| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 6,287 | 43¢ → 46¢ | $2,921 | +$228 +8.5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | No | 2,425 | 76¢ → 80¢ | $1,928 | +$87 +4.8% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,897 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $1,821 | +$9 +0.5% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 1,807 | 71¢ → 62¢ | $1,124 | −$158 −12% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,817 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $1,088 | +$19 +1.8% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | No | 1,236 | 84¢ → 71¢ | $878 | −$166 −16% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 935 | 3¢ → 76¢ | $707 | +$677 +2319% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 674 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $603 | +$25 +4.4% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 7d | No | 791 | 59¢ → 62¢ | $487 | +$20 +4.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 8d | No | 776 | 69¢ → 60¢ | $462 | −$74 −14% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 43d | No | 484 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $404 | +$5 +1.3% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 632 | 82¢ → 62¢ | $389 | −$130 −25% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028?Ends in 439d | No | 377 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $364 | +$37 +11% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 1,356 | 28¢ → 25¢ | $332 | −$45 −12% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 368 | 4¢ → 81¢ | $299 | +$285 +1936% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | No | 709 | 43¢ → 37¢ | $259 | −$46 −15% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 253 | 9¢ → 90¢ | $229 | +$206 +893% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 552 | 38¢ → 39¢ | $215 | +$6 +2.8% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | No | 1,137 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $210 | −$5 −2.2% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 296 | 43¢ → 68¢ | $201 | +$74 +58% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 214 | 20¢ → 94¢ | $201 | +$158 +370% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | No | 270 | 82¢ → 74¢ | $198 | −$23 −10% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 200 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $182 | −$6 −3.2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 222 | 93¢ → 82¢ | $181 | −$25 −12% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 517 | 11¢ → 28¢ | $147 | +$90 +157% |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?Ends in 74d | No | 303 | 58¢ → 46¢ | $139 | −$36 −21% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 179 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $137 | −$4 −3.2% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | No | 208 | 67¢ → 66¢ | $136 | −$4 −2.7% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 153 | 57¢ → 87¢ | $134 | +$47 +54% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 153 | 30¢ → 87¢ | $133 | +$87 +188% |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Ends in 103d | No | 260 | 34¢ → 50¢ | $129 | +$40 +46% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 162 | 72¢ → 75¢ | $120 | +$4 +3.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 125 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $119 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 550 | 1¢ → 21¢ | $116 | +$112 +2595% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 3,247 | 20¢ → 3¢ | $109 | −$541 −83% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Ends in 439d | Yes | 334 | 33¢ → 33¢ | $108 | −$3 −2.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 109 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $96 | +$2 +1.7% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | No | 263 | 42¢ → 37¢ | $96 | −$13 −12% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | No | 250 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $94 | +$5 +5.2% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 209 | 3¢ → 43¢ | $89 | +$83 +1388% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 300 | 26¢ → 30¢ | $88 | +$10 +13% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 87 | 61¢ → >99¢ | $87 | +$33 +63% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 95d | Yes | 99 | 10¢ → 85¢ | $84 | +$74 +747% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 141 | 52¢ → 54¢ | $75 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 385 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $75 | +$2 +2.6% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 100 | 78¢ → 73¢ | $73 | −$4 −5.7% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 71 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $64 | −$2 −2.7% |
| Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc?Ends ended | No | 66 | 4¢ → 96¢ | $63 | +$61 +2309% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 602 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $63 | −$3 −4.5% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 159 | 51¢ → 37¢ | $59 | −$23 −28% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 550 | 1¢ → 9¢ | $51 | +$47 +1084% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 1,388 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $49 | −$6 −11% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 5,158 | 20¢ → 1¢ | $49 | −$983 −95% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be 1,050,000 or more?Ends in 17d | No | 57 | 89¢ → 83¢ | $48 | −$3 −5.8% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 78 | 64¢ → 61¢ | $47 | −$3 −5.2% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | No | 49 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $45 | +$2 +4.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 674 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $39 | −$1 −2.5% |
| Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 74d | No | 89 | 37¢ → 43¢ | $38 | +$5 +15% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | No | 170 | 28¢ → 21¢ | $36 | −$12 −25% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $35 | −$3 −7.9% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Ends in 75d | No | 36 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $35 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 44 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $34 | +$2 +6.4% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 205 | 1¢ → 17¢ | $34 | +$32 +2019% |
| Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 660 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $33 | −$19 −37% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 132 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $32 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 205 | 1¢ → 15¢ | $31 | +$29 +1839% |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 17d | Yes | 116 | 8¢ → 25¢ | $29 | +$20 +222% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 750 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $25 | −$27 −51% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 131 | 17¢ → 19¢ | $25 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 80¢ | $24 | +$23 +2206% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 38 | 45¢ → 62¢ | $24 | +$6 +37% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | No | 234 | 22¢ → 9¢ | $21 | −$30 −59% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 39 | 60¢ → 53¢ | $21 | −$3 −12% |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 49 | 17¢ → 41¢ | $20 | +$12 +146% |
| Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 130 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $20 | −$6 −22% |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 106 | 27¢ → 17¢ | $18 | −$10 −37% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 64 | 26¢ → 28¢ | $18 | +$1 +5.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 387 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $17 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 38 | 62¢ → 44¢ | $17 | −$7 −30% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Ends in 53d | No | 89 | 9¢ → 18¢ | $16 | +$8 +98% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 550 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $16 | +$12 +278% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 134d | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 16¢ | $16 | +$13 +427% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 8d | No | 85 | 10¢ → 18¢ | $15 | +$7 +80% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 205 | 1¢ → 7¢ | $14 | +$13 +790% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,996 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $14 | −$785 −98% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 310 | 17¢ → 5¢ | $14 | −$38 −73% |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 17 | 66¢ → 77¢ | $13 | +$2 +16% |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 123 | 26¢ → 10¢ | $12 | −$20 −62% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 58¢ → 62¢ | $12 | +$1 +6.0% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?Ends in 95d | Yes | 153 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $12 | −$5 −28% |
| Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Ends in 17d | No | 69 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $12 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 17d | Yes | 116 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $12 | +$3 +31% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?Ends in 8d | No | 12 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $12 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 205 | 1¢ → 6¢ | $12 | +$10 +623% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 2,570 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $12 | −$502 −98% |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 17d | Yes | 116 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $11 | +$3 +28% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 34 | 24¢ → 33¢ | $11 | +$3 +34% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 1,626 | 20¢ → 1¢ | $11 | −$315 −97% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 8d | Yes | 109 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $10 | −$2 −14% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 374 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $10 | −$4 −28% |
