| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 17,319 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $15,327 | +$894 +6.2% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 13,149 | 38¢ → 27¢ | $3,596 | −$1,430 −28% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 8,279 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $3,436 | −$41 −1.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 6,500 | 44¢ → 47¢ | $3,055 | +$191 +6.7% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 4,000 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $2,980 | +$60 +2.1% |
| Blue tsunami in 2026?Ends in 79d | No | 5,776 | 49¢ → 50¢ | $2,888 | +$74 +2.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 6,861 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $2,847 | −$34 −1.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 3,794 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $2,637 | −$38 −1.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,500 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $2,468 | +$20 +0.8% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 3,678 | 69¢ → 62¢ | $2,262 | −$294 −12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,500 | 32¢ → 41¢ | $2,228 | +$473 +27% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 3,264 | 51¢ → 53¢ | $1,745 | +$91 +5.5% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 2,121 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $1,665 | −$103 −5.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,538 | 30¢ → 38¢ | $952 | +$192 +25% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,578 | 26¢ → 25¢ | $877 | −$58 −6.2% |
| Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,227 | 63¢ → 67¢ | $816 | +$44 +5.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,398 | 44¢ → 47¢ | $657 | +$37 +6.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 2,795 | 11¢ → 24¢ | $657 | +$348 +112% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,732 | 23¢ → 24¢ | $642 | +$16 +2.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 7,500 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $638 | −$217 −25% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,206 | 22¢ → 27¢ | $585 | +$99 +20% |
| Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | No | 561 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $561 | +$24 +4.4% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 633 | 78¢ → 89¢ | $560 | +$65 +13% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | No | 1,481 | 46¢ → 38¢ | $555 | −$126 −18% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 560 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $535 | +$58 +12% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 16,417 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $534 | −$163 −23% |
| Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 12,342 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $525 | −$151 −22% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 12,839 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $501 | −$386 −44% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | No | 1,818 | 26¢ → 28¢ | $500 | +$27 +5.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,284 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $467 | −$61 −12% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 614 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $439 | −$3 −0.7% |
| Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 414 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $381 | +$28 +8.0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 647 | 80¢ → 56¢ | $362 | −$157 −30% |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 7,795 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $347 | −$146 −30% |
| Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Ends in 32d | No | 457 | 56¢ → 75¢ | $343 | +$89 +35% |
| Kansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Ends in 165d | Yes | 404 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $342 | −$7 −2.0% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 517 | 53¢ → 65¢ | $335 | +$62 +23% |
| Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 62d | No | 2,127 | 11¢ → 16¢ | $330 | +$93 +39% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,155 | 62¢ → 28¢ | $318 | −$404 −56% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 322 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $312 | +$26 +9.2% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 2,411 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $301 | −$12 −3.8% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 5,529 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $301 | +$78 +35% |
| West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 326 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $301 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 557 | 40¢ → 49¢ | $270 | +$46 +21% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | No | 1,517 | 29¢ → 18¢ | $265 | −$174 −40% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,111 | 10¢ → 13¢ | $264 | +$46 +21% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 879 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $259 | +$4 +1.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 603 | 33¢ → 41¢ | $244 | +$45 +23% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?Ends in 24d | No | 322 | 78¢ → 74¢ | $238 | −$13 −5.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 858 | 19¢ → 23¢ | $201 | +$39 +24% |
| Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $196 | +$24 +14% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 415 | 84¢ → 47¢ | $195 | −$153 −44% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 870 | 13¢ → 22¢ | $187 | +$70 +60% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 208 | 63¢ → 90¢ | $186 | +$56 +43% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 248 | 22¢ → 75¢ | $185 | +$129 +232% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 185 | 70¢ → 95¢ | $176 | +$47 +36% |
| Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,146 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $160 | +$19 +13% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 389 | 27¢ → 41¢ | $157 | +$52 +50% |
| Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 558 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $153 | −$5 −2.9% |
| Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Ends in 165d | Yes | 162 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $151 | +$8 +5.8% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 167 | 77¢ → 90¢ | $151 | +$21 +16% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 638 | 18¢ → 24¢ | $150 | +$33 +28% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 221 | 67¢ → 67¢ | $147 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 10d | No | 170 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $146 | +$11 +8.5% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 187 | 67¢ → 77¢ | $144 | +$19 +15% |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,805 | 13¢ → 8¢ | $135 | −$94 −41% |
| Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Ends in 62d | Yes | 950 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $131 | −$16 −11% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,004 | 10¢ → 13¢ | $125 | +$25 +25% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 152 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $112 | −$1 −0.7% |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 4,301 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $112 | −$99 −47% |
| Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 970 | 7¢ → 12¢ | $112 | +$43 +62% |
| Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 189 | 52¢ → 56¢ | $105 | +$6 +6.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,234 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $103 | −$9 −8.4% |
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Ends in 44d | No | 165 | 33¢ → 62¢ | $103 | +$49 +91% |
| Will Ferran Torres finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 101 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $99 | +$6 +6.6% |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 427 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $98 | −$7 −6.9% |
| Will Roberto Cidade win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 92 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $92 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 239 | 23¢ → 38¢ | $91 | +$35 +62% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | No | 540 | 9¢ → 17¢ | $89 | +$42 +88% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?Ends in 24d | No | 92 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $89 | +$7 +8.7% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 161 | 54¢ → 55¢ | $88 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 899 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $85 | −$22 −21% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | No | 239 | 34¢ → 36¢ | $85 | +$4 +4.4% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 87 | 66¢ → 93¢ | $81 | +$24 +41% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 30d | Yes | 146 | 68¢ → 54¢ | $79 | −$20 −21% |
| Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 82 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $79 | +$8 +11% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?Ends in 24d | Yes | 310 | 23¢ → 25¢ | $76 | +$4 +4.9% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 148 | 54¢ → 51¢ | $75 | −$4 −5.2% |
| Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 30d | No | 80 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $75 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | No | 92 | 51¢ → 80¢ | $74 | +$27 +58% |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 262 | 23¢ → 27¢ | $71 | +$11 +17% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 80 | 49¢ → 88¢ | $70 | +$31 +81% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 795 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $68 | −$13 −16% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 365 | 21¢ → 18¢ | $66 | −$11 −14% |
| Will Republicans win the Georgia Governor election and Democrats win the Georgia Senate election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 125 | 42¢ → 51¢ | $63 | +$11 +20% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 387 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $62 | +$2 +2.9% |
| Will Ciara Miller win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?Ends in 165d | No | 60 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$5 +8.5% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 66 | 81¢ → 90¢ | $59 | +$6 +11% |
| Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?Ends in 47d | No | 90 | 56¢ → 66¢ | $59 | +$8 +17% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | No | 59 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $58 | +$1 +2.5% |
