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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiang Wan-an | 61% | −2 pts | −4 pts | 60¢ · 61¢ (1¢) | $12.1K | in 43d |
| Puma Shen | 38% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 37¢ · 38¢ (1¢) | $8.78K | in 43d |
| Kuo Hsi | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 43d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h | Soyunelefante | Chiang Wan-an | SellYes61¢ | $1,900 | +$16 +0.8% | — |
| 1d | xiaowei8805 | Puma Shen | BuyYes39¢ → 38¢ | $2,904 | −$57 −2.0% | 32 |
| 1d | deleteuser | Puma Shen | SellYes33¢ → 38¢ | $1,103 | −$142 −13% | — |
| 1d | aoiaoiboo3 fills | Chiang Wan-an | BuyNo26¢ → 40¢ | $5,909 | +$2,903 +49% | 38 |
| 1d | User9988321 | Puma Shen | BuyYes38¢ | $1,748 | −$21 −1.2% | 27 |
| 1d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed3 fills | Puma Shen | BuyNo74¢ → 62¢ | $3,615 | −$582 −16% | 27 |
| 2d | blade1433 | Puma Shen | BuyNo63¢ → 62¢ | $1,260 | −$15 −1.2% | 21 |
| 2d | blade14334 fills | Chiang Wan-an | BuyYes68¢ → 61¢ | $8,923 | −$940 −11% | 30 |
| 3d | winnehs2 fills | Puma Shen | BuyYes35¢ → 38¢ | $4,691 | +$355 +7.6% | 34 |
| 3d | wAiq-A.S | Kuo Hsi | BuyYes3¢ → <1¢ | $1,608 | −$1,580 −98% | 14 |
| 3d | Adoniswin | Puma Shen | BuyYes35¢ → 38¢ | $1,705 | +$159 +9.3% | 27 |
| 5d | Lamperouge | Puma Shen | BuyYes36¢ → 38¢ | $1,209 | +$72 +6.0% | 22 |
| 5d | Bigggggggg | Puma Shen | BuyNo68¢ → 62¢ | $1,584 | −$123 −7.8% | 24 |
| 7d | Ccmun3 fills | Puma Shen | BuyYes28¢ → 38¢ | $7,860 | +$2,736 +35% | 39 |
| 7d | FunMike | Puma Shen | BuyYes36¢ → 38¢ | $5,611 | +$330 +5.9% | 35 |
| 7d | 0xa7da…4c642 fills | Chiang Wan-an | BuyYes72¢ → 61¢ | $4,126 | −$659 −16% | 29 |
| 7d | yfaichan | Puma Shen | BuyYes29¢ → 38¢ | $2,378 | +$706 +30% | 33 |
| 7d | 123987456 | Chiang Wan-an | BuyNo28¢ → 40¢ | $1,080 | +$440 +41% | 17 |
| 8d | Paigut | Puma Shen | BuyYes24¢ → 38¢ | $2,315 | +$1,285 +56% | 34 |
| 9d | dsarewkgf2 fills | Puma Shen | BuyYes26¢ → 38¢ | $3,522 | +$1,551 +44% | 36 |
| 9d | Incredible-Tanker2 fills | Chiang Wan-an | BuyYes75¢ → 61¢ | $4,500 | −$858 −19% | 27 |
| 9d | Rundown-Regard | Puma Shen | BuyNo74¢ → 62¢ | $1,142 | −$179 −16% | 19 |
| 9d | WarriorH | Chiang Wan-an | BuyYes75¢ → 61¢ | $1,160 | −$224 −19% | 16 |
| 10d | pie | Chiang Wan-an | BuyYes73¢ → 61¢ | $1,000 | −$171 −17% | 16 |
| 11d | Naughty-Usher-Exception | Puma Shen | BuyYes28¢ → 38¢ | $1,228 | +$451 +37% | 22 |
| 11d | 0x9a64…5af4 | Puma Shen | SellYes24¢ → 38¢ | $1,282 | −$722 −56% | — |
| 11d | BORINGJOE | Chiang Wan-an | SellYes72¢ → 61¢ | $1,363 | +$223 +16% | — |
| 11d | BORINGJOE | Puma Shen | SellNo74¢ → 62¢ | $2,602 | +$406 +16% | — |
| 11d | Trusting-Transport2 fills | Chiang Wan-an | BuyYes79¢ → 61¢ | $5,400 | −$1,254 −23% | 24 |
| 11d | BORINGJOE | Puma Shen | BuyNo75¢ → 62¢ | $2,442 | −$416 −17% | 27 |
| 12d | guguatca2 fills | Puma Shen | BuyYes30¢ → 38¢ | $2,000 | +$535 +27% | 31 |
| 12d |  paddaa | Chiang Wan-an | BuyYes72¢ → 61¢ | $1,000 | −$160 −16% | 16 |
| 12d | aoiaoiboo | Puma Shen | BuyYes29¢ → 38¢ | $1,429 | +$402 +28% | 24 |
| 13d | Rallydave | Chiang Wan-an | BuyNo25¢ → 40¢ | $1,000 | +$611 +61% | 17 |
| 15d | Diligent-Scenario | Puma Shen | BuyNo85¢ → 62¢ | $4,133 | −$1,113 −27% | 20 |
| 15d | stupid22 | Chiang Wan-an | BuyYes81¢ → 61¢ | $5,670 | −$1,435 −25% | 23 |
| 15d | Moneygreen168 | Chiang Wan-an | BuyYes81¢ → 61¢ | $1,049 | −$266 −25% | 14 |
| 17d | tf2 | Chiang Wan-an | BuyYes81¢ → 61¢ | $7,119 | −$1,781 −25% | 23 |
| 20d | MSFTQQQ | Chiang Wan-an | BuyYes81¢ → 61¢ | $1,264 | −$316 −25% | 15 |
| 21d | myz6 | Puma Shen | BuyYes21¢ → 38¢ | $1,000 | +$803 +80% | 19 |
| 23d | HalloQQQ | Chiang Wan-an | SellYes79¢ → 61¢ | $2,233 | +$526 +24% | — |
| 24d | 0000000x | Puma Shen | SellYes16¢ → 38¢ | $1,642 | −$2,334 −142% | — |
| 24d | Icepie | Puma Shen | BuyYes19¢ → 38¢ | $1,500 | +$1,510 +101% | 26 |
| 25d | BlancHK | Chiang Wan-an | BuyNo20¢ → 40¢ | $1,160 | +$1,178 +102% | 19 |
| 28d |  LinaBell | Puma Shen | BuyNo86¢ → 62¢ | $1,160 | −$320 −28% | 15 |
| 28d | 0000000x | Puma Shen | BuyYes14¢ → 38¢ | $1,000 | +$1,729 +173% | 19 |
| 31d |  RepublicOfChina | Puma Shen | BuyNo88¢ → 62¢ | $1,145 | −$332 −29% | 14 |
| 48d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Chiang Wan-an | BuyYes93¢ → 61¢ | $1,359 | −$474 −35% | 12 |
ArmageddonRewardsBilly65,242 shares
december17,200 shares
seal710,000 shares
macrosteaks5,462 sharesTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 61¢ for Chiang Wan-an means the market gives it about 61%.