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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clara Luz Flores Carrales | 34% | 0 pts | +22 pts | 22¢ · 47¢ (25¢) | — | in 233d |
| Mariana Rodríguez Cantú | 27% | −2 pts | −1 pts | 25¢ · 29¢ (3¢) | $378 | in 233d |
| Adrián de la Garza Santos | 23% | −5 pts | −3 pts | 15¢ · 30¢ (15¢) | $10.6 | in 233d |
| Waldo Fernández González | 12% | +3 pts | −4 pts | 7¢ · 18¢ (11¢) | — | in 233d |
| Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas | 7% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 2¢ · 11¢ (9¢) | $48.1 | in 233d |
| Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo | 5% | +3 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 10¢ (9¢) | — | in 233d |
| Judith Díaz Delgado | 5% | +1 pts | +4 pts | 1¢ · 9¢ (8¢) | — | in 233d |
| Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla | 3% | −2 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 233d |
| Jesús Alberto Elizondo | 3% | 0 pts | −7 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 233d |
| Félix Arratia Cruz | 3% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 233d |
| Martha Herrera González | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 233d |
| Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 233d |
| Miguel Flores Serna | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 233d |
| Andrés Mijes Llovera | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 233d |
| Carlos de la Fuente Flores | 1% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Arturo Salinas Garza | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 233d |
| Daniel Carrillo Martínez | <1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Raúl Lozano Caballero | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Fernando Margáin Berlanga | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Héctor García García | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Annia Gómez Cárdenas | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51d |  FrozenParasite | Daniel Carrillo Martínez | BuyNo81¢ → >99¢ | $2,002 | +$463 +23% | 10 |
| 53d | FrozenParasite | Mariana Rodríguez Cantú | BuyNo68¢ → 73¢ | $1,216 | +$90 +7.4% | 30 |
| 63d | FrozenParasite | Clara Luz Flores Carrales | BuyNo83¢ → 66¢ | $1,616 | −$345 −21% | 10 |
FrozenParasite280 shares
LornaPredicts98 shares
Hyperlong200 sharesGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 34¢ for Clara Luz Flores Carrales means the market gives it about 34%.