| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 150 | 80¢ → 78¢ | $116 | −$4 −3.1% |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 113 | 93¢ → 90¢ | $101 | −$4 −3.9% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 120 | 79¢ → 73¢ | $88 | −$7 −7.4% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | Yes | 120 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $87 | +$2 +2.1% |
| Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 100 | 85¢ → 76¢ | $76 | −$9 −11% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | No | 80 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $64 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $63 | −$2 −2.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 80 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $61 | −$2 −2.6% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 106 | 54¢ → 54¢ | $57 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $55 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | Yes | 90 | 60¢ → 61¢ | $54 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?Ends in 287d | No | 60 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $49 | −$1 −2.4% |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Ends in 8d | Yes | 60 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $49 | −$3 −5.2% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 8d | Yes | 59 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $48 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?Ends in 439d | No | 137 | 31¢ → 35¢ | $47 | +$5 +13% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 75 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $47 | −$2 −3.8% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?Ends in 440d | Yes | 51 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $47 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $46 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 440d | No | 56 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $46 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 75 | 65¢ → 62¢ | $46 | −$3 −5.4% |
| Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?Ends in 16d | No | 77 | 67¢ → 60¢ | $46 | −$6 −11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 60 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $45 | −$3 −6.8% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $44 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $44 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 60 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $44 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $43 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $43 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | No | 50 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $43 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 60 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $43 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will Kefas Ropshik win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $43 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 200 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $42 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 7d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 84¢ | $42 | −$2 −5.1% |
| Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 50 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $42 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will Dauda Lawal win the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | Yes | 50 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $42 | −$1 −2.4% |
| Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Ends in 42d | No | 47 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $41 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $41 | +$1 +3.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $41 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the CPN-UML candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 77¢ → 83¢ | $41 | +$3 +7.1% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 200 | 23¢ → 21¢ | $41 | −$5 −11% |
| Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Ends in 29d | No | 50 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $41 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | Yes | 50 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $40 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | No | 60 | 65¢ → 66¢ | $39 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | No | 60 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $38 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 83¢ → 77¢ | $38 | −$3 −7.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 170 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $38 | −$4 −10% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election?Ends in 17d | No | 61 | 62¢ → 62¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 80 | 50¢ → 48¢ | $38 | −$2 −5.0% |
| Will Chuang Ching-cheng win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 43 | 93¢ → 88¢ | $38 | −$2 −5.0% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?Ends in 16d | No | 59 | 67¢ → 64¢ | $38 | −$2 −4.5% |
| Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | No | 82 | 44¢ → 45¢ | $37 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 50 | 77¢ → 74¢ | $37 | −$2 −3.9% |
| Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 120 | 43¢ → 31¢ | $37 | −$15 −29% |
| Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 50 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $36 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 60 | 62¢ → 61¢ | $36 | −$1 −2.4% |
| Will Julieta Ramírez Padilla win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 50 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $36 | −$1 −3.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 69¢ → 72¢ | $36 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City?Ends in 18d | Yes | 50 | 85¢ → 71¢ | $36 | −$7 −16% |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 67 | 66¢ → 53¢ | $35 | −$9 −20% |
| Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?Ends in 79d | No | 40 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $35 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 72¢ → 70¢ | $35 | −$1 −3.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 67¢ → 70¢ | $35 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 53 | 71¢ → 65¢ | $35 | −$4 −9.5% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Ends in 8d | No | 38 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $34 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Ends in 112d | Yes | 50 | 79¢ → 68¢ | $34 | −$6 −15% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 73¢ → 68¢ | $34 | −$3 −7.5% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 200 | 21¢ → 17¢ | $33 | −$9 −21% |
| Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 58 | 61¢ → 56¢ | $33 | −$3 −8.0% |
| Will Michael Eamon win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 50 | 69¢ → 64¢ | $32 | −$3 −7.2% |
| Will Liberal–National win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?Ends in 161d | No | 40 | 76¢ → 80¢ | $32 | +$1 +4.6% |
| Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 89¢ → 77¢ | $31 | −$5 −13% |
| Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Ends in 23d | No | 50 | 64¢ → 61¢ | $31 | −$2 −4.7% |
| Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 50 | 61¢ → 61¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote?Ends in 20d | No | 40 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Sara Lopez win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Ends in 7d | No | 50 | 69¢ → 60¢ | $30 | −$5 −14% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 60 | 50¢ → 50¢ | $30 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 47 | 59¢ → 63¢ | $29 | +$2 +5.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 60 | 50¢ → 49¢ | $29 | −$1 −3.0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Ends in 439d | Yes | 87 | 49¢ → 33¢ | $28 | −$14 −34% |
| Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election?Ends in 10d | No | 50 | 54¢ → 56¢ | $28 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 68¢ → 68¢ | $27 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Ends in 29d | Yes | 42 | 69¢ → 64¢ | $27 | −$2 −7.2% |
| Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Ends in 21d | No | 50 | 54¢ → 54¢ | $27 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 200 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $26 | −$2 −7.4% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 30d | Yes | 50 | 62¢ → 52¢ | $26 | −$5 −17% |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 6d | Yes | 34 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $26 | −$1 −3.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 113 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $25 | −$3 −10% |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 63 | 45¢ → 40¢ | $25 | −$3 −11% |
| Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 45 | 81¢ → 56¢ | $25 | −$11 −30% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 80 | 38¢ → 32¢ | $25 | −$5 −17% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round?Ends in 8d | No | 45 | 72¢ → 56¢ | $25 | −$7 −22% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 200 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $25 | −$1 −3.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 50¢ → 50¢ | $25 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 60 | 48¢ → 41¢ | $25 | −$4 −15% |
| Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d | No | 50 | 55¢ → 49¢ | $25 | −$3 −11% |
| Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?Ends in 21d | No | 48 | 56¢ → 50¢ | $24 | −$3 −11% |
| Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 44 | 55¢ → 55¢ | $24 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 50 | 49¢ → 47¢ | $24 | −$1 −2.4% |
| Will Bonnie Crombie win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 37 | 66¢ → 64¢ | $24 | −$1 −3.8% |
| Will the Nepali Congress candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?Ends in 440d | No | 30 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $24 | +$1 +3.9% |
