| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 21¢ → 83¢ | $248 | +$186 +300% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?Ends in 10h | Yes | 240 | 11¢ → 99¢ | $238 | +$212 +812% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 203 | 18¢ → 87¢ | $175 | +$139 +380% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Ends in 53d | Yes | 200 | 21¢ → 82¢ | $163 | +$122 +297% |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 150 | 28¢ → 98¢ | $147 | +$105 +252% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 163 | 4¢ → 81¢ | $132 | +$125 +1957% |
| Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Shanghai, China?Ends in 1d | No | 131 | 77¢ → >99¢ | $131 | +$30 +30% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 200 | 20¢ → 63¢ | $125 | +$85 +213% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 125 | 31¢ → 94¢ | $118 | +$79 +205% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 165 | 19¢ → 68¢ | $111 | +$80 +253% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 16?Ends ended | Yes | 90 | 7¢ → >99¢ | $90 | +$83 +1296% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Ends in 5d | Yes | 111 | 14¢ → 81¢ | $90 | +$74 +463% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 110 | 3¢ → 80¢ | $87 | +$84 +2573% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 90 | 9¢ → 94¢ | $85 | +$76 +913% |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 125 | 28¢ → 66¢ | $83 | +$47 +133% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 90 | 9¢ → 92¢ | $83 | +$75 +954% |
| Will Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Ends in 10h | Yes | 86 | 2¢ → 95¢ | $82 | +$80 +4009% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 125 | 22¢ → 64¢ | $80 | +$52 +188% |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Ends in 10h | Yes | 84 | 17¢ → 94¢ | $79 | +$65 +449% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 76¢ | $76 | +$56 +278% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 125 | 25¢ → 60¢ | $75 | +$44 +141% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 70 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $70 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 110 | 1¢ → 62¢ | $68 | +$67 +8454% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 100 | 32¢ → 62¢ | $62 | +$30 +93% |
| Will BNK FEARX win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 60 | 7¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$56 +1381% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 63 | 10¢ → 96¢ | $60 | +$54 +855% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?Ends in 10h | Yes | 60 | 11¢ → 99¢ | $59 | +$53 +793% |
| Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Ends in 3d | Yes | 60 | 6¢ → 96¢ | $58 | +$54 +1536% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 125 | 2¢ → 46¢ | $57 | +$54 +2000% |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 65 | 14¢ → 88¢ | $57 | +$48 +508% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 110 | 9¢ → 52¢ | $57 | +$46 +445% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 95 | 3¢ → 57¢ | $55 | +$52 +2146% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | Yes | 160 | 16¢ → 33¢ | $52 | +$27 +109% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 79 | 3¢ → 65¢ | $51 | +$48 +1852% |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → 99¢ | $50 | +$48 +4400% |
| Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 3¢ → 99¢ | $49 | +$48 +2959% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 125 | 3¢ → 40¢ | $49 | +$45 +1168% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 173 | 4¢ → 28¢ | $49 | +$42 +685% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 75 | 1¢ → 65¢ | $49 | +$48 +5994% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 8d | Yes | 100 | 14¢ → 47¢ | $47 | +$33 +236% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 58 | 21¢ → 81¢ | $47 | +$35 +285% |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 13¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$39 +607% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 45 | 7¢ → >99¢ | $45 | +$42 +1370% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 45 | 9¢ → >99¢ | $45 | +$41 +999% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 45 | 5¢ → >99¢ | $45 | +$42 +1747% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 45 | 9¢ → >99¢ | $45 | +$41 +996% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 45 | 6¢ → >99¢ | $45 | +$42 +1457% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | Yes | 65 | 11¢ → 69¢ | $45 | +$37 +516% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 180 | 1¢ → 25¢ | $44 | +$43 +2926% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 55 | 3¢ → 80¢ | $44 | +$42 +2220% |
| Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Ends in 23d | Yes | 100 | 5¢ → 44¢ | $44 | +$39 +810% |
| Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship?Ends in 42d | Yes | 60 | 2¢ → 73¢ | $44 | +$42 +3258% |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Ends in 77d | Yes | 45 | 3¢ → 97¢ | $44 | +$43 +3489% |
| Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 1¢ → 87¢ | $44 | +$43 +8610% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 77 | 4¢ → 56¢ | $43 | +$40 +1399% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 45 | 9¢ → 94¢ | $42 | +$38 +928% |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 42¢ | $42 | +$34 +453% |
| Will Rafael Fiziev fight Benoit Saint-Denis next?Ends in 252d | Yes | 150 | 6¢ → 28¢ | $41 | +$32 +340% |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 64 | 16¢ → 63¢ | $41 | +$31 +301% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 91 | 14¢ → 44¢ | $40 | +$27 +211% |
| Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Ends in 23d | Yes | 100 | 5¢ → 39¢ | $39 | +$34 +707% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 44 | 3¢ → 89¢ | $39 | +$37 +3440% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 39 | 9¢ → 98¢ | $38 | +$35 +982% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 10¢ → 77¢ | $38 | +$33 +672% |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?Ends in 2d | Yes | 100 | 24¢ → 38¢ | $38 | +$15 +62% |
| United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 100 | 24¢ → 38¢ | $38 | +$14 +60% |
| Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 158 | 14¢ → 24¢ | $37 | +$15 +64% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 55 | 3¢ → 68¢ | $37 | +$35 +1925% |
| Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 5¢ → 93¢ | $37 | +$35 +1719% |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Ends in 2d | Yes | 50 | 3¢ → 74¢ | $37 | +$36 +2557% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Ends in 87d | Yes | 60 | 8¢ → 61¢ | $37 | +$32 +639% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 36 | 9¢ → >99¢ | $36 | +$33 +997% |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 125 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $36 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 75 | 3¢ → 48¢ | $36 | +$33 +1274% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 100 | 32¢ → 36¢ | $36 | +$4 +11% |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | Yes | 120 | 9¢ → 30¢ | $35 | +$25 +233% |
| Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 12¢ → 70¢ | $35 | +$29 +494% |
| Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 35 | 5¢ → 97¢ | $33 | +$32 +1736% |
| Will the Labor Party (PT) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Ends in 232d | No | 32 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $32 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 55 | 2¢ → 56¢ | $31 | +$30 +2946% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Ends in 440d | Yes | 30 | 4¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$28 +2369% |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 10h | Yes | 67 | 1¢ → 43¢ | $28 | +$27 +3206% |
| Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 180 | 4¢ → 15¢ | $28 | +$21 +293% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 95 | 3¢ → 29¢ | $28 | +$24 +770% |
| Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Ends in 28d | Yes | 50 | 6¢ → 55¢ | $27 | +$24 +772% |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 80 | 13¢ → 34¢ | $27 | +$17 +172% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 61 | 10¢ → 44¢ | $27 | +$21 +347% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 40 | 2¢ → 67¢ | $27 | +$26 +4285% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 26 | 9¢ → >99¢ | $26 | +$24 +957% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 25 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $25 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | Yes | 155 | 12¢ → 16¢ | $25 | +$5 +28% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 165 | 2¢ → 15¢ | $25 | +$22 +811% |
| Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini?Ends in 18d | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → 50¢ | $25 | +$24 +2416% |
| Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 25¢ | $25 | +$17 +227% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 25 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $24 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | Yes | 49 | 3¢ → 50¢ | $24 | +$23 +1435% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 0¢ → 49¢ | $24 | +$24 +0.0% |
| Will Luxembourg win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4?Ends in 45d | No | 25 | 69¢ → 96¢ | $24 | +$7 +39% |
| Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 0¢ → 48¢ | $24 | +$24 +0.0% |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 100 | 13¢ → 24¢ | $24 | +$10 +77% |
