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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 17% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 17¢ · 17¢ (<1¢) | $5.64K | in 753d |
| Gavin Newsom | 15% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 15¢ · 15¢ (<1¢) | $1.49K | in 753d |
| Jon Ossoff | 14% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 14¢ · 14¢ (<1¢) | $5.15K | in 753d |
| Kamala Harris | 7% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 7¢ · 7¢ (<1¢) | $71.7K | in 753d |
| Josh Shapiro | 6% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 6¢ · 6¢ (<1¢) | $5.33K | in 753d |
| Pete Buttigieg | 5% | — | — | 5¢ · 5¢ (<1¢) | $2.06K | in 753d |
| Andy Beshear | 3% | — | +1 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $121 | in 753d |
| James Talarico | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $63.5K | in 753d |
| Wes Moore | 2% | 0 pts | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $2.28K | in 753d |
| Raphael Warnock | 2% | — | +1 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $12.2K | in 753d |
| Mark Kelly | 2% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $2.42K | in 753d |
| Bernie Sanders | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $3.34K | in 753d |
| Rahm Emanuel | 2% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $109 | in 753d |
| Ro Khanna | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $6.69K | in 753d |
| J.B. Pritzker | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $118 | in 753d |
| Chelsea Clinton | 1% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $354 | in 753d |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $404 | in 753d |
| Cory Booker | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.83K | in 753d |
| Jon Stewart | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $242 | in 753d |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $2.79K | in 753d |
| Chris Murphy | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $18.6 | in 753d |
| Chris Van Hollen | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $451 | in 753d |
| Ruben Gallego | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $22K | in 753d |
| Mark Cuban | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.44K | in 753d |
| Michelle Obama | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $81 | in 753d |
| Roy Cooper | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $778 | in 753d |
| Hunter Biden | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $3.93K | in 753d |
| Stephen A. Smith | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $22.1 | in 753d |
| Gina Raimondo | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.67K | in 753d |
| Zohran Mamdani | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $827 | in 753d |
| Jared Polis | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.98K | in 753d |
| Barack Obama | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $2.03K | in 753d |
| Hillary Clinton | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $3.27K | in 753d |
| Phil Murphy | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.76K | in 753d |
| LeBron James | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $2.59K | in 753d |
| Jasmine Crockett | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.36K | in 753d |
| Abigail Spanberger | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $296 | in 753d |
| Hakeem Jeffries | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $10.1 | in 753d |
| Elissa Slotkin | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $82.1 | in 753d |
| Josh Stein | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $10.1 | in 753d |
| Mitch Landrieu | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $173 | in 753d |
| Tim Walz | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| John Fetterman | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Liz Cheney | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| George Clooney | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| MrBeast | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Oprah Winfrey | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Andrew Yang | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Beto O’Rourke | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $1.06K | in 753d |
| Kim Kardashian | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Graham Platner | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Adam Schiff | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| Alex Padilla | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 753d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | LooperHesh | Raphael Warnock | SellNo98¢ | $4,753 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 3h | fakeBRIDE | James Talarico | BuyNo97¢ | $1,050 | −$1 −0.1% | 10 |
| 3h | Old-Birthday | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | −$1 −0.1% | 10 |
| 20h |  LinaBell | Kamala Harris | BuyYes7¢ | $4,625 | +$34 +0.7% | 27 |
| 1d | Zzzz87 | Josh Shapiro | BuyNo95¢ → 94¢ | $1,326 | −$5 −0.4% | 14 |
