| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 4,266 | 3¢ → 77¢ | $3,274 | +$3,141 +2356% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 3,325 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $3,212 | +$153 +5.0% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 5,000 | 70¢ → 62¢ | $3,110 | −$405 −12% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 3,910 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $2,991 | −$96 −3.1% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 82d | Yes | 2,898 | 4¢ → 96¢ | $2,768 | +$2,664 +2574% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 3,530 | 3¢ → 75¢ | $2,651 | +$2,541 +2303% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | No | 3,530 | 73¢ → 71¢ | $2,508 | −$86 −3.3% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 2,494 | 3¢ → 98¢ | $2,436 | +$2,358 +3027% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,760 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $2,415 | −$39 −1.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 4,584 | 49¢ → 46¢ | $2,086 | −$176 −7.8% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 2,178 | 10¢ → 96¢ | $2,080 | +$1,862 +855% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,124 | 8¢ → 97¢ | $2,057 | +$1,894 +1159% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6,905 | 4¢ → 28¢ | $1,937 | +$1,690 +685% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,894 | 1¢ → 65¢ | $1,877 | +$1,845 +5673% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 2,458 | 63¢ → 69¢ | $1,684 | +$135 +8.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,846 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $1,652 | +$74 +4.7% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 2,233 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $1,641 | −$66 −3.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,031 | 76¢ → 80¢ | $1,615 | +$69 +4.4% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 2,171 | 61¢ → 67¢ | $1,444 | +$110 +8.3% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,392 | 2¢ → 96¢ | $1,332 | +$1,302 +4210% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,351 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,290 | +$20 +1.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 2,601 | 4¢ → 48¢ | $1,235 | +$1,135 +1135% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | No | 1,560 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $1,185 | +$95 +8.7% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,974 | 1¢ → 27¢ | $1,087 | +$1,042 +2335% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | No | 1,582 | 68¢ → 66¢ | $1,036 | −$35 −3.3% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 1,328 | 20¢ → 77¢ | $1,016 | +$750 +283% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,043 | 20¢ → 97¢ | $1,010 | +$802 +384% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,249 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $1,005 | −$38 −3.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,438 | 32¢ → 41¢ | $988 | +$205 +26% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 995 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $966 | +$128 +15% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,886 | 4¢ → 51¢ | $956 | +$889 +1320% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 53d | No | 1,159 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $953 | +$9 +0.9% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 982 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $942 | +$3 +0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 1,385 | 74¢ → 67¢ | $921 | −$106 −10% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 945 | 2¢ → 92¢ | $873 | +$854 +4428% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,233 | 3¢ → 69¢ | $845 | +$813 +2572% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 983 | 20¢ → 85¢ | $831 | +$634 +322% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 8d | No | 1,012 | 85¢ → 81¢ | $820 | −$39 −4.6% |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 972 | 14¢ → 83¢ | $808 | +$669 +482% |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 799 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $799 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 871 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $766 | +$10 +1.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,094 | 30¢ → 37¢ | $764 | +$141 +23% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 3,676 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $754 | +$18 +2.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 820 | 65¢ → 92¢ | $750 | +$215 +40% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 932 | 2¢ → 79¢ | $732 | +$709 +3044% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 896 | 3¢ → 80¢ | $712 | +$681 +2206% |
| Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 1,227 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $683 | +$2 +0.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 2,888 | 3¢ → 24¢ | $679 | +$588 +652% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,073 | 25¢ → 63¢ | $671 | +$402 +150% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1,070 | 68¢ → 63¢ | $669 | −$62 −8.5% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 1,483 | 4¢ → 45¢ | $667 | +$612 +1115% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 894 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $666 | −$17 −2.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,244 | 31¢ → 30¢ | $662 | −$29 −4.3% |
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Ends in 44d | No | 1,050 | 34¢ → 62¢ | $655 | +$294 +82% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 849 | 7¢ → 75¢ | $637 | +$580 +1025% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 3,994 | 2¢ → 15¢ | $601 | +$532 +773% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 882 | 2¢ → 67¢ | $588 | +$571 +3430% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 440d | Yes | 963 | 0¢ → 60¢ | $578 | +$578 +0.0% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 619 | 0¢ → 91¢ | $561 | +$561 +0.0% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?Ends in 239d | No | 615 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $546 | +$17 +3.1% |
| Will Susan Stevenson win the 2026 London mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 568 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $545 | +$60 +12% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | No | 625 | 91¢ → 85¢ | $533 | −$37 −6.5% |
| Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 27,344 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $520 | −$240 −32% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 816 | 4¢ → 64¢ | $518 | +$484 +1424% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 713 | 67¢ → 73¢ | $517 | +$41 +8.7% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Ends in 165d | Yes | 521 | 8¢ → 99¢ | $516 | +$473 +1089% |
| Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 566 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $512 | −$3 −0.5% |
| Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2026 AFC North?Ends in 92d | No | 545 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $493 | +$32 +6.9% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 2,581 | 17¢ → 19¢ | $490 | +$60 +14% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 820 | 81¢ → 60¢ | $488 | −$179 −27% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 978 | 0¢ → 50¢ | $484 | +$484 +0.0% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 1,741 | 20¢ → 28¢ | $479 | +$131 +37% |
| Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 1,065 | 43¢ → 43¢ | $461 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 537 | 70¢ → 81¢ | $435 | +$58 +15% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Ends in 13d | Yes | 647 | 3¢ → 65¢ | $419 | +$398 +1906% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?Ends in 2d | No | 687 | 62¢ → 61¢ | $416 | −$12 −2.8% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 584 | 66¢ → 68¢ | $395 | +$7 +1.9% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 511 | 17¢ → 76¢ | $388 | +$303 +356% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,999 | 7¢ → 19¢ | $380 | +$247 +185% |
| Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?Ends in 17d | No | 759 | 69¢ → 50¢ | $380 | −$148 −28% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 1,745 | 19¢ → 22¢ | $375 | +$47 +14% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 636 | 49¢ → 56¢ | $359 | +$49 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 411 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $355 | −$3 −0.8% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 502 | 4¢ → 71¢ | $354 | +$336 +1874% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 384 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $348 | +$1 +0.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 357 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $344 | +$41 +13% |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Ends in 224d | Yes | 564 | 4¢ → 61¢ | $341 | +$318 +1352% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,521 | 20¢ → 14¢ | $340 | −$164 −33% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,323 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $337 | +$244 +261% |
| Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Ends in 42d | No | 471 | 84¢ → 71¢ | $335 | −$61 −15% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 6d | No | 427 | 58¢ → 78¢ | $333 | +$85 +34% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 333 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $327 | +$14 +4.3% |
| Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Ends ended | No | 329 | 74¢ → 99¢ | $326 | +$81 +33% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?Ends in 440d | No | 314 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $310 | +$20 +6.8% |
| Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?Ends in 92d | Yes | 512 | 20¢ → 60¢ | $305 | +$202 +198% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,073 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $295 | −$21 −6.5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 471 | 20¢ → 63¢ | $294 | +$200 +213% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 2,175 | 4¢ → 14¢ | $294 | +$216 +278% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,496 | 2¢ → 20¢ | $293 | +$262 +858% |
| Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 379 | 89¢ → 76¢ | $288 | −$51 −15% |
