| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 21,417 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $21,214 | −$22 −0.1% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 21,215 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $19,411 | −$110 −0.6% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 12,108 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $11,957 | +$454 +3.9% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | No | 6,343 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $6,333 | +$75 +1.2% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8,134 | 78¢ → 73¢ | $5,897 | −$473 −7.4% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 6,047 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $5,869 | +$124 +2.2% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | No | 6,058 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $4,892 | −$109 −2.2% |
| Will BNK FEARX win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,881 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $2,881 | +$357 +14% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | No | 6,343 | 37¢ → 45¢ | $2,854 | +$536 +23% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 2,734 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $2,678 | +$81 +3.1% |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 43d | Yes | 2,912 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $2,460 | +$97 +4.1% |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,824 | 50¢ → 83¢ | $2,351 | +$951 +68% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,268 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $2,042 | −$109 −5.1% |
| Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 2,009 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $1,973 | −$9 −0.5% |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 2,009 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $1,951 | −$12 −0.6% |
| Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 2,009 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $1,914 | −$4 −0.2% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,975 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $1,913 | +$187 +11% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 2,939 | 73¢ → 62¢ | $1,828 | −$320 −15% |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Ends in 42d | No | 2,009 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $1,658 | +$13 +0.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 2,113 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $1,616 | −$17 −1.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 15,369 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $1,460 | +$213 +17% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 2,056 | 55¢ → 64¢ | $1,305 | +$184 +16% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 1,982 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $1,239 | −$10 −0.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,268 | 33¢ → 38¢ | $1,225 | +$141 +13% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | No | 2,938 | 26¢ → 40¢ | $1,161 | +$386 +50% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,569 | 67¢ → 64¢ | $996 | −$57 −5.4% |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 895 | 60¢ → 95¢ | $849 | +$312 +58% |
| Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 831 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $829 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 831 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $815 | −$1 −0.1% |
| Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 831 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $780 | −$2 −0.3% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 933 | 68¢ → 79¢ | $732 | +$99 +16% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 1,843 | 35¢ → 36¢ | $654 | +$9 +1.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 2,195 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $604 | −$88 −13% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 2,087 | 23¢ → 28¢ | $574 | +$92 +19% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,569 | 31¢ → 35¢ | $541 | +$59 +12% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 2,113 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $491 | −$2 −0.5% |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 43d | Yes | 2,912 | 18¢ → 17¢ | $481 | −$56 −10% |
| Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,009 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $472 | −$14 −2.8% |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 485 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $466 | +$6 +1.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 810 | 59¢ → 53¢ | $433 | −$45 −9.4% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 810 | 40¢ → 47¢ | $377 | +$54 +17% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3,664 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $348 | +$50 +17% |
| Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 406 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $311 | +$46 +18% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 285 | 63¢ → 97¢ | $275 | +$96 +53% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 2,801 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $261 | +$44 +20% |
| Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,523 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $170 | +$40 +30% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 295 | 63¢ → 56¢ | $164 | −$21 −11% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 933 | 31¢ → 17¢ | $156 | −$135 −47% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 400 | 53¢ → 38¢ | $150 | −$62 −29% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 51¢ → 33¢ | $132 | −$72 −35% |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 138 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $127 | +$18 +16% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | Yes | 199 | 59¢ → 64¢ | $126 | +$9 +7.8% |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 406 | 33¢ → 24¢ | $98 | −$36 −27% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 100 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$3 +2.7% |
| Will BC.Game Esports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?Ends in 87d | Yes | 95 | 59¢ → 99¢ | $95 | +$38 +67% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 137 | 72¢ → 66¢ | $91 | −$7 −7.5% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 106d | No | 870 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $82 | +$20 +33% |
| Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Ends in 44d | Yes | 130 | 44¢ → 62¢ | $81 | +$24 +42% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | Yes | 199 | 42¢ → 36¢ | $72 | −$13 −15% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 58 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $56 | +$12 +29% |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 606 | 16¢ → 9¢ | $51 | −$46 −47% |
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Ends in 44d | Yes | 130 | 56¢ → 38¢ | $50 | −$23 −32% |
| Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 137 | 25¢ → 35¢ | $48 | +$13 +38% |
| Will a Western team win Worlds 2026?Ends in 42d | Yes | 831 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $42 | −$16 −28% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 394 | 34¢ → 8¢ | $30 | −$106 −78% |
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Ends in 256d | No | 30 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $22 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will FaZe Clan qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?Ends in 87d | Yes | 20 | 32¢ → 57¢ | $11 | +$5 +79% |
| Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,202 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $11 | −$2 −16% |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 104 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $9 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $9 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 29¢ → 27¢ | $8 | −$1 −8.6% |
| Will 5star eSports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?Ends in 87d | Yes | 20 | 33¢ → 37¢ | $7 | +$1 +11% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Ends in 94d | No | 5 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Will KC be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?Ends in 89d | No | 5 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.6% and 1.8%?Ends in 93d | No | 5 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.3% and 1.5%?Ends in 93d | No | 5 | >99¢ → 99¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%?Ends in 93d | No | 5 | >99¢ → 99¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Ends in 94d | No | 5 | >99¢ → 97¢ | $5 | −$0 −2.6% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?Ends in 93d | No | 5 | 99¢ → 95¢ | $5 | −$0 −4.5% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 200 | 17¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$29 −86% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $4 | +$1 +35% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | Yes | 285 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$14 −82% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 38 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $2 | −$1 −34% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?Ends in 94d | No | 2 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +20% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 58 | 19¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$9 −82% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | Yes | 285 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$6 −74% |
| Will NEXVOID qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?Ends in 87d | Yes | 40 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$0 −16% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | Yes | 285 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$17 −93% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 12¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | Yes | 285 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$22 −95% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | Yes | 285 | 3¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$8 −87% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | Yes | 285 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$14 −93% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 100 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | +$1 +256% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: OtherEnds in 17d | Yes | 703 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$0 −25% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 58 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$0 −41% |
| Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?Ends in 93d | No | 5 | 82¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$4 −87% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 100 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | +$0 +67% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 18 | 10¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −75% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 75 | 7¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −95% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 58 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +18% |
