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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 62% | −1 pts | +42 pts | 62¢ · 63¢ (1¢) | $725 | in 45d |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 38% | +1 pts | −28 pts | 37¢ · 39¢ (2¢) | $1.3K | in 45d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | MenacingTurtle2 fills | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo69¢ → 38¢ | $3,190 | −$1,441 −45% | 24 |
| 2d |  sharpnochase2 fills | Tampa Bay Rays | SellYes52¢ → 38¢ | $6,197 | +$1,720 +28% | — |
| 2d | PLB2 fills | Tampa Bay Rays | SellYes57¢ → 38¢ | $3,309 | +$1,124 +34% | — |
| 3d | omoi0i0 | Cleveland Guardians | BuyYes57¢ → 62¢ | $1,576 | +$149 +9.4% | 24 |
| 4d |  HukaBars3 fills | Tampa Bay Rays | BuyYes63¢ → 38¢ | $5,948 | −$2,404 −40% | 24 |
| 4d | WarriorH | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo64¢ → 38¢ | $1,420 | −$576 −41% | 24 |
| 4d | qurty | Tampa Bay Rays | BuyYes64¢ → 38¢ | $10,000 | −$4,081 −41% | 24 |
| 5d | janglinjack | Cleveland Guardians | BuyYes38¢ → 62¢ | $1,140 | +$723 +63% | 24 |
| 5d | 0F624 fills | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo64¢ → 38¢ | $8,454 | −$3,476 −41% | 24 |
| 6d | LCB1 | Cleveland Guardians | BuyYes36¢ → 62¢ | $5,810 | +$4,260 +73% | 24 |
| 6d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo65¢ → 38¢ | $1,298 | −$540 −42% | 24 |
| 6d | welcometowinnercircle | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,835 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 6d | 0F626 fills | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $19,862 | +$3,815 +19% | 4 |
| 8d | sharpnochase4 fills | Tampa Bay Rays | BuyYes64¢ → 38¢ | $10,000 | −$4,071 −41% | 24 |
| 9d | welcometowinnercircle | Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,382 | +$64 +1.9% | 4 |
| 9d | purplegatto2 fills | Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,969 | +$274 +4.6% | 4 |
| 13d | purplegatto2 fills | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo89¢ → 38¢ | $3,822 | −$2,193 −57% | 11 |
| 14d | onlyinvegas | Tampa Bay Rays | BuyNo70¢ → 62¢ | $3,256 | −$358 −11% | 24 |
| 16d | TaichiGrandiMaster2 fills | Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,308 | +$28 +0.2% | 4 |
| 16d |  CosmicCedar | Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,552 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 16d | CosmicCedar | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,571 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 16d | MenacingTurtle | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,139 | +$45 +2.1% | 4 |
| 18d | purplegatto | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,673 | +$302 +6.5% | 4 |
| 18d | purplegatto | Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 4 |
| 19d |  Nooserac | Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,571 | +$529 +34% | 4 |
| 19d | LCB1 | Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,091 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 20d | Nicksypoo | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo78¢ → 38¢ | $1,000 | −$514 −51% | 19 |
| 23d | LCB1 | Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,606 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 26d | 033033033 | Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,114 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 26d | CosmicCedar | Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,879 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 30d | 033033033 | Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,631 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 44d | onlyinvegas3 fills | Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,239 | +$47 +1.1% | 4 |
| 48d | 033033033 | Will Athletics win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,772 | +$21 +0.1% | 4 |
| 48d | 033033033 | Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,552 | +$18 +0.1% | 4 |
| 71d | onlyinvegas | Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,634 | +$342 +21% | 4 |
| 126d | bloomtrust | Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,187 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 127d | dogesky | Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,240 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 127d | dogesky | Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,206 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 128d | reserveharmony2055 | Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,169 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 147d | WilentrLWOsolf5 fills | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $65,624 | −$450 −0.7% | — |
| 147d | WilentrLWOsolf5 fills | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $66,124 | +$401 +0.6% | 4 |
| 157d |  mooseborzoi | Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$86 +6.4% | 4 |
| 203d | seniorChair2 fills | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo93¢ → 38¢ | $2,753 | −$1,634 −59% | 9 |
| 203d | draft578 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | +$121 +8.1% | 4 |
| 203d | identifybe35 | Cleveland Guardians | SellNo93¢ → 38¢ | $1,163 | +$689 +59% | — |
| 203d | seniorChair | Cleveland Guardians | SellNo93¢ → 38¢ | $1,443 | +$855 +59% | — |
| 203d | draft578 | Cleveland Guardians | SellNo93¢ → 38¢ | $1,487 | +$881 +59% | — |
| 203d | Abuseyq23 | Cleveland Guardians | SellNo93¢ → 38¢ | $1,248 | +$739 +59% | — |
| 203d | identifybe35 | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo93¢ → 38¢ | $1,166 | −$691 −59% | 9 |
| 203d | draft5782 fills | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo94¢ → 38¢ | $2,678 | −$1,598 −60% | 8 |
| 203d | Hubmc38 | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo91¢ → 38¢ | $1,501 | −$874 −58% | 10 |
| 203d | steakTreat | Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | −$45 −4.2% | — |
| 203d | glareLuxury | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | +$63 +6.0% | 4 |
| 203d | Ranch-Undo2 fills | Cleveland Guardians | SellNo93¢ → 38¢ | $2,300 | +$1,363 +59% | — |
| 203d | fold444 | Cleveland Guardians | BuyNo91¢ → 38¢ | $1,141 | −$663 −58% | 10 |
| 203d | rude-wage | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | −$83 −6.2% | — |
| 203d | poetClutch | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,463 | +$97 +6.6% | 4 |
| 203d | treejh62 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,481 | +$98 +6.6% | 4 |
| 203d | size-gospel | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | −$76 −6.5% | — |
| 203d | front-hair-crash | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,497 | −$97 −6.5% | — |
HukaBars1,991 shares
Maximus374200 sharesThis market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 62¢ for Cleveland Guardians means the market gives it about 62%.