| 1d | Nesystem | James Talarico | BuyNo98¢ → 97¢ | $2,000 | −$9 −0.5% | 10 |
| 2d | Gugol876ygj7 | Wes Moore | BuyNo98¢ | $2,560 | −$1 −0.1% | 11 |
| 2d | infinitevanilla | Pete Buttigieg | SellYes5¢ | $1,123 | −$17 −1.5% | — |
| 2d | EYEball-815 | Wes Moore | BuyNo98¢ | $2,750 | −$1 −0.1% | 11 |
| 2d |  MSKW222227 fills | Jon Ossoff | BuyYes15¢ → 14¢ | $15,376 | −$1,006 −6.5% | 48 |
| 2d | Single-Challenge | Gavin Newsom | SellNo86¢ → 85¢ | $2,916 | +$22 +0.8% | — |
| 2d |  Optimus- | Kamala Harris | BuyYes7¢ | $1,500 | +$11 +0.7% | 15 |
| 3d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | SellNo82¢ → 83¢ | $1,352 | −$21 −1.5% | — |
| 4d | aaabbb | Kamala Harris | BuyYes7¢ | $5,049 | +$271 +5.4% | 28 |
| 4d | hmgj769 | Mark Kelly | BuyNo98¢ | $3,700 | +$25 +0.7% | 12 |
| 4d | hfv | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo85¢ | $4,268 | −$11 −0.2% | 20 |
| 4d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Gavin Newsom | SellYes15¢ | $1,763 | +$25 +1.4% | — |
| 4d |  bigdihhh888 | Gavin Newsom | BuyNo86¢ → 85¢ | $1,041 | −$9 −0.8% | 20 |
| 4d | 0xd640…480c2 fills | Jon Ossoff | BuyNo86¢ | $2,788 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 4d | Pokrw007 | Josh Shapiro | BuyNo94¢ | $2,043 | +$5 +0.3% | 14 |
| 4d | HerbertAppreciator7 fills | Jon Ossoff | SellYes15¢ → 14¢ | $21,313 | +$1,047 +4.9% | — |
| 4d | HerbertAppreciator | Raphael Warnock | BuyYes1¢ → 2¢ | $3,954 | +$1,478 +37% | 40 |
| 4d | Brikman | Phil Murphy | SellNo>99¢ | $3,676 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | PhoenixDrifter | Josh Shapiro | BuyNo94¢ | $1,042 | +$3 +0.3% | 13 |
| 5d | sfdhfzcxbv | Mark Kelly | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $4,165 | −$37 −0.9% | — |
| 5d | ertfdfg8 | James Talarico | SellNo98¢ → 97¢ | $1,316 | +$2 +0.2% | — |
| 5d | 0x4e8e…cbf8 | Hillary Clinton | SellNo>99¢ | $6,290 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | 0x4e8e…cbf8 | Hillary Clinton | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,297 | −$3 −0.1% | 10 |
| 5d | LinaBell | Jon Ossoff | SellNo85¢ → 86¢ | $5,438 | −$54 −1.0% | — |
| 5d | Zohmentum | Kamala Harris | BuyYes7¢ | $1,200 | +$68 +5.7% | 13 |
| 5d | ZumbaGirl | Mark Kelly | SellNo98¢ | $2,338 | −$18 −0.8% | — |
| 6d | jwerhor | Ro Khanna | SellYes1¢ | $1,455 | −$479 −33% | — |
| 6d | dgfds654fgbtr74wrr | Andy Beshear | SellNo97¢ | $1,412 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 7d | ZumbaGirl | Mark Kelly | BuyNo98¢ | $2,340 | +$16 +0.7% | 12 |
| 7d | mRggTresh72 | Wes Moore | SellNo98¢ | $4,440 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 7d | mRggTresh72 | Wes Moore | BuyNo98¢ | $4,450 | −$4 −0.1% | 11 |
| 7d | thebug44 | Gavin Newsom | SellNo85¢ | $1,690 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 7d | Vreg7h | Wes Moore | SellNo98¢ | $2,552 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 8d | ASBOREAN92 | Pete Buttigieg | SellNo95¢ | $1,894 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 8d | dfsvggsvds65 | Mark Kelly | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,248 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 8d | dfsvggsvds65 | Mark Kelly | BuyNo98¢ | $1,250 | +$9 +0.7% | 12 |
| 8d | fsx45 | Raphael Warnock | SellYes1¢ → 2¢ | $1,297 | −$599 −46% | — |
| 8d | kevin6663333 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes8¢ → 7¢ | $9,083 | −$845 −9.3% | 37 |
| 9d |  PantheraUncia | Josh Shapiro | SellYes6¢ | $4,113 | +$240 +5.8% | — |
| 9d | Bitepodl | Pete Buttigieg | SellNo95¢ | $2,158 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 9d | relaxingbar | Cory Booker | SellNo99¢ | $1,986 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 9d |  Hugewinner6 fills | Gavin Newsom | BuyYes18¢ → 15¢ | $58,038 | −$9,255 −16% | 60 |
| 10d |  de5nuts | Josh Shapiro | BuyNo94¢ | $11,279 | +$43 +0.4% | 14 |
| 10d | dgfds654fgbtr74wrr | Pete Buttigieg | SellNo95¢ | $2,606 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 10d | whig | Raphael Warnock | BuyYes1¢ → 2¢ | $3,386 | +$7,337 +217% | 39 |
| 10d | linkfren | Gavin Newsom | BuyYes16¢ → 15¢ | $1,378 | −$90 −6.5% | 32 |
| 10d | lowbow | Pete Buttigieg | SellNo95¢ | $1,166 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 11d | Kiralight8467 | Kamala Harris | SellNo93¢ | $1,943 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 11d | Bitepodl | Pete Buttigieg | BuyNo95¢ | $2,165 | +$1 +0.1% | 13 |
| 11d | Stable-Armament2 fills | James Talarico | BuyYes3¢ | $2,041 | −$242 −12% | 18 |
| 11d | Stable-Armament | Josh Shapiro | BuyYes6¢ | $3,723 | −$463 −12% | 40 |
| 11d |  Aviatorul2 fills | Chelsea Clinton | BuyYes1¢ | $2,122 | +$342 +16% | 36 |
| 11d | dgfds654fgbtr74wrr | Pete Buttigieg | BuyNo95¢ | $2,750 | +$1 +0.1% | 13 |
| 11d | Vreg7h | Wes Moore | BuyNo98¢ | $2,555 | +$1 +0.1% | 11 |
| 11d | Vreg7h | Hunter Biden | SellNo99¢ → >99¢ | $4,796 | −$17 −0.4% | — |
AgricultureSecretary100,000 shares
TheEmprah80,922 shares
studmuffin69693,000 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 17¢ for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez means the market gives it about 17%.