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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elif Eralp | 91% | +7 pts | +16 pts | 90¢ · 92¢ (2¢) | $2.2K | ended |
| Stefan Evers | 9% | −3 pts | −12 pts | 7¢ · 10¢ (3¢) | $87.9 | ended |
| Werner Graf | 1% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | $47.4 | ended |
| Steffen Krach | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Kristin Brinker | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | annacallsit2 fills | Elif Eralp | BuyYes65¢ → 91¢ | $2,952 | +$1,159 +39% | 30 |
| 14d | Addarash | Elif Eralp | SellYes76¢ → 91¢ | $1,017 | −$201 −20% | — |
| 24d | Elif Eralp | SellYes75¢ → 91¢ | $1,270 | −$276 −22% | — | |
| 26d | Addarash | Elif Eralp | BuyYes82¢ → 91¢ | $1,837 | +$202 +11% | 27 |
| 26d | Railcool | Elif Eralp | BuyYes62¢ → 91¢ | $1,054 | +$495 +47% | 38 |
| 27d | QMG-CORE | Steffen Krach | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,425 | −$1 −0.1% | 10 |
| 30d | Elif Eralp | BuyYes59¢ → 91¢ | $1,000 | +$545 +55% | 32 | |
| 31d | Elif Eralp | BuyNo46¢ → 9¢ | $2,000 | −$1,608 −80% | 31 | |
| 37d | annacallsit | Stefan Evers | SellNo72¢ → 92¢ | $1,018 | −$275 −27% | — |
| 38d | annacallsit | Elif Eralp | SellYes48¢ → 91¢ | $1,676 | −$1,517 −90% | — |
| 38d | KiernanMeister | Elif Eralp | BuyNo48¢ → 9¢ | $1,068 | −$867 −81% | 30 |
| 43d | Elif Eralp | BuyYes65¢ → 91¢ | $1,258 | +$515 +41% | 30 | |
| 63d | KiernanMeister | Werner Graf | BuyNo87¢ → 99¢ | $1,632 | +$227 +14% | 19 |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 91¢ for Elif Eralp means the market gives it about 91%.