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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 95% | — | −1 pts | 95¢ · 96¢ (1¢) | $1.81K | in 441d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | prediction-trader | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BuyAnthropic95¢ | $1,133 | −$2 −0.2% | 23 |
| 9d | GOLADS962 fills | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BuyAnthropic96¢ → 95¢ | $5,925 | −$30 −0.5% | 23 |
| 9d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SellAnthropic96¢ → 95¢ | $1,661 | +$18 +1.1% | — |
| 14d | jcsberger | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SellAnthropic96¢ → 95¢ | $2,120 | +$24 +1.1% | — |
| 15d | Paul9739738 fills | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BuyAnthropic91¢ → 95¢ | $17,100 | +$880 +5.1% | 26 |
| 27d | thebetter12342 fills | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BuyAnthropic94¢ → 95¢ | $6,139 | +$76 +1.2% | 24 |
| 35d |  0xwordjnn | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SellAnthropic93¢ → 95¢ | $2,457 | −$45 −1.8% | — |
| 35d | jcsberger | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BuyAnthropic94¢ → 95¢ | $1,080 | +$19 +1.7% | 24 |
| 35d | liamweber | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SellAnthropic93¢ → 95¢ | $1,347 | −$26 −1.9% | — |
| 36d | doppio1v93 fills | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SellAnthropic96¢ → 95¢ | $19,656 | +$70 +0.4% | — |
| 37d | Jjw | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SellAnthropic96¢ → 95¢ | $1,521 | +$17 +1.1% | — |
| 45d |  Seutervoinen | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BuyAnthropic95¢ | $1,783 | +$4 +0.2% | 23 |
| 57d | doppio1v95 fills | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BuyAnthropic88¢ → 95¢ | $18,139 | +$1,447 +8.0% | 28 |
| 66d |  vinii | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SellAnthropic84¢ → 95¢ | $1,687 | −$225 −13% | — |
| 67d | vinii | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BuyAnthropic85¢ → 95¢ | $1,700 | +$204 +12% | 30 |
| 106d | sealil | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SellAnthropic88¢ → 95¢ | $2,783 | −$237 −8.5% | — |
| 113d |  WarriorPooh | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BuyAnthropic77¢ → 95¢ | $4,176 | +$992 +24% | 35 |
| 127d |  Coram_Deo2 fills | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SellAnthropic81¢ → 95¢ | $4,777 | −$809 −17% | — |
| 131d | Coram_Deo2 fills | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BuyAnthropic74¢ → 95¢ | $2,413 | +$671 +28% | 37 |
| 138d | sealil | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BuyAnthropic47¢ → 95¢ | $1,500 | +$1,520 +101% | 40 |
| 149d |  akimbogod | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | BuyOpenAI74¢ → 5¢ | $1,179 | −$1,103 −93% | 38 |
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 95¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 95%.
