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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Ford (D) | 55% | +2 pts | +1 pts | 54¢ · 55¢ (1¢) | $13.6K | in 18d |
| Joe Lombardo (R) | 47% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 46¢ · 47¢ (1¢) | $15.2K | in 18d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | gm-gg-gn | Aaron Ford (D) | BuyYes54¢ → 55¢ | $3,348 | +$31 +0.9% | 30 |
| 2d | fastandfudurious | Joe Lombardo (R) | BuyNo52¢ → 53¢ | $1,126 | +$32 +2.9% | 16 |
| 2d | ClickKlackClick | Joe Lombardo (R) | BuyYes47¢ | $6,362 | −$35 −0.5% | 31 |
| 2d | fastandfudurious | Joe Lombardo (R) | BuyYes48¢ → 47¢ | $1,039 | −$32 −3.1% | 15 |
| 2d | ClickKlackClick2 fills | Aaron Ford (D) | BuyNo47¢ → 45¢ | $8,016 | −$201 −2.5% | 31 |
| 12d | pakukudolphi | Aaron Ford (D) | BuyYes55¢ | $2,200 | −$20 −0.9% | 23 |
| 12d | flawfence6 fills | Aaron Ford (D) | BuyYes53¢ → 55¢ | $31,876 | +$1,002 +3.1% | 30 |
| 13d |  tunatyler2 fills | Aaron Ford (D) | BuyYes49¢ → 55¢ | $2,485 | +$301 +12% | 25 |
| 13d | pieped | Aaron Ford (D) | BuyYes52¢ → 55¢ | $1,702 | +$82 +4.8% | 20 |
| 14d |  macrosteaks2 fills | Joe Lombardo (R) | BuyYes49¢ → 47¢ | $6,327 | −$290 −4.6% | 30 |
| 14d | macrosteaks2 fills | Aaron Ford (D) | BuyNo48¢ → 45¢ | $3,141 | −$156 −5.0% | 29 |
| 14d | 123987456 | Joe Lombardo (R) | BuyNo50¢ → 53¢ | $1,449 | +$94 +6.5% | 18 |
| 18d | Ruddy-Warming-Snowplow | Aaron Ford (D) | SellYes48¢ → 55¢ | $1,208 | −$164 −14% | — |
| 32d | cowcat | Joe Lombardo (R) | BuyYes49¢ → 47¢ | $3,430 | −$175 −5.1% | 28 |
| 32d | Heskel22 fills | Aaron Ford (D) | SellNo50¢ → 45¢ | $3,027 | +$297 +9.8% | — |
| 32d | Heskel25 fills | Joe Lombardo (R) | BuyYes60¢ → 47¢ | $10,132 | −$2,303 −23% | 30 |
| 38d | Heskel2 | Aaron Ford (D) | BuyNo61¢ → 45¢ | $3,856 | −$980 −25% | 30 |
| 46d | Heskel2 | Joe Lombardo (R) | SellYes55¢ → 47¢ | $4,398 | +$702 +16% | — |
| 46d | SuperavitFiscal2 fills | Joe Lombardo (R) | BuyYes63¢ → 47¢ | $4,839 | −$1,264 −26% | 30 |
tunatyler10,976 shares
Zaratustra4,114 shares
BiDiFakePolls2,509 sharesmacrosteaks16,000 sharesThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 55¢ for Aaron Ford (D) means the market gives it about 55%.