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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuela Schwesig | 96% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 95¢ · 98¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| Leif-Erik Holm | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Daniel Peters | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Enrico Schult | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Simone Oldenburg | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jakob Schirmer | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Claudia Müller | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28d | Manuela Schwesig | BuyYes94¢ → 96¢ | $1,051 | +$25 +2.4% | 5 | |
| 31d | Matzemichel | Manuela Schwesig | BuyYes91¢ → 96¢ | $1,502 | +$87 +5.8% | 5 |
| 41d | Manuela Schwesig | BuyYes79¢ → 96¢ | $2,335 | +$515 +22% | 4 |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Ministerpräsident will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Ministerpräsident takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 96¢ for Manuela Schwesig means the market gives it about 96%.