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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Islam Makhachev | 93% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 93¢ · 93¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Carlos Prates | 7% | +1 pts | +3 pts | 6¢ · 8¢ (2¢) | $136 | in 76d |
| Jack Della Maddalena | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Shavkat Rakhmonov | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Ian Machado Garry | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Michael Morales | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Belal Muhammad | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Sean Brady | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Kamaru Usman | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Leon Edwards | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Joaquin Buckley | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Gabriel Bonfim | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 134d | pDoudiQxsreer25 fills | Kamaru Usman | SellNo>99¢ | $89,090 | −$281 −0.3% | — |
| 134d | pDoudiQxsreer28 fills | Kamaru Usman | BuyNo>99¢ | $90,380 | +$375 +0.4% | 4 |
| 134d | quick2OiNT2ger27 fills | Kamaru Usman | SellNo>99¢ | $88,479 | −$192 −0.2% | — |
| 134d | quick2OiNT2ger28 fills | Kamaru Usman | BuyNo>99¢ | $90,704 | +$251 +0.3% | 4 |
| 143d | 0x04e5…72363 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $9,019 | −$46 −0.5% | — |
| 143d | 0x04e5…72364 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,097 | +$32 +0.4% | 4 |
| 143d | 0x3de7…b0e73 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $9,872 | −$46 −0.5% | — |
| 143d | 0x3de7…b0e74 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,678 | +$38 +0.4% | 4 |
| 143d | 0x85c8…f4575 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | SellNo>99¢ | $10,802 | −$42 −0.4% | — |
| 143d | 0x85c8…f4574 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,006 | +$28 +0.3% | 4 |
| 143d | 0x8295…77c34 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | SellNo>99¢ | $8,890 | −$31 −0.4% | — |
| 143d | 0x8295…77c34 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,899 | +$22 +0.3% | 4 |
| 143d | 0xb79c…43894 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | SellNo>99¢ | $10,532 | −$39 −0.4% | — |
| 143d | 0xb79c…43894 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,544 | +$26 +0.3% | 4 |
| 143d | 0xc38c…03af2 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | SellNo>99¢ | $9,239 | −$37 −0.4% | — |
| 143d | 0xc38c…03af4 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,577 | +$27 +0.3% | 4 |
| 143d | 0xaebe…d64a3 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | SellNo>99¢ | $7,524 | −$28 −0.4% | — |
| 143d | 0xaebe…d64a4 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,189 | +$21 +0.3% | 4 |
| 143d | 0x1549…fd054 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | SellNo>99¢ | $9,815 | −$34 −0.4% | — |
| 143d | 0x1549…fd054 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,824 | +$25 +0.3% | 4 |
| 143d | 0xcb2b…df683 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | SellNo>99¢ | $8,855 | −$29 −0.3% | — |
| 143d | 0xcb2b…df684 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,101 | +$23 +0.3% | 4 |
| 143d | 0xa847…501d3 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | SellNo>99¢ | $9,655 | −$40 −0.4% | — |
| 143d | 0xa847…501d4 fills | Shavkat Rakhmonov | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,908 | +$25 +0.3% | 4 |
| 253d | Fruitful-PapaNew account | Joaquin Buckley | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,650 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 253d | Impressionable-ConvertibleNew account | Joaquin Buckley | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,646 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 253d | Similar-GrouseNew account | Joaquin Buckley | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,642 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 253d | gdsrt345t6315 | Joaquin Buckley | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,646 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 253d | Loving-SpandexNew account | Joaquin Buckley | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,650 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
BobbyBakedBeans1,234 sharesThis market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 93¢ for Islam Makhachev means the market gives it about 93%.
