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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imelda Castro Castro | 55% | −1 pts | −23 pts | 41¢ · 69¢ (28¢) | $1.86 | in 232d |
| Mario Zamora Gastélum | 31% | 0 pts | +19 pts | 16¢ · 47¢ (32¢) | $70 | in 232d |
| María Teresa Guerra Ochoa | 3% | — | +2 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | $0.02 | in 232d |
| Graciela Domínguez Nava | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Ricardo Madrid Pérez | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Tomás de Jesús López Bajo | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Guillermo Romero Rodríguez | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Sergio Torres Félix | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Jesús Fernando García Hernández | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Roxana Rubio Valdez | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Estrella Palacios Domínguez | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Omar López Campos | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Lucila Ayala de Moreschi | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Paloma Sánchez Ramos | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| Eduardo Ortiz Hernández | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| María Fernanda Rivera | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $0.01 | in 232d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29d | 0x0742…1b48 | Imelda Castro Castro | SellYes85¢ → 55¢ | $1,276 | +$454 +36% | — |
| 51d |  FrozenParasite | María Teresa Guerra Ochoa | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,291 | +$63 +4.9% | 15 |
| 55d | KiernanMeister | María Teresa Guerra Ochoa | BuyNo80¢ → 97¢ | $1,586 | +$342 +22% | 23 |
Belgaron1,041 sharesFrozenParasite729 shares
Nadmi341 shares
Haradwaith304 shares
Dr.PNL53 shares
LornaPredicts49 sharesGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 55¢ for Imelda Castro Castro means the market gives it about 55%.