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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 76d |
| Lionel Messi | 26% | +7 pts | −4 pts | 25¢ · 26¢ (1¢) | $6.48K | in 76d |
| Lamine Yamal | 94% | −1 pts | −3 pts | 94¢ · 94¢ (1¢) | $6.14K | in 76d |
| Pau Cubarsi | 2% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Harry Kane | 98% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 97¢ · 98¢ (1¢) | $4.6K | in 76d |
| Declan Rice | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 8% | −2 pts | +1 pts | 7¢ · 8¢ (1¢) | $2.4K | in 76d |
| Kylian Mbappé | 79% | +4 pts | +13 pts | 78¢ · 80¢ (2¢) | $1.72K | in 76d |
| Fabian Ruiz | 5% | −2 pts | −2 pts | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $1.26K | in 76d |
| Bruno Fernandes | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Rodri | 12% | −2 pts | −4 pts | 11¢ · 12¢ (1¢) | $857 | in 76d |
| Jude Bellingham | 2% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 76d |
| Michael Olise | 6% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 5¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | $579 | in 76d |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 5% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $566 | in 76d |
| Vinícius Júnior | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 76d |
| Vitinha | 1% | −1 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Achraf Hakimi | 1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| Luis Diaz | 2% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 76d |
| Lautaro Martinez | 2% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | $23.5 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h | schizohedgehog | Harry Kane | SellYes97¢ → 98¢ | $1,384 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 1d |  getrichall | Lamine Yamal | BuyYes95¢ → 94¢ | $1,138 | −$13 −1.1% | 6 |
| 1d | Chonchitoooo | Fabian Ruiz | BuyNo93¢ → 95¢ | $2,055 | +$26 +1.2% | 8 |
| 1d | Poised-Hazelnut | Harry Kane | BuyYes97¢ → 98¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 6 |
| 3d | V1nch0u3 fills | Fabian Ruiz | SellNo92¢ → 95¢ | $4,491 | −$140 −3.1% | — |
| 4d | Chonchitoooo | Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | SellNo91¢ → 92¢ | $1,041 | −$13 −1.3% | — |
| 4d |  jinjinyou | Harry Kane | BuyYes97¢ → 98¢ | $3,503 | +$7 +0.2% | 6 |
| 4d |  8dAe | Harry Kane | BuyYes97¢ → 98¢ | $2,043 | +$4 +0.2% | 6 |
| 5d | chingmin2 fills | Kylian Mbappé | BuyYes73¢ → 79¢ | $3,802 | +$312 +8.2% | 22 |
| 7d | 0xef97…ab2c | Harry Kane | BuyYes97¢ → 98¢ | $1,061 | +$3 +0.3% | 6 |
| 7d | P1kaso | Fabian Ruiz | BuyNo93¢ → 95¢ | $1,040 | +$20 +1.9% | 9 |
| 8d | Lordpengu | Kylian Mbappé | BuyYes65¢ → 79¢ | $10,621 | +$2,318 +22% | 24 |
| 8d | 0x26AF73 fills | Kylian Mbappé | BuyYes63¢ → 79¢ | $9,445 | +$2,355 +25% | 24 |
| 9d |  Parz1vaI | Fabian Ruiz | BuyNo95¢ | $2,073 | −$18 −0.9% | 7 |
| 9d | Parz1vaI | Lamine Yamal | BuyYes98¢ → 94¢ | $2,910 | −$124 −4.2% | 5 |
| 10d | Parz1vaI | Harry Kane | BuyYes98¢ | $1,836 | $0 0.0% | 6 |
| 11d | thoodr4 fills | Lamine Yamal | BuyYes98¢ → 94¢ | $12,121 | −$507 −4.2% | 5 |
| 12d |  mr.ozi2 fills | Harry Kane | BuyYes95¢ → 98¢ | $15,384 | +$421 +2.7% | 7 |
| 12d | thoodr9 fills | Harry Kane | BuyYes95¢ → 98¢ | $18,169 | +$513 +2.8% | 7 |
| 14d | V1nch0u3 fills | Fabian Ruiz | BuyNo91¢ → 95¢ | $8,972 | +$317 +3.5% | 10 |
| 15d | Parz1vaI | Michael Olise | BuyNo96¢ → 94¢ | $2,479 | −$42 −1.7% | 7 |
| 16d |  timebrotime | Ousmane Dembélé | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,511 | +$8 +0.5% | 7 |
| 16d | V1nch0u | Michael Olise | BuyNo94¢ | $3,439 | +$11 +0.3% | 8 |
| 16d | schizohedgehog2 fills | Harry Kane | BuyYes95¢ → 98¢ | $3,559 | +$81 +2.3% | 7 |
| 16d |  sciuboi | Kylian Mbappé | BuyYes60¢ → 79¢ | $1,015 | +$321 +32% | 24 |
| 18d | Batistouta692 fills | Lamine Yamal | BuyYes89¢ → 94¢ | $4,000 | +$199 +5.0% | 11 |
| 24d | sciuboi | Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | BuyNo85¢ → 92¢ | $1,111 | +$99 +8.9% | 14 |
| 38d |  Cloverince | Will Mohamed Salah finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,144 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 38d | Cloverince | Will Julian Alvarez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,476 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 38d | Cloverince | Will Dominik Szoboszlai finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,073 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 38d | Cloverince | Will Cole Palmer finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,141 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 38d | Cloverince | Will Desire Doue finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,220 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
| 38d | Cloverince | Will Federico Valverde finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,117 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 39d |  Venimous | Will Desire Doue finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,119 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 44d |  ChilliWilly2k4 | Harry Kane | BuyYes95¢ → 98¢ | $2,748 | +$60 +2.2% | 7 |
| 61d |  Outsid3rTrading2 fills | Harry Kane | BuyYes94¢ → 98¢ | $2,582 | +$83 +3.2% | 8 |
| 70d | GuaOneBest | Will Bukayo Saka finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$37 +3.5% | 4 |
| 70d | Alexantenars1 | Erling Haaland | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $1,707 | +$109 +6.4% | 4 |
Haradwaith809 shares
chessplayer653 shares
Anjun111 shares
Maximus37450 shares
GGbondCC5 sharesThis market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 3 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve "No." If more than 3 players tie for the top 3 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official top 3 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final three places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Erling Haaland means the market gives it about 3%.