| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 20,000 | 56¢ → 91¢ | $18,100 | +$6,850 +61% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 13,467 | 57¢ → 95¢ | $12,801 | +$5,103 +66% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Ends in 165d | No | 3,000 | 0¢ → 80¢ | $2,385 | +$2,385 +0.0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,810 | 42¢ → 71¢ | $1,981 | +$787 +66% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 1,250 | 60¢ → 87¢ | $1,083 | +$333 +44% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,500 | 9¢ → 28¢ | $982 | +$676 +221% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 1,750 | 53¢ → 56¢ | $971 | +$45 +4.9% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 50¢ → 94¢ | $944 | +$444 +89% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 2,898 | 17¢ → 25¢ | $710 | +$210 +42% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 1,500 | 4¢ → 46¢ | $683 | +$616 +928% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 9,687 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $581 | +$169 +41% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 7,188 | 2¢ → 8¢ | $571 | +$403 +239% |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 3,466 | 3¢ → 14¢ | $503 | +$400 +392% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 490 | 79¢ → 91¢ | $445 | +$60 +16% |
| Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?Ends in 10h | No | 615 | 32¢ → 59¢ | $363 | +$166 +84% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,875 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $252 | +$82 +48% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,250 | 9¢ → 16¢ | $194 | +$83 +75% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,898 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $193 | −$9 −4.5% |
| Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 341 | 34¢ → 56¢ | $189 | +$75 +65% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,997 | 2¢ → 8¢ | $150 | +$109 +263% |
| Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 250 | 15¢ → 60¢ | $149 | +$111 +297% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 250 | 13¢ → 57¢ | $144 | +$111 +342% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,041 | 7¢ → 14¢ | $140 | +$63 +80% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,000 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $140 | −$10 −6.7% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 3,000 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $138 | +$41 +42% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 8d | No | 727 | 6¢ → 19¢ | $134 | +$91 +208% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 3,000 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $133 | +$36 +37% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,729 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $132 | −$2 −1.5% |
| Will Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Ends ended | No | 200 | <1¢ → 66¢ | $132 | +$131 +16387% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d | Yes | 3,000 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $130 | +$33 +34% |
| Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 19¢ → 12¢ | $125 | −$66 −34% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 440d | OpenAI | 2,566 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $123 | +$7 +5.9% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 7,076 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $120 | +$83 +220% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 282 | 5¢ → 41¢ | $114 | +$101 +767% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,492 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $112 | −$8 −6.7% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 3,301 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $111 | −$35 −24% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,500 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $104 | −$497 −83% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,894 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $92 | +$53 +137% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,783 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $89 | −$31 −26% |
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 784 | 2¢ → 11¢ | $89 | +$71 +405% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,031 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $88 | −$38 −30% |
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,652 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $88 | +$36 +70% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,662 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $79 | −$38 −33% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 2,128 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $78 | +$15 +24% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2,937 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $75 | −$11 −13% |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,526 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $74 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 212 | 31¢ → 34¢ | $71 | +$5 +8.1% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,000 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $70 | +$30 +75% |
| Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Ends in 256d | No | 500 | 7¢ → 14¢ | $70 | +$35 +100% |
| Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 4,640 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $70 | −$44 −39% |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 250 | 3¢ → 28¢ | $69 | +$62 +825% |
| Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 728 | 4¢ → 9¢ | $65 | +$34 +106% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 883 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $62 | +$33 +115% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | No | 250 | 9¢ → 25¢ | $61 | +$39 +172% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,725 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $60 | +$35 +140% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,175 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $59 | +$28 +90% |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,501 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $58 | +$13 +28% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 828 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $58 | +$30 +113% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,250 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $58 | +$39 +206% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 165 | 13¢ → 34¢ | $56 | +$35 +162% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | Yes | 88 | 41¢ → 63¢ | $55 | +$19 +52% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,480 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $53 | +$4 +7.5% |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 848 | 3¢ → 6¢ | $53 | +$25 +88% |
| Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 190 | 5¢ → 27¢ | $51 | +$42 +442% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,630 | 31¢ → 3¢ | $51 | −$457 −90% |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 213 | 2¢ → 24¢ | $51 | +$47 +1110% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 198 | 7¢ → 26¢ | $51 | +$37 +266% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,750 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $51 | +$16 +45% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 12,467 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $50 | −$340 −87% |
| Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 239 | 4¢ → 21¢ | $50 | +$40 +421% |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 250 | 6¢ → 20¢ | $49 | +$34 +225% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,115 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $47 | +$22 +88% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 844 | 2¢ → 6¢ | $47 | +$30 +180% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 1,003 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $46 | +$16 +53% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 9¢ | $44 | +$34 +340% |
| Will Michael Vogiatzakis win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 963 | <1¢ → 5¢ | $44 | +$39 +827% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,183 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $44 | −$19 −30% |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,563 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $42 | +$14 +50% |
| Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d | Yes | 92 | 21¢ → 45¢ | $41 | +$22 +112% |
| US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 556 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $40 | +$19 +93% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 500 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $40 | +$15 +60% |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 659 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $40 | +$8 +26% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | No | 801 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $39 | +$9 +32% |
| Will Congress override any veto in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 183 | 6¢ → 21¢ | $39 | +$28 +277% |
| Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | No | 39 | 41¢ → 98¢ | $38 | +$22 +138% |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 39 | 50¢ → 97¢ | $38 | +$18 +93% |
| Will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 898 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $38 | +$17 +84% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 120 | 8¢ → 31¢ | $37 | +$27 +281% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 355 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $36 | −$6 −14% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 75d | Yes | 686 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $33 | +$13 +62% |
| Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 305 | 4¢ → 11¢ | $32 | +$20 +163% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,250 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $32 | −$6 −15% |
| Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,074 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $32 | −$17 −35% |
| Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 295 | 5¢ → 11¢ | $31 | +$17 +117% |
| Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 952 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $30 | −$6 −16% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 435 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $30 | +$17 +138% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 500 | 2¢ → 6¢ | $30 | +$20 +200% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 78d | Yes | 451 | 1¢ → 7¢ | $29 | +$24 +424% |
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 366 | 2¢ → 8¢ | $29 | +$23 +384% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | No | 500 | 3¢ → 6¢ | $28 | +$13 +87% |
