| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 11,755 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $9,228 | +$71 +0.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 9,875 | 45¢ → 77¢ | $7,594 | +$3,134 +70% |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 530d | No | 7,304 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $7,172 | −$13 −0.2% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7,169 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $6,774 | +$876 +15% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 7,795 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $6,353 | +$291 +4.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 6,025 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $5,453 | +$292 +5.7% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6,424 | 85¢ → 77¢ | $4,914 | −$563 −10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4,687 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $4,492 | +$65 +1.5% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 4,852 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $4,100 | −$18 −0.4% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 4,444 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $4,022 | −$22 −0.5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 4,000 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $3,158 | +$1,158 +58% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 3,161 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $2,892 | −$5 −0.2% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 4,035 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $2,885 | −$88 −3.0% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 2,777 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $2,456 | +$34 +1.4% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 3,160 | 86¢ → 75¢ | $2,370 | −$358 −13% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 7,597 | 59¢ → 24¢ | $1,785 | −$2,702 −60% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,802 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $1,676 | +$143 +9.3% |
| Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | No | 1,479 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1,472 | +$8 +0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,620 | 54¢ → 66¢ | $1,061 | +$186 +21% |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Ends ended | Yes | 1,111 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1,061 | +$39 +3.8% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 1,111 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $872 | −$17 −1.9% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 4,000 | 50¢ → 21¢ | $842 | −$1,158 −58% |
| Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 256d | No | 1,971 | 37¢ → 34¢ | $660 | −$78 −11% |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 585 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $569 | −$4 −0.7% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 1,130 | 42¢ → 46¢ | $523 | +$52 +11% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 907 | 55¢ → 54¢ | $486 | −$13 −2.6% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 630 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $451 | +$20 +4.6% |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $450 | +$78 +21% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 11,755 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $429 | +$225 +111% |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 433 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $418 | +$64 +18% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 7,120 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $402 | +$58 +17% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 816 | 50¢ → 48¢ | $393 | −$15 −3.6% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 2,111 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $369 | −$45 −11% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 425 | 68¢ → 85¢ | $359 | +$72 +25% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 555 | 50¢ → 63¢ | $347 | +$67 +24% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 319 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $282 | +$10 +3.7% |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 222 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $209 | +$8 +3.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,689 | 69¢ → 12¢ | $194 | −$976 −83% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,455 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $190 | −$17 −8.3% |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 201 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $190 | +$4 +2.3% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $189 | +$12 +6.8% |
| Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $177 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | No | 1,671 | 31¢ → 10¢ | $159 | −$359 −69% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 150 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $142 | +$13 +10% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 5,700 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $123 | −$59 −33% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 915 | 23¢ → 13¢ | $122 | −$85 −41% |
| Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 43d | No | 110 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $103 | +$13 +15% |
| Will voter turnout be between 64% and 66% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 43d | No | 111 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $97 | +$7 +8.2% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 5,052 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $96 | +$71 +280% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 661 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $94 | +$11 +13% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 80 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $78 | +$7 +10% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 200 | 73¢ → 38¢ | $76 | −$70 −48% |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 78 | 77¢ → 97¢ | $76 | +$15 +26% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,469 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $73 | +$14 +25% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 4,050 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $71 | −$14 −17% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 8,125 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $61 | −$126 −67% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 79¢ → 96¢ | $55 | +$9 +21% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 8,222 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $53 | −$13 −20% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 355 | 13¢ → 15¢ | $53 | +$6 +14% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 5,196 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $49 | +$13 +36% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,611 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $48 | +$5 +13% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,302 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $41 | −$6 −13% |
| Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 39 | 69¢ → 96¢ | $38 | +$10 +38% |
| Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?Ends ended | No | 100 | 7¢ → 27¢ | $27 | +$20 +293% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,111 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $26 | +$16 +161% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 111 | 35¢ → 24¢ | $26 | −$13 −33% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 700 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $23 | +$5 +29% |
| Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 4,949 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $17 | −$2 −8.6% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 135 | 32¢ → 13¢ | $17 | −$27 −61% |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 11,110 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $17 | −$50 −75% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,111 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $16 | −$7 −31% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,546 | 12¢ → 1¢ | $15 | −$170 −92% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 620 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $12 | +$6 +93% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 150 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $12 | −$4 −27% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 22,222 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $11 | −$22 −67% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 2,003 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $11 | −$24 −68% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,113 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $11 | −$0 −4.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 11 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 1,158 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$2 −19% |
| Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 43d | Yes | 20 | 9¢ → 32¢ | $6 | +$5 +272% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 128 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $6 | −$15 −70% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 400 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $6 | +$1 +29% |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 12,310 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$80 −93% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 1,111 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$6 −55% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 876 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$5 −53% |
| Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 81¢ → 95¢ | $4 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 3,333 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$2 −42% |
| Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Ends in 182d | No | 3 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.3% |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 25 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $1 | +$0 +23% |
