$3,250 −7.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 118,400 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $32,560 | −$1,424 −4.2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 33,000 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $32,225 | +$2,954 +10% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 213,530 | 50¢ → 14¢ | $28,827 | −$78,143 −73% |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 28,693 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $27,932 | +$2,707 +11% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 30,000 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $27,150 | −$350 −1.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30,000 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $27,150 | −$300 −1.1% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 26,910 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $26,694 | +$3,850 +17% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 24,022 | 83¢ → >99¢ | $23,950 | +$4,031 +20% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 20,744 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $19,914 | +$2,008 +11% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 17,000 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $15,665 | +$816 +5.5% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 15,451 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $14,926 | +$399 +2.7% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 20,000 | 88¢ → 73¢ | $14,500 | −$3,200 −18% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 21,294 | 73¢ → 57¢ | $12,244 | −$3,266 −21% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 10,512 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $9,913 | +$192 +2.0% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 8,000 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $7,780 | +$295 +3.9% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | Yes | 11,921 | 83¢ → 62¢ | $7,331 | −$2,583 −26% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 13,000 | 49¢ → 48¢ | $6,175 | −$195 −3.1% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d | No | 5,884 | 84¢ → >99¢ | $5,857 | +$900 +18% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 5,060 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $4,906 | −$16 −0.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5,000 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $4,853 | +$273 +5.9% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 5,000 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $4,780 | +$990 +26% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 5,000 | 75¢ → 96¢ | $4,775 | +$1,008 +27% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 4,700 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $4,371 | +$660 +18% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 32,000 | 18¢ → 14¢ | $4,320 | −$1,460 −25% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 5,000 | 73¢ → 85¢ | $4,225 | +$575 +16% |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,600 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $3,510 | +$243 +7.4% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 4,730 | 70¢ → 63¢ | $2,956 | −$341 −10% |
| Stripe IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,902 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $2,836 | +$281 +11% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,681 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $2,643 | +$371 +16% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 2,500 | 77¢ → 98¢ | $2,437 | +$507 +26% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 440d | Anthropic | 2,504 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $2,384 | +$49 +2.1% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 79d | Anthropic | 2,585 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $2,352 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 2,300 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $2,213 | +$121 +5.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20,577 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $1,955 | −$808 −29% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,876 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $1,856 | +$111 +6.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 5,000 | 22¢ → 23¢ | $1,168 | +$53 +4.7% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 1,200 | 66¢ → 95¢ | $1,141 | +$348 +44% |
| Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?Ends in 79d | Anthropic + OpenAI | 3,000 | 69¢ → 32¢ | $960 | −$1,110 −54% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 966 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $940 | +$51 +5.8% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,065 | 82¢ → 59¢ | $628 | −$243 −28% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 574 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $572 | +$24 +4.3% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 511 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $486 | +$26 +5.6% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,000 | 46¢ → 6¢ | $440 | −$3,224 −88% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,000 | 13¢ → 22¢ | $430 | +$160 +59% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 1,802 | 55¢ → 24¢ | $424 | −$568 −57% |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9,920 | 13¢ → 4¢ | $422 | −$868 −67% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 416 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $406 | +$61 +18% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 377 | 75¢ → 98¢ | $369 | +$87 +31% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 330 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $324 | +$48 +17% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10,000 | 28¢ → 3¢ | $310 | −$2,537 −89% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | Yes | 9,000 | 76¢ → 3¢ | $283 | −$6,556 −96% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 15,000 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $225 | −$825 −79% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 400 | 44¢ → 51¢ | $204 | +$30 +17% |
| Will Trump endorse Augusto Cury for President of Brazil?Ends in 8d | No | 183 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $182 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil?Ends in 8d | No | 166 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $164 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,017 | 32¢ → 14¢ | $146 | −$175 −55% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,000 | 45¢ → 12¢ | $115 | −$333 −74% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 400 | 36¢ → 28¢ | $110 | −$34 −24% |
| Will Trump endorse Romeu Zema for President of Brazil?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $99 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,915 | 91¢ → 2¢ | $37 | −$1,708 −98% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 80¢ → 12¢ | $1 | −$7 −86% |