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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Marquez | 75% | +3 pts | +6 pts | 73¢ · 77¢ (4¢) | $235 | in 43d |
| Jorge Martin | 24% | −2 pts | −2 pts | 23¢ · 25¢ (2¢) | $59.6 | in 43d |
| Marco Bezzecchi | 3% | 0 pts | +3 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | $47 | in 43d |
| Fabio Di Giannantonio | <1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $0.97 | in 43d |
| Ai Ogura | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 43d |
| Raul Fernandez | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 43d |
| Pedro Acosta | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 43d |
| Alex Marquez | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 43d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve according to the rider who wins the 2026 MotoGP World Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed rider to win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from title contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MotoGP season is cancelled, postponed after December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no World Champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from MotoGP / the FIM (https://www.motogp.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 75¢ for Marc Marquez means the market gives it about 75%.