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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet | 80% | +9 pts | −8 pts | 79¢ · 80¢ (1¢) | $1.74K | in 15d |
| Microsoft | 21% | +2 pts | +8 pts | 20¢ · 21¢ (1¢) | $1.08K | in 15d |
| Apple | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.63K | in 15d |
| NVIDIA | <1% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 15d |
| Tesla | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 15d |
| Saudi Aramco | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 15d |
| Amazon | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 15d |
| Broadcom | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 15d |
| SpaceX | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 15d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d | Microsoft | BuyNo97¢ → 80¢ | $9,748 | −$1,758 −18% | 6 |
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 80¢ for Alphabet means the market gives it about 80%.