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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Fairclough | 44% | −1 pts | −15 pts | 41¢ · 47¢ (6¢) | — | in 24d |
| Navdeep Bains | 39% | — | +2 pts | 38¢ · 40¢ (2¢) | $13.1 | in 24d |
| Stephanie Bowman | 19% | 0 pts | +15 pts | 16¢ · 23¢ (7¢) | — | in 24d |
| Dylan Marando | <1% | — | −3 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 24d |
| Eric Lombardi | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 24d |
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aliiz81 sharesThe 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 44¢ for Lee Fairclough means the market gives it about 44%.