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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA | 71% | — | −13 pts | 70¢ · 71¢ (1¢) | $853 | in 76d |
| Apple | 28% | +1 pts | +13 pts | 28¢ · 28¢ (<1¢) | $1.65K | in 76d |
| Alphabet | 2% | 0 pts | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $431 | in 76d |
| Microsoft | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $6.38K | in 76d |
| SpaceX | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.08K | in 76d |
| Tesla | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $2K | in 76d |
| Saudi Aramco | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $3.72K | in 76d |
| Amazon | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $2K | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | presidentmaster | Alphabet | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,606 | −$18 −1.1% | — |
| 2d | Hauchn11 fills | Apple | BuyYes27¢ → 28¢ | $49,549 | +$2,098 +4.2% | 41 |
| 2d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed3 fills | Apple | BuyNo78¢ → 72¢ | $3,985 | −$328 −8.2% | 18 |
| 2d | 0x4e8e…cbf815 fills | SpaceX | SellNo>99¢ | $67,920 | −$34 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | 0x4e8e…cbf815 fills | SpaceX | BuyNo>99¢ | $67,988 | −$34 −0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | donthackme | SpaceX | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | 4 |
| 3d | donthackme | Alphabet | BuyNo98¢ | $1,181 | −$4 −0.3% | 5 |
| 3d | donthackme | Microsoft | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,197 | −$2 −0.2% | 4 |
| 4d | lolykat | Microsoft | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,737 | −$6 −0.2% | 4 |
| 5d | 0x4e8e…cbf84 fills | Microsoft | SellNo>99¢ | $11,003 | +$6 +0.1% | — |
| 5d | 0x4e8e…cbf84 fills | Microsoft | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,014 | −$17 −0.2% | 4 |
| 7d | marineann | Microsoft | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,800 | −$4 −0.2% | 4 |
| 7d | leo-2020 | Alphabet | BuyNo99¢ → 98¢ | $2,209 | −$11 −0.5% | 5 |
| 7d | 1239874562 fills | Alphabet | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $2,087 | +$28 +1.3% | 6 |
| 7d | Bigggggggg3 fills | Alphabet | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $4,305 | +$133 +3.1% | 7 |
| 7d | 1239874562 fills | SpaceX | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,116 | +$1 +0.0% | 4 |
| 7d | 1239874562 fills | Microsoft | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,116 | −$2 −0.1% | 4 |
| 7d | Bigggggggg4 fills | Microsoft | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,555 | −$2 −0.0% | 4 |
| 7d | 1239874562 fills | Saudi Aramco | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,116 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 8d | x3rxesss | NVIDIA | SellYes86¢ → 71¢ | $1,121 | +$204 +18% | — |
| 8d | hfv | NVIDIA | BuyYes87¢ → 71¢ | $1,812 | −$344 −19% | 13 |
| 8d | Abenno | Saudi Aramco | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,131 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 9d | tiger888 | Saudi Aramco | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,900 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 9d | voxy | Saudi Aramco | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 10d |  Prexpect | NVIDIA | SellYes88¢ → 71¢ | $1,144 | +$228 +20% | — |
| 13d | aiwar | NVIDIA | BuyYes85¢ → 71¢ | $2,360 | −$403 −17% | 14 |
| 13d | jackpan10242 fills | NVIDIA | BuyYes78¢ → 71¢ | $4,389 | −$410 −9.3% | 19 |
| 14d | 123987456 | Tesla | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,030 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 14d | Hauchn7 fills | NVIDIA | SellNo30¢ | $12,187 | +$51 +0.4% | — |
| 15d | Alex1988 | Tesla | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 16d | e46m3 | Apple | BuyNo85¢ → 72¢ | $1,024 | −$160 −16% | 14 |
| 16d |  gmgmgmgmg | Saudi Aramco | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 16d | e46m3 | Microsoft | BuyNo100¢ | $1,194 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 16d |  JustClickeverywhere | SpaceX | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,195 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 16d | e46m3 | Alphabet | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,140 | +$37 +3.3% | 7 |
| 16d | gmgmgmgmg | Tesla | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 16d | mamai3 fills | NVIDIA | BuyYes76¢ → 71¢ | $5,195 | −$391 −7.5% | 20 |
| 17d | 111y | Tesla | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 17d | TipoTapi | Saudi Aramco | SellNo>99¢ | $1,208 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 17d | NameC | SpaceX | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,600 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 18d | Caly | Tesla | SellNo>99¢ | $2,797 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 20d | 988776555 | NVIDIA | SellYes73¢ → 71¢ | $1,913 | +$66 +3.4% | — |
| 21d | Hauchn5 fills | Alphabet | BuyNo72¢ → 98¢ | $9,079 | +$3,273 +36% | 23 |
| 24d | Caly | Tesla | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,800 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 24d | Blackcatmoney | NVIDIA | BuyYes78¢ → 71¢ | $1,461 | −$140 −9.6% | 19 |
| 24d | IDKAAA | NVIDIA | BuyYes78¢ → 71¢ | $2,000 | −$192 −9.6% | 19 |
| 25d | gdesro21 | NVIDIA | BuyYes75¢ → 71¢ | $1,000 | −$56 −5.6% | 21 |
| 25d | 111y | Tesla | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 26d | mamai | NVIDIA | SellYes73¢ → 71¢ | $2,911 | +$103 +3.5% | — |
| 30d | TipoTapi | Saudi Aramco | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 30d | yanchu1 | Alphabet | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,151 | +$50 +4.4% | 8 |
| 30d | 0xaba6…0cd9 | SpaceX | SellNo100¢ | $2,474 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 30d | 0xaba6…0cd9 | SpaceX | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,479 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 30d | KiernanMeister | NVIDIA | BuyNo30¢ | $5,203 | −$95 −1.8% | 30 |
| 30d | Bigggggggg | Apple | BuyNo78¢ → 72¢ | $1,530 | −$126 −8.2% | 18 |
| 30d | gdbl2 fills | NVIDIA | BuyYes71¢ | $8,081 | −$106 −1.3% | 23 |
| 30d | Bigggggggg3 fills | SpaceX | BuyNo99¢ → >99¢ | $4,165 | +$18 +0.4% | 4 |
| 36d | Hauchn12 fills | NVIDIA | BuyNo29¢ → 30¢ | $51,109 | +$910 +1.8% | 45 |
| 36d | cross | Saudi Aramco | SellNo>99¢ | $3,651 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 36d | cross | Saudi Aramco | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,655 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
VibeyQuant15,267 shares
occasionalAwareness7,071 sharesThis market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 71¢ for NVIDIA means the market gives it about 71%